Conf = ACC Region = Southeast State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Joe BreschiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.1353912 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Robert Morris Colonial ( 9- 7, 87.3) 16- 4 214 H Denver Great Western ( 7- 8, 87.6) 20- 7 220 H Navy Patriot (11- 5, 92.6) 9- 8 222 H Colgate Patriot ( 9- 6, 91.2) 11- 9 228 N Lehigh Patriot ( 4-11, 83.2) 14- 6 303 H Detroit Independent ( 0-11, 71.7) 19- 4 308 A Notre Dame Great Western (15- 1, 97.7) 7- 9 311 H Providence Metro Atlanti ( 6-10, 82.7) 14- 7 314 H Duke ACC (15- 4, 97.0) 8-12 321 A Maryland ACC (10- 7, 93.5) 7- 8 328 H Johns Hopkins Independent (10- 5, 94.0) 10- 9 o 404 N Virginia ACC (15- 3, 97.8) 10-11 411 N Ohio State Great Western ( 8- 8, 89.9) 12-11 418 A Hofstra Colonial (11- 4, 93.0) 13- 8 424 H Maryland ACC (10- 7, 93.5) 16-10 426 H Duke ACC (15- 4, 97.0) 13-15 509 H UMBC America East (12- 4, 95.1) 15-13 517 N Duke ACC (15- 4, 97.0) 11-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Robert Morris 16- 4 12 8 1.21 214 H Denver 20- 7 13 8 1.47 220 H Navy 9- 8 1 3 - -2.53 222 H Colgate 11- 9 2 4 - -2.96 228 N Lehigh 14- 6 8 11 - -2.00 303 H Detroit 19- 4 15 24 0.00 308 A Notre Dame 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.41 311 H Providence 14- 7 7 13 - -3.00 314 H Duke 8-12 -4 0 - -3.12 321 A Maryland 7- 8 -1 0 -0.77 328 H Johns Hopkins 10- 9 o 1 2 -1.07 404 N Virginia 10-11 -1 -3 + 2.09 411 N Ohio State 12-11 1 4 - -3.78 418 A Hofstra 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.72 424 H Maryland 16-10 6 2 + 3.42 426 H Duke 13-15 -2 0 -1.12 509 H UMBC 15-13 2 1 0.96 517 N Duke 11-12 -1 -2 1.28UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Navy 9- 8 1 3 - -2.53 222 H Colgate 11- 9 2 4 - -2.96 228 N Lehigh 14- 6 8 11 - -2.00 311 H Providence 14- 7 7 13 - -3.00 314 H Duke 8-12 -4 0 - -3.12 411 N Ohio State 12-11 1 4 - -3.78OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A Hofstra 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.72 308 A Notre Dame 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.41 404 N Virginia 10-11 -1 -3 + 2.09 424 H Maryland 16-10 6 2 + 3.42/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.71 Local Power Rank........... 8 Local SOS Rating......... 80.21 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 9 Championship Probability . 3.0 Championship Rank ....... 7 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3