Conf = Colonial Region = Northeast State = PA Nickname = Colonials Coach = Bear DavisGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.8883362 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 207 A North Carolina ACC (12- 6, 94.7) 4-16 214 H Penn State ECAC ( 9- 5, 92.1) 12-11 2o 221 H Bellarmine Great Western ( 6- 8, 82.9) 20-11 227 H Manhattan Metro Atlanti (10- 8, 84.9) 11- 8 301 H Detroit Independent ( 0-11, 71.7) 18- 8 307 H VMI Metro Atlanti ( 3-11, 76.9) 14- 6 310 A Presbyterian Independent ( 1-11, 73.2) 17- 4 313 A Ohio State Great Western ( 8- 8, 89.9) 13-19 317 H Wagner Metro Atlanti ( 1-15, 71.0) 21- 8 321 A Towson Colonial ( 7-10, 87.5) 9-11 328 A Hofstra Colonial (11- 4, 93.0) 5-11 404 H Drexel Colonial ( 7- 8, 87.1) 11-10 407 A Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 4- 9, 82.0) 6- 7 411 H Delaware Colonial ( 5-10, 85.5) 10-12 418 A Villanova Colonial (11- 6, 91.5) 11-16 425 H Sacred Heart Colonial ( 4-10, 81.9) 13-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A North Carolina 4-16 -12 -8 -1.21 214 H Penn State 12-11 2o 1 -3 ++ 4.37 221 H Bellarmine 20-11 9 5 + 3.19 227 H Manhattan 11- 8 3 3 -0.88 301 H Detroit 18- 8 10 16 0.00 307 H VMI 14- 6 8 11 - -2.00 310 A Presbyterian 17- 4 13 12 0.00 313 A Ohio State 13-19 -6 -4 -2.00 317 H Wagner 21- 8 13 17 0.00 321 A Towson 9-11 -2 -1 -0.38 328 A Hofstra 5-11 -6 -7 1.11 404 H Drexel 11-10 1 1 -0.67 407 A Canisius 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.96 411 H Delaware 10-12 -2 3 -- -5.19 418 A Villanova 11-16 -5 -5 0.61 425 H Sacred Heart 13-12 1 6 -- -5.85UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Canisius 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.96 411 H Delaware 10-12 -2 3 -- -5.19 425 H Sacred Heart 13-12 1 6 -- -5.85 307 H VMI 14- 6 8 11 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Penn State 12-11 2o 1 -3 ++ 4.37 221 H Bellarmine 20-11 9 5 + 3.19/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.32 Local Power Rank........... 32 Local SOS Rating......... 65.84 Local SOS Rank............. 53 Local RPI Rating......... 0.46 Local RPI Rank............. 39 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 48 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 32 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.0