Conf = Patriot                    Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Black Knights          Coach  = Joe Alberici            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.2263565    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 214 H VMI                    Metro Atlanti ( 3-11, 76.9)    17- 3   
 220 A Syracuse               Independent   (16- 2, 99.9)     6-17   
 228 H Cornell                Ivy League    (13- 4, 97.6)     8- 9   
 304 H Bryant                 Independent   (10- 5, 90.8)    11- 5   
 307 H Air Force              Great Western ( 7- 7, 87.2)    14- 9   
 314 A Rutgers                ECAC          ( 4-11, 84.9)     9- 6   
 317 H Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 4-11, 83.2)    12-13  o
 321 A Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 3-12, 80.5)     8- 5   
 324 H Hofstra                Colonial      (11- 4, 93.0)     8- 9 2o
 329 A Colgate                Patriot       ( 9- 6, 91.2)     9-10 2o
 404 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 9- 7, 92.0)     6- 8   
 411 N Navy                   Patriot       (11- 5, 92.6)     4- 8   
 414 H Lafayette              Patriot       ( 6- 7, 85.2)    13-12   
 418 A Duke                   ACC           (15- 4, 97.0)     6-10   
 424 A Bucknell               Patriot       ( 9- 7, 92.0)     8-10   
 502 H Penn                   Ivy League    ( 5- 8, 86.3)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 H VMI                    17- 3      14    12           0.00
   220 A Syracuse                6-17     -11   -13           0.00
   228 H Cornell                 8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.58
   304 H Bryant                 11- 5       6    -1    +++    7.74
   307 H Air Force              14- 9       5     1    +      3.19
   314 A Rutgers                 9- 6       3     1           1.65
   317 H Lehigh                 12-13  o   -1     5    ---   -6.86
   321 A Holy Cross              8- 5       3     5    -     -2.78
   324 H Hofstra                 8- 9 2o   -1    -3    +      2.99
   329 A Colgate                 9-10 2o   -1    -4    +      3.91
   404 H Bucknell                6- 8      -2    -2           0.96
   411 N Navy                    4- 8      -4    -4           0.94
   414 H Lafayette              13-12       1     3    -     -2.80
   418 A Duke                    6-10      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   424 A Bucknell                8-10      -2    -5    +      3.76
   502 H Penn                   10-11      -1     2    -     -3.76

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Lehigh                 12-13  o   -1     5    ---   -6.86
   321 A Holy Cross              8- 5       3     5    -     -2.78
   414 H Lafayette              13-12       1     3    -     -2.80
   502 H Penn                   10-11      -1     2    -     -3.76

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Cornell                 8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.58
   304 H Bryant                 11- 5       6    -1    +++    7.74
   418 A Duke                    6-10      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   307 H Air Force              14- 9       5     1    +      3.19
   324 H Hofstra                 8- 9 2o   -1    -3    +      2.99
   329 A Colgate                 9-10 2o   -1    -4    +      3.91
   424 A Bucknell                8-10      -2    -5    +      3.76
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.64 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.22 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    34
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/