Conf = Deep South                 Region = South        State = FL
   Nickname = Tars                   Coach  = Andrew Baxter           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.4495087    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 213 N Florida Southern       Deep South    ( 4- 9, 83.4)     7-12   
 220 H Saint Leo              Deep South    (12- 3, 87.2)     5-14   
 301 H Wingate                Deep South    ( 4-11, 79.1)    11- 8   
 305 H Pfeiffer               Carolinas     ( 8- 9, 82.6)     9- 8   
 307 H St. Andrews            Carolinas     ( 3-10, 78.8)    12-13   
 310 H Merrimack              Northeast 10  (13- 3, 89.1)     4-14   
 313 H Pace                   Northeast 10  ( 7- 7, 83.9)    10- 6   
 317 H Mars Hill              Deep South    (10- 4, 87.3)     6-12   
 326 A Catawba                Deep South    ( 9- 8, 83.3)     7-14   
 328 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     ( 7- 6, 84.9)     6-10   
 406 A Saint Leo              Deep South    (12- 3, 87.2)     5- 9   
 413 A Florida Southern       Deep South    ( 4- 9, 83.4)     4- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 N Florida Southern        7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.05
   220 H Saint Leo               5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.57
   301 H Wingate                11- 8       3     2           0.37
   305 H Pfeiffer                9- 8       1     0           1.84
   307 H St. Andrews            12-13      -1     2    -     -3.91
   310 H Merrimack               4-14     -10    -7    -     -2.65
   313 H Pace                   10- 6       4    -2    +++    6.20
   317 H Mars Hill               6-12      -6    -5          -0.44
   326 A Catawba                 7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.83
   328 A Belmont Abbey           6-10      -4    -5           1.77
   406 A Saint Leo               5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.03
   413 A Florida Southern        4- 7      -3    -4           1.25

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 N Florida Southern        7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.05
   220 H Saint Leo               5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.57
   307 H St. Andrews            12-13      -1     2    -     -3.91
   310 H Merrimack               4-14     -10    -7    -     -2.65
   326 A Catawba                 7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Pace                   10- 6       4    -2    +++    6.20
   406 A Saint Leo               5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.45 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.20 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/