Conf = ACC Region = Southeast State = NC Nickname = Blue Devils Coach = John DanowskiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.4893112 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 213 N Bucknell Patriot ( 8- 6, 94.7) 12-11 o 220 H Notre Dame Big East (10- 7, 95.6) 7-11 227 H Penn Ivy League ( 5- 8, 92.6) 16-11 306 N Maryland ACC (12- 4, 97.6) 10-11 o 310 H North Carolina ACC (13- 3, 97.3) 7-13 313 A Loyola ECAC ( 9- 5, 95.4) 8- 5 320 H Penn State Colonial ( 2-11, 90.9) 20-11 323 H Dartmouth Ivy League ( 5- 8, 90.9) 15- 3 327 A Georgetown Big East ( 9- 5, 94.9) 15-10 330 H Brown Ivy League ( 8- 6, 93.9) 11-10 402 A Harvard Ivy League ( 6- 6, 93.1) 14- 5 404 H Jacksonville Independent ( 6- 7, 91.9) 16- 7 409 H Presbyterian Independent ( 1- 9, 83.7) 19- 8 417 A Virginia ACC (16- 2, 99.9) 13- 9 423 N Virginia ACC (16- 2, 99.9) 12-16 509 H Sacred Heart Independent ( 4-11, 88.2) 19- 7 515 H Johns Hopkins Independent ( 7- 8, 94.9) 18- 5 522 N North Carolina ACC (13- 3, 97.3) 17- 9 529 N Virginia ACC (16- 2, 99.9) 14-13 531 N Notre Dame Big East (10- 7, 95.6) 6- 5 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 N Bucknell 12-11 o 1 3 - -2.78 220 H Notre Dame 7-11 -4 4 --- -8.13 227 H Penn 16-11 5 7 - -2.16 306 N Maryland 10-11 o -1 0 -1.92 310 H North Carolina 7-13 -6 2 --- -8.41 313 A Loyola 8- 5 3 1 1.11 320 H Penn State 20-11 9 8 0.19 323 H Dartmouth 15- 3 12 8 1.21 327 A Georgetown 15-10 5 2 + 2.63 330 H Brown 11-10 1 5 -- -4.79 402 A Harvard 14- 5 9 4 ++ 4.87 404 H Jacksonville 16- 7 9 7 1.15 409 H Presbyterian 19- 8 11 16 0.00 417 A Virginia 13- 9 4 -2 +++ 6.64 423 N Virginia 12-16 -4 -1 - -2.59 509 H Sacred Heart 19- 7 12 11 0.00 515 H Johns Hopkins 18- 5 13 4 ++ 5.21 522 N North Carolina 17- 9 8 1 +++ 6.82 529 N Virginia 14-13 1 -1 + 2.41 531 N Notre Dame 6- 5 o 1 2 -1.90UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Notre Dame 7-11 -4 4 --- -8.13 310 H North Carolina 7-13 -6 2 --- -8.41 330 H Brown 11-10 1 5 -- -4.79 213 N Bucknell 12-11 o 1 3 - -2.78 227 H Penn 16-11 5 7 - -2.16 423 N Virginia 12-16 -4 -1 - -2.59OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 A Virginia 13- 9 4 -2 +++ 6.64 522 N North Carolina 17- 9 8 1 +++ 6.82 402 A Harvard 14- 5 9 4 ++ 4.87 515 H Johns Hopkins 18- 5 13 4 ++ 5.21 327 A Georgetown 15-10 5 2 + 2.63 529 N Virginia 14-13 1 -1 + 2.41/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 98.49 Local Power Rank........... 2 Local SOS Rating......... 86.88 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.65 Local RPI Rank............. 3 Championship Probability . 15.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.180.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 2 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.3