Conf = ACC                        Region = Southeast    State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Joe Breschi             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.1353912    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 207 H Robert Morris          Colonial      ( 9- 7, 87.3)    16- 4   
 214 H Denver                 Great Western ( 7- 8, 87.6)    20- 7   
 220 H Navy                   Patriot       (11- 5, 92.6)     9- 8   
 222 H Colgate                Patriot       ( 9- 6, 91.2)    11- 9   
 228 N Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 4-11, 83.2)    14- 6   
 303 H Detroit                Independent   ( 0-11, 71.7)    19- 4   
 308 A Notre Dame             Great Western (15- 1, 97.7)     7- 9   
 311 H Providence             Metro Atlanti ( 6-10, 82.7)    14- 7   
 314 H Duke                   ACC           (15- 4, 97.0)     8-12   
 321 A Maryland               ACC           (10- 7, 93.5)     7- 8   
 328 H Johns Hopkins          Independent   (10- 5, 94.0)    10- 9  o
 404 N Virginia               ACC           (15- 3, 97.8)    10-11   
 411 N Ohio State             Great Western ( 8- 8, 89.9)    12-11   
 418 A Hofstra                Colonial      (11- 4, 93.0)    13- 8   
 424 H Maryland               ACC           (10- 7, 93.5)    16-10   
 426 H Duke                   ACC           (15- 4, 97.0)    13-15   
 509 H UMBC                   America East  (12- 4, 95.1)    15-13   
 517 N Duke                   ACC           (15- 4, 97.0)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Robert Morris          16- 4      12     8           1.21
   214 H Denver                 20- 7      13     8           1.47
   220 H Navy                    9- 8       1     3    -     -2.53
   222 H Colgate                11- 9       2     4    -     -2.96
   228 N Lehigh                 14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00
   303 H Detroit                19- 4      15    24           0.00
   308 A Notre Dame              7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.41
   311 H Providence             14- 7       7    13    -     -3.00
   314 H Duke                    8-12      -4     0    -     -3.12
   321 A Maryland                7- 8      -1     0          -0.77
   328 H Johns Hopkins          10- 9  o    1     2          -1.07
   404 N Virginia               10-11      -1    -3    +      2.09
   411 N Ohio State             12-11       1     4    -     -3.78
   418 A Hofstra                13- 8       5     0    ++     4.72
   424 H Maryland               16-10       6     2    +      3.42
   426 H Duke                   13-15      -2     0          -1.12
   509 H UMBC                   15-13       2     1           0.96
   517 N Duke                   11-12      -1    -2           1.28

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Navy                    9- 8       1     3    -     -2.53
   222 H Colgate                11- 9       2     4    -     -2.96
   228 N Lehigh                 14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00
   311 H Providence             14- 7       7    13    -     -3.00
   314 H Duke                    8-12      -4     0    -     -3.12
   411 N Ohio State             12-11       1     4    -     -3.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Hofstra                13- 8       5     0    ++     4.72
   308 A Notre Dame              7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.41
   404 N Virginia               10-11      -1    -3    +      2.09
   424 H Maryland               16-10       6     2    +      3.42
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.71 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.21 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/