Conf = Colonial                   Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Bear Davis              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.8883362    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 207 A North Carolina         ACC           (12- 6, 94.7)     4-16   
 214 H Penn State             ECAC          ( 9- 5, 92.1)    12-11 2o
 221 H Bellarmine             Great Western ( 6- 8, 82.9)    20-11   
 227 H Manhattan              Metro Atlanti (10- 8, 84.9)    11- 8   
 301 H Detroit                Independent   ( 0-11, 71.7)    18- 8   
 307 H VMI                    Metro Atlanti ( 3-11, 76.9)    14- 6   
 310 A Presbyterian           Independent   ( 1-11, 73.2)    17- 4   
 313 A Ohio State             Great Western ( 8- 8, 89.9)    13-19   
 317 H Wagner                 Metro Atlanti ( 1-15, 71.0)    21- 8   
 321 A Towson                 Colonial      ( 7-10, 87.5)     9-11   
 328 A Hofstra                Colonial      (11- 4, 93.0)     5-11   
 404 H Drexel                 Colonial      ( 7- 8, 87.1)    11-10   
 407 A Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 4- 9, 82.0)     6- 7   
 411 H Delaware               Colonial      ( 5-10, 85.5)    10-12   
 418 A Villanova              Colonial      (11- 6, 91.5)    11-16   
 425 H Sacred Heart           Colonial      ( 4-10, 81.9)    13-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A North Carolina          4-16     -12    -8          -1.21
   214 H Penn State             12-11 2o    1    -3    ++     4.37
   221 H Bellarmine             20-11       9     5    +      3.19
   227 H Manhattan              11- 8       3     3          -0.88
   301 H Detroit                18- 8      10    16           0.00
   307 H VMI                    14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00
   310 A Presbyterian           17- 4      13    12           0.00
   313 A Ohio State             13-19      -6    -4          -2.00
   317 H Wagner                 21- 8      13    17           0.00
   321 A Towson                  9-11      -2    -1          -0.38
   328 A Hofstra                 5-11      -6    -7           1.11
   404 H Drexel                 11-10       1     1          -0.67
   407 A Canisius                6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.96
   411 H Delaware               10-12      -2     3    --    -5.19
   418 A Villanova              11-16      -5    -5           0.61
   425 H Sacred Heart           13-12       1     6    --    -5.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Canisius                6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.96
   411 H Delaware               10-12      -2     3    --    -5.19
   425 H Sacred Heart           13-12       1     6    --    -5.85
   307 H VMI                    14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 H Penn State             12-11 2o    1    -3    ++     4.37
   221 H Bellarmine             20-11       9     5    +      3.19
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.32 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.84 Local SOS Rank.............    53
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    39
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    48
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/