Conf = Patriot Region = Northeast State = PA Nickname = Mountain Hawks Coach = Kevin CasseseGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.9108353 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 214 H Saint Joseph's Metro Atlanti ( 6- 9, 81.9) 8- 9 221 H Brown Ivy League (12- 4, 94.0) 12-13 228 N North Carolina ACC (12- 6, 94.7) 6-14 304 A Stony Brook America East ( 9- 6, 89.6) 6-16 307 A Dartmouth Ivy League ( 4-11, 83.2) 11- 9 310 H Navy Patriot (11- 5, 92.6) 8-10 314 A Villanova Colonial (11- 6, 91.5) 6-16 317 A Army Patriot ( 6-10, 87.6) 13-12 o 321 A St. John's ECAC ( 5- 9, 85.1) 10- 9 o 324 A Delaware Colonial ( 5-10, 85.5) 5- 9 328 H Bryant Independent (10- 5, 90.8) 13-14 404 H Colgate Patriot ( 9- 6, 91.2) 8-10 411 A Bucknell Patriot ( 9- 7, 92.0) 10-18 414 A Holy Cross Patriot ( 3-12, 80.5) 7- 5 418 H Lafayette Patriot ( 6- 7, 85.2) 8- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Saint Joseph's 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.71 221 H Brown 12-13 -1 -9 +++ 8.39 228 N North Carolina 6-14 -8 -11 + 2.00 304 A Stony Brook 6-16 -10 -7 - -2.22 307 A Dartmouth 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.39 310 H Navy 8-10 -2 -8 +++ 6.00 314 A Villanova 6-16 -10 -9 -0.24 317 A Army 13-12 o 1 -5 +++ 6.86 321 A St. John's 10- 9 o 1 -3 ++ 4.30 324 A Delaware 5- 9 -4 -3 -0.24 328 H Bryant 13-14 -1 -6 ++ 5.20 404 H Colgate 8-10 -2 -6 ++ 4.57 411 A Bucknell 10-18 -8 -10 + 2.00 414 A Holy Cross 7- 5 2 1 0.68 418 H Lafayette 8- 9 -1 0 -0.34UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Saint Joseph's 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.71 304 A Stony Brook 6-16 -10 -7 - -2.22OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Brown 12-13 -1 -9 +++ 8.39 310 H Navy 8-10 -2 -8 +++ 6.00 317 A Army 13-12 o 1 -5 +++ 6.86 321 A St. John's 10- 9 o 1 -3 ++ 4.30 328 H Bryant 13-14 -1 -6 ++ 5.20 404 H Colgate 8-10 -2 -6 ++ 4.57 228 N North Carolina 6-14 -8 -11 + 2.00 307 A Dartmouth 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.39 411 A Bucknell 10-18 -8 -10 + 2.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.18 Local Power Rank........... 42 Local SOS Rating......... 73.71 Local SOS Rank............. 33 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 44 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 37 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 52 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 4-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3