mens probabilites for 1
2009 NCAA iMen's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Syracuse Independent 16 2 1 4 1 1 5 1 7 34.00
2 Virginia ACC 15 3 2 8 3 2 3 2 7 6.00
3 Cornell Ivy League 13 4 4 2 4 3 1 4 8 16.00
4 Duke ACC 15 4 5 3 2 5 2 3 10 12.00
5 Johns Hopkins Independent 10 5 9 1 7 4 4 7 15 1.00
6 Princeton Ivy League 13 3 6 9 5 6 8 5 19 7.00
7 North Carolina ACC 12 6 8 6 8 9 6 8 23 3.00
8 Hofstra Colonial 11 4 14 12 10 8 9 9 26 0.10
9 Maryland ACC 10 7 13 7 13 11 7 11 29 4.00
10 Loyola ECAC 9 5 12 5 14 10 12 14 36 2.00
11 Notre Dame Great Western 15 1 3 34 6 7 28 6 41 3.00
12 Massachusetts ECAC 9 6 15 11 17 13 11 18 42 0.10
13 UMBC America East 12 4 7 31 12 14 17 12 43 1.00
14 Brown Ivy League 12 4 10 28 9 12 23 10 45 2.00
15 Colgate Patriot 9 6 20 18 16 17 15 16 48 1.00
16 Navy Patriot 11 5 16 27 11 15 21 13 49 0.10
17 Georgetown ECAC 7 7 21 10 21 19 14 22 55 2.00
18 Ohio State Great Western 8 8 24 22 28 21 13 28 62 2.00
19 Penn State ECAC 9 5 17 25 19 16 31 19 66 0.10
20 Albany America East 7 7 28 19 25 24 18 25 67 0.10
21 Harvard Ivy League 8 5 11 30 15 22 30 15 67 0.10
22 Villanova Colonial 11 6 19 36 22 18 29 20 67 0.10
23 Bucknell Patriot 9 7 18 24 27 20 25 26 71 0.10
24 Stony Brook America East 9 6 26 29 20 23 27 23 73 0.10
25 Towson Colonial 7 10 31 14 37 25 19 32 76 1.00
26 Army Patriot 6 10 29 21 34 31 16 34 81 0.10
27 Hobart ECAC 7 7 23 26 24 26 32 24 82 1.00
28 Yale Ivy League 5 8 36 16 26 30 26 30 86 0.10
29 Dartmouth Ivy League 4 11 43 15 38 37 10 41 88 0.10
30 Siena Metro Atlantic 12 6 25 52 23 29 39 21 89 0.10
31 Penn Ivy League 5 8 35 13 30 27 34 33 94 0.10
32 St. John's ECAC 5 9 39 23 39 33 24 39 96 0.10
33 Bryant Independent 10 5 22 51 18 34 49 17 100 1.00
34 Denver Great Western 7 8 30 38 33 32 33 35 100 0.10
35 Fairfield ECAC 7 6 27 35 29 28 46 27 101 1.00
36 Rutgers ECAC 4 11 40 20 45 36 20 45 101 0.10
37 Robert Morris Colonial 9 7 32 53 32 39 42 29 110 0.10
38 Air Force Great Western 7 7 33 43 31 38 44 31 113 0.10
39 Binghamton America East 3 12 48 17 50 41 22 51 114 0.10
40 Drexel Colonial 7 8 34 40 40 35 45 37 117 0.10
41 Vermont America East 4 10 46 32 44 42 35 46 123 0.10
42 Delaware Colonial 5 10 37 37 48 40 38 48 126 0.10
43 Mount St. Mary's Metro Atlantic 5 10 49 45 47 46 37 44 127 0.10
44 Canisius Metro Atlantic 4 9 50 46 42 48 40 42 130 0.10
45 Lafayette Patriot 6 7 38 48 35 43 51 36 130 0.10
46 Lehigh Patriot 4 11 42 33 52 44 36 52 132 0.10
47 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 10 8 41 57 36 45 50 38 133 0.10
48 Providence Metro Atlantic 6 10 47 47 46 47 41 47 135 0.10
49 Quinnipiac Great Western 4 9 45 44 43 49 43 43 135 0.10
50 Bellarmine Great Western 6 8 44 56 41 51 53 40 144 0.10
51 Sacred Heart Colonial 4 10 51 41 53 50 47 50 147 0.10
52 Holy Cross Patriot 3 12 55 39 54 53 48 56 157 0.10
53 Saint Joseph's Metro Atlantic 6 9 52 55 49 52 57 49 158 0.10
54 VMI Metro Atlantic 3 11 56 54 57 54 52 54 160 0.10
55 Hartford America East 2 11 53 49 56 56 54 57 167 0.10
56 Marist Metro Atlantic 4 9 54 59 51 55 59 53 167 0.10
57 Detroit Independent 0 11 58 42 55 57 56 55 168 0.10
58 Presbyterian Independent 1 11 57 50 58 58 55 58 171 0.10
59 Wagner Metro Atlantic 1 15 59 58 59 59 58 59 176 0.10
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