Conf = ACC Region = Southeast State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Joe BreschiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.3087387 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Jacksonville Independent ( 6- 7, 91.9) 11- 5 213 H Bryant Independent (12- 5, 92.9) 5- 4 220 H Lehigh Patriot ( 8- 7, 90.0) 17- 5 225 A Navy Patriot ( 7- 8, 93.4) 11- 4 306 A UMBC America East ( 4- 9, 91.2) 12- 7 310 A Duke ACC (16- 4, 98.5) 13- 7 316 H Princeton Ivy League (11- 5, 94.8) 12-11 319 H Dartmouth Ivy League ( 5- 8, 90.9) 15- 6 327 H Maryland ACC (12- 4, 97.6) 9- 7 403 A Johns Hopkins Independent ( 7- 8, 94.9) 11- 7 410 N Virginia ACC (16- 2, 99.9) 5- 7 417 A Robert Morris Independent (10- 5, 92.8) 17-14 423 A Maryland ACC (12- 4, 97.6) 5-13 508 H Ohio State ECAC ( 7- 8, 92.6) 19-13 516 H Delaware Colonial (10- 7, 94.4) 14-13 522 N Duke ACC (16- 4, 98.5) 9-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Jacksonville 11- 5 6 4 1.79 213 H Bryant 5- 4 1 5 -- -4.60 220 H Lehigh 17- 5 12 8 1.44 225 A Navy 11- 4 7 2 ++ 4.33 306 A UMBC 12- 7 5 4 0.15 310 A Duke 13- 7 6 -2 +++ 8.41 316 H Princeton 12-11 1 3 - -2.75 319 H Dartmouth 15- 6 9 7 1.39 327 H Maryland 9- 7 2 0 1.03 403 A Johns Hopkins 11- 7 4 1 + 2.85 410 N Virginia 5- 7 -2 -2 0.59 417 A Robert Morris 17-14 3 3 -0.29 423 A Maryland 5-13 -8 -1 --- -6.51 508 H Ohio State 19-13 6 5 0.11 516 H Delaware 14-13 1 4 - -3.13 522 N Duke 9-17 -8 -1 --- -6.82UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 A Maryland 5-13 -8 -1 --- -6.51 522 N Duke 9-17 -8 -1 --- -6.82 213 H Bryant 5- 4 1 5 -- -4.60 316 H Princeton 12-11 1 3 - -2.75 516 H Delaware 14-13 1 4 - -3.13OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A Duke 13- 7 6 -2 +++ 8.41 225 A Navy 11- 4 7 2 ++ 4.33 403 A Johns Hopkins 11- 7 4 1 + 2.85/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 97.31 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 86.96 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.66 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 6.0 Championship Rank ....... 4 Local Quality Win Rating.120.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 4 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3