Penn State                    2 -11


 
   Conf = Colonial                   Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Nittany Lions          Coach  = Glenn Theil             



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   90.9042664    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 H Robert Morris          Independent   (10- 5, 92.8)    17-24   
 228 A Notre Dame             Big East      (10- 7, 95.6)     8-12   
 306 A Ohio State             ECAC          ( 7- 8, 92.6)    10-11  o
 309 H Villanova              Big East      (10- 5, 92.9)     7-11   
 313 A Rutgers                Big East      ( 6- 8, 92.0)     4- 7   
 320 A Duke                   ACC           (16- 4, 98.5)    11-20   
 327 H St. John's             Big East      ( 5- 9, 89.6)    13-11   
 330 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 8- 6, 94.7)     9-11   
 403 H Massachusetts          Colonial      ( 8- 6, 93.8)     8-10   
 410 A Drexel                 Colonial      (10- 5, 94.7)     7-12   
 417 H Hofstra                Colonial      ( 9- 5, 96.6)    11-10  o
 424 A Towson                 Colonial      ( 7- 8, 93.6)     9-10   
 430 H Delaware               Colonial      (10- 7, 94.4)    10-14   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Robert Morris          17-24      -7     0    ---   -6.34
   228 A Notre Dame              8-12      -4    -5           1.92
   306 A Ohio State             10-11  o   -1    -2           1.97
   309 H Villanova               7-11      -4     0    -     -3.19
   313 A Rutgers                 4- 7      -3    -2          -0.65
   320 A Duke                   11-20      -9    -8          -0.19
   327 H St. John's             13-11       2     2          -0.51
   330 H Bucknell                9-11      -2    -2           0.57
   403 H Massachusetts           8-10      -2    -1          -0.33
   410 A Drexel                  7-12      -5    -5           0.02
   417 H Hofstra                11-10  o    1    -4    ++     5.48
   424 A Towson                  9-10      -1    -3    +      2.97
   430 H Delaware               10-14      -4    -2          -1.72


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Robert Morris          17-24      -7     0    ---   -6.34
   309 H Villanova               7-11      -4     0    -     -3.19


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Hofstra                11-10  o    1    -4    ++     5.48
   424 A Towson                  9-10      -1    -3    +      2.97




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.90 Local Power Rank...........    39
 Local SOS Rating......... 85.75 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    44
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    43
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    46
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3


  
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