Conf = Patriot                    Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Black Knights          Coach  = Joe Alberici            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.5051270    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 H VMI                    Metro Atlanti ( 2-13, 84.7)    11- 9   
 223 H Bryant                 Independent   (12- 5, 92.9)     6- 7   
 228 A Syracuse               Big East      (13- 2, 98.1)     7-12   
 306 A Cornell                Ivy League    (12- 6, 95.3)    11-12  o
 313 A Air Force              ECAC          ( 1-13, 87.8)     7- 8  o
 320 H Rutgers                Big East      ( 6- 8, 92.0)    11- 8   
 323 A Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 8- 7, 90.0)     9- 5   
 330 A Hofstra                Colonial      ( 9- 5, 96.6)     2-17   
 403 H Colgate                Patriot       ( 3-10, 91.1)    11-10  o
 410 A Bucknell               Patriot       ( 8- 6, 94.7)     7- 6  o
 417 N Navy                   Patriot       ( 7- 8, 93.4)     7- 6   
 420 A Lafayette              Patriot       ( 8- 6, 92.9)    15-14   
 424 H Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 5-10, 90.2)    13-10   
 430 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 8- 6, 94.7)     9- 7   
 502 H Navy                   Patriot       ( 7- 8, 93.4)    11- 8   
 516 A Syracuse               Big East      (13- 2, 98.1)     9- 8 2o
 523 N Cornell                Ivy League    (12- 6, 95.3)     5-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H VMI                    11- 9       2     9    ---   -7.00
   223 H Bryant                  6- 7      -1     0          -1.80
   228 A Syracuse                7-12      -5    -6           1.81
   306 A Cornell                11-12  o   -1    -4    +      3.03
   313 A Air Force               7- 8  o   -1     3    --    -4.44
   320 H Rutgers                11- 8       3     1           1.29
   323 A Lehigh                  9- 5       4     1    +      2.70
   330 A Hofstra                 2-17     -15    -5    --    -4.67
   403 H Colgate                11-10  o    1     2          -1.68
   410 A Bucknell                7- 6  o    1    -3    ++     4.43
   417 N Navy                    7- 6       1     0           1.90
   420 A Lafayette              15-14       1    -1    +      2.66
   424 H Holy Cross             13-10       3     3          -0.49
   430 H Bucknell                9- 7       2     0    +      2.97
   502 H Navy                   11- 8       3     0    +      2.67
   516 A Syracuse                9- 8 2o    1    -6    +++    7.81
   523 N Cornell                 5-14      -9    -2    ---   -6.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H VMI                    11- 9       2     9    ---   -7.00
   523 N Cornell                 5-14      -9    -2    ---   -6.20
   313 A Air Force               7- 8  o   -1     3    --    -4.44
   330 A Hofstra                 2-17     -15    -5    --    -4.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Syracuse                9- 8 2o    1    -6    +++    7.81
   410 A Bucknell                7- 6  o    1    -3    ++     4.43
   306 A Cornell                11-12  o   -1    -4    +      3.03
   323 A Lehigh                  9- 5       4     1    +      2.70
   420 A Lafayette              15-14       1    -1    +      2.66
   430 H Bucknell                9- 7       2     0    +      2.97
   502 H Navy                   11- 8       3     0    +      2.67
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.51 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.66 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/