Conf = North Coast                Region = South        State = OH
   Nickname = Big Red                Coach  = Mike Caravana           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.7102280    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 223 H Trine                  Independent   ( 6- 9, 71.9)    22- 1   
 228 A Randolph-Macon         Old Dominion  ( 7- 7, 78.4)     8- 9   
 314 N Lynchburg              Old Dominion  (11- 5, 87.5)    19- 9   
 321 N St. Mary's             Capital       ( 8- 7, 83.6)    14- 7   
 325 H Wittenberg             North Coast   ( 7- 6, 85.9)    12- 4   
 328 H Wooster                North Coast   ( 7- 6, 81.6)     8- 7   
 405 A Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (10- 5, 87.7)    17- 9   
 408 A Oberlin                North Coast   ( 0-12, 62.4)    22- 3   
 411 H Adrian                 Independent   ( 8- 6, 77.6)    18- 4   
 414 H Mount St. Joseph       Independent   ( 6- 9, 70.9)    17- 1   
 417 H Colorado College       Independent   ( 9- 6, 87.1)    17- 5   
 425 A Kenyon                 North Coast   ( 8- 6, 83.7)     8- 6   
 429 A Saint Vincent          Independent   ( 5- 9, 74.8)    24- 6   
 502 H Stevenson              Capital       (17- 2, 94.4)     9-12   
 506 H Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (10- 5, 87.7)    12- 2   
 509 A Roanoke                Old Dominion  (17- 2, 93.5)    14- 7   
 513 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (16- 4, 92.7)     8-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 H Trine                  22- 1      21    22           0.00
   228 A Randolph-Macon          8- 9      -1    13    ---  -11.00
   314 N Lynchburg              19- 9      10     5    ++     4.56
   321 N St. Mary's             14- 7       7     9    -     -2.36
   325 H Wittenberg             12- 4       8     8          -0.44
   328 H Wooster                 8- 7       1    12    ---   -9.00
   405 A Ohio Wesleyan          17- 9       8     3    ++     4.27
   408 A Oberlin                22- 3      19    29           0.00
   411 H Adrian                 18- 4      14    16           0.00
   414 H Mount St. Joseph       17- 1      16    23           0.00
   417 H Colorado College       17- 5      12     7    +      2.69
   425 A Kenyon                  8- 6       2     7    --    -5.81
   429 A Saint Vincent          24- 6      18    16           0.00
   502 H Stevenson               9-12      -3     0    -     -2.99
   506 H Ohio Wesleyan          12- 2      10     6    +      3.37
   509 A Roanoke                14- 7       7    -2    +++    9.04
   513 A Gettysburg              8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Randolph-Macon          8- 9      -1    13    ---  -11.00
   328 H Wooster                 8- 7       1    12    ---   -9.00
   425 A Kenyon                  8- 6       2     7    --    -5.81
   321 N St. Mary's             14- 7       7     9    -     -2.36
   502 H Stevenson               9-12      -3     0    -     -2.99
   513 A Gettysburg              8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Roanoke                14- 7       7    -2    +++    9.04
   314 N Lynchburg              19- 9      10     5    ++     4.56
   405 A Ohio Wesleyan          17- 9       8     3    ++     4.27
   417 H Colorado College       17- 5      12     7    +      2.69
   506 H Ohio Wesleyan          12- 2      10     6    +      3.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.92 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.90 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   14.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/