Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = North        State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Dan Mahar               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.0010529    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 A Mary Washington        Capital       ( 8- 9, 83.7)    12- 5   
 306 H Clarkson               Liberty       ( 3-12, 82.0)     9- 8 2o
 313 H Union                  Liberty       (11- 4, 86.4)     4- 8   
 317 H Rensselaer             Liberty       (14- 3, 87.8)     6- 8   
 320 A St. John Fisher        Empire 8      (16- 2, 87.2)     8-17   
 324 H Ithaca                 Empire 8      ( 8-10, 84.5)     9- 7   
 330 H Hamilton               Liberty       (10- 4, 83.8)     3-12   
 403 A Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 7- 8, 82.3)    12- 9   
 407 N Mount Saint Mary       Skyline       ( 2-10, 61.2)    27- 3   
 410 H Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 6-10, 79.5)    17- 9   
 414 A Plattsburgh            SUNYAC        (11- 6, 83.0)    12- 9   
 417 H Brockport              SUNYAC        ( 8- 6, 83.1)     9-13   
 424 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        (10- 4, 88.9)     9-14   
 427 A Hartwick               Empire 8      ( 6- 8, 81.9)     7-13   
 501 A Cortland               SUNYAC        (17- 3, 94.5)     8-17   
 505 N Geneseo                SUNYAC        (10- 4, 88.9)    11-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Mary Washington        12- 5       7    -2    +++    9.09
   306 H Clarkson                9- 8 2o    1     2          -1.39
   313 H Union                   4- 8      -4    -2          -1.99
   317 H Rensselaer              6- 8      -2    -3           1.43
   320 A St. John Fisher         8-17      -9    -5    -     -3.44
   324 H Ithaca                  9- 7       2     0    +      2.17
   330 H Hamilton                3-12      -9     0    ---   -9.54
   403 A Potsdam                12- 9       3     0    +      3.64
   407 N Mount Saint Mary       27- 3      24    21           0.00
   410 H Oswego                 17- 9       8     4    +      3.14
   414 A Plattsburgh            12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.36
   417 H Brockport               9-13      -4     1    --    -5.30
   424 H Geneseo                 9-14      -5    -4          -0.44
   427 A Hartwick                7-13      -6     0    --    -5.71
   501 A Cortland                8-17      -9   -12           1.00
   505 N Geneseo                11-19      -8    -5    -     -2.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Hamilton                3-12      -9     0    ---   -9.54
   417 H Brockport               9-13      -4     1    --    -5.30
   427 A Hartwick                7-13      -6     0    --    -5.71
   320 A St. John Fisher         8-17      -9    -5    -     -3.44
   505 N Geneseo                11-19      -8    -5    -     -2.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Mary Washington        12- 5       7    -2    +++    9.09
   414 A Plattsburgh            12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.36
   324 H Ithaca                  9- 7       2     0    +      2.17
   403 A Potsdam                12- 9       3     0    +      3.64
   410 H Oswego                 17- 9       8     4    +      3.14
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.00 Local Power Rank...........    56
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.81 Local SOS Rank.............    38
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    60
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   110
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    89
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.7
/