Conf = Independent                Region = South        State = AR
   Nickname = Warriors               Coach  = Jeremy Lichtig          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   70.3140717    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 A Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (10- 5, 87.7)     1-26   
 222 A Mount St. Joseph       Independent   ( 6- 9, 70.9)     2-10   
 306 H Adrian                 Independent   ( 8- 6, 77.6)     3-23   
 311 A Farmingdale State      Skyline       ( 6-10, 77.5)     7-20   
 312 A Mt. St. Vincent        Skyline       ( 5- 8, 63.5)     5- 6   
 319 H Carthage               Independent   ( 3- 7, 63.9)     4- 8   
 321 N Washington & Jefferson Independent   ( 8- 5, 71.8)     5-15   
 328 A Fontbonne              Independent   ( 4- 8, 68.9)     4- 8   
 411 H Birmingham-Southern    Independent   ( 6- 9, 69.2)     5-17   
 417 H Trine                  Independent   ( 6- 9, 71.9)     4-20   
 424 A Colorado College       Independent   ( 9- 6, 87.1)     1-20   
 425 N Sewanee                Independent   ( 4-10, 67.6)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Ohio Wesleyan           1-26     -25   -32           0.00
   222 A Mount St. Joseph        2-10      -8   -15    +      2.00
   306 H Adrian                  3-23     -20   -19           0.00
   311 A Farmingdale State       7-20     -13   -22           0.00
   312 A Mt. St. Vincent         5- 6      -1    -8    +++    7.24
   319 H Carthage                4- 8      -4    -5           1.74
   321 N Washington & Jefferson  5-15     -10   -15           0.00
   328 A Fontbonne               4- 8      -4   -13    +++    6.00
   411 H Birmingham-Southern     5-17     -12   -11           0.00
   417 H Trine                   4-20     -16   -13           0.00
   424 A Colorado College        1-20     -19   -31           0.00
   425 N Sewanee                 9-10      -1   -10    +++    9.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Mt. St. Vincent         5- 6      -1    -8    +++    7.24
   328 A Fontbonne               4- 8      -4   -13    +++    6.00
   425 N Sewanee                 9-10      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   222 A Mount St. Joseph        2-10      -8   -15    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 56.71 Local Power Rank...........   145
 Local SOS Rating......... 46.69 Local SOS Rank.............   122
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.31 Local RPI Rank.............   150
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    62
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   148
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  0-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -11.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -20.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -12.0
/