Conf = Independent Region = Northeast State = PA Nickname = Colonials Coach = Bear DavisGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.7893066 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 220 A Penn State Colonial ( 2-11, 90.9) 24-17 227 A Manhattan Metro Atlanti ( 7- 9, 87.9) 13-12 306 A VMI Metro Atlanti ( 2-13, 84.7) 19- 8 309 H Ohio State ECAC ( 7- 8, 92.6) 12- 7 313 H Detroit Metro Atlanti ( 3-12, 85.6) 15- 6 316 H Mount St. Mary's Metro Atlanti (12- 5, 91.4) 13-19 321 A Bellarmine ECAC ( 9- 6, 89.5) 15-18 327 H Jacksonville Independent ( 6- 7, 91.9) 18-17 403 H Air Force ECAC ( 1-13, 87.8) 13- 7 406 H Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 6- 7, 86.9) 17-11 410 H Bryant Independent (12- 5, 92.9) 14-15 2o 417 H North Carolina ACC (13- 3, 97.3) 14-17 424 A Sacred Heart Independent ( 4-11, 88.2) 12-10 501 A Virginia ACC (16- 2, 99.9) 9-18 505 A Wagner Metro Atlanti ( 1-14, 81.4) 22- 4PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Penn State 24-17 7 0 +++ 6.34 227 A Manhattan 13-12 1 3 - -2.65 306 A VMI 19- 8 11 6 + 3.17 309 H Ohio State 12- 7 5 1 + 3.63 313 H Detroit 15- 6 9 8 0.59 316 H Mount St. Mary's 13-19 -6 2 --- -8.65 321 A Bellarmine 15-18 -3 2 -- -5.04 327 H Jacksonville 18-17 1 2 -1.15 403 H Air Force 13- 7 6 6 -0.18 406 H Canisius 17-11 6 7 -1.08 410 H Bryant 14-15 2o -1 1 - -2.08 417 H North Carolina 14-17 -3 -3 0.29 424 A Sacred Heart 12-10 2 3 -1.38 501 A Virginia 9-18 -9 -8 -0.66 505 A Wagner 22- 4 18 10 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 H Mount St. Mary's 13-19 -6 2 --- -8.65 321 A Bellarmine 15-18 -3 2 -- -5.04 227 A Manhattan 13-12 1 3 - -2.65 410 H Bryant 14-15 2o -1 1 - -2.08OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Penn State 24-17 7 0 +++ 6.34 306 A VMI 19- 8 11 6 + 3.17 309 H Ohio State 12- 7 5 1 + 3.63/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 92.79 Local Power Rank........... 26 Local SOS Rating......... 77.09 Local SOS Rank............. 50 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 27 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 48 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 24 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7