Conf = SCAC                       Region = South        State = AR
   Nickname = Warriors               Coach  = Jeremy Lichtig          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   71.9311905    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 N Carthage               Midwest       ( 8- 6, 73.8)     3- 8   
 305 N Kenyon                 North Coast   ( 6- 8, 81.0)     3-14   
 307 A Trine                  Midwest       ( 7- 6, 74.1)     5-13   
 314 N Otterbein              Independent   ( 4-11, 69.8)     5-11   
 316 A Washington & Jefferson Independent   ( 7- 6, 76.2)     6-14   
 318 A Saint Vincent          Independent   ( 5- 7, 79.2)     7-27   
 320 A Oberlin                North Coast   ( 5- 9, 73.9)     4- 6   
 327 A Southwestern           SCAC          ( 1-11, 60.7)     8- 9  o
 411 A Birmingham-Southern    SCAC          ( 7- 8, 77.1)     4-15   
 416 H Fontbonne              Midwest       ( 7- 9, 73.3)     5-11   
 417 H Christopher Newport    Independent   ( 7- 9, 77.3)     5-12   
 430 H Sewanee                SCAC          ( 4-10, 74.1)     3-10   
 502 H Colorado College       SCAC          (12- 2, 85.9)     2-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 N Carthage                3- 8      -5    -6           1.89
   305 N Kenyon                  3-14     -11   -14           0.00
   307 A Trine                   5-13      -8    -8           0.48
   314 N Otterbein               5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.14
   316 A Washington & Jefferson  6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   318 A Saint Vincent           7-27     -20   -13           0.00
   320 A Oberlin                 4- 6      -2    -8    +++    6.29
   327 A Southwestern            8- 9  o   -1     4    --    -5.87
   411 A Birmingham-Southern     4-15     -11   -11           0.00
   416 H Fontbonne               5-11      -6    -5          -0.99
   417 H Christopher Newport     5-12      -7    -8           1.98
   430 H Sewanee                 3-10      -7    -5          -1.20
   502 H Colorado College        2-19     -17   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Southwestern            8- 9  o   -1     4    --    -5.87
   314 N Otterbein               5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Oberlin                 4- 6      -2    -8    +++    6.29
   316 A Washington & Jefferson  6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 66.93 Local Power Rank...........   148
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.41 Local SOS Rank.............   132
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.30 Local RPI Rank.............   164
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    63
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   165
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  0-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.3
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