Conf = Patriot Region = Northeast State = NY Nickname = Black Knights Coach = Joe AlbericiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.2263565 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 214 H VMI Metro Atlanti ( 3-11, 76.9) 17- 3 220 A Syracuse Independent (16- 2, 99.9) 6-17 228 H Cornell Ivy League (13- 4, 97.6) 8- 9 304 H Bryant Independent (10- 5, 90.8) 11- 5 307 H Air Force Great Western ( 7- 7, 87.2) 14- 9 314 A Rutgers ECAC ( 4-11, 84.9) 9- 6 317 H Lehigh Patriot ( 4-11, 83.2) 12-13 o 321 A Holy Cross Patriot ( 3-12, 80.5) 8- 5 324 H Hofstra Colonial (11- 4, 93.0) 8- 9 2o 329 A Colgate Patriot ( 9- 6, 91.2) 9-10 2o 404 H Bucknell Patriot ( 9- 7, 92.0) 6- 8 411 N Navy Patriot (11- 5, 92.6) 4- 8 414 H Lafayette Patriot ( 6- 7, 85.2) 13-12 418 A Duke ACC (15- 4, 97.0) 6-10 424 A Bucknell Patriot ( 9- 7, 92.0) 8-10 502 H Penn Ivy League ( 5- 8, 86.3) 10-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H VMI 17- 3 14 12 0.00 220 A Syracuse 6-17 -11 -13 0.00 228 H Cornell 8- 9 -1 -8 +++ 7.58 304 H Bryant 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 7.74 307 H Air Force 14- 9 5 1 + 3.19 314 A Rutgers 9- 6 3 1 1.65 317 H Lehigh 12-13 o -1 5 --- -6.86 321 A Holy Cross 8- 5 3 5 - -2.78 324 H Hofstra 8- 9 2o -1 -3 + 2.99 329 A Colgate 9-10 2o -1 -4 + 3.91 404 H Bucknell 6- 8 -2 -2 0.96 411 N Navy 4- 8 -4 -4 0.94 414 H Lafayette 13-12 1 3 - -2.80 418 A Duke 6-10 -4 -10 +++ 6.00 424 A Bucknell 8-10 -2 -5 + 3.76 502 H Penn 10-11 -1 2 - -3.76UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 H Lehigh 12-13 o -1 5 --- -6.86 321 A Holy Cross 8- 5 3 5 - -2.78 414 H Lafayette 13-12 1 3 - -2.80 502 H Penn 10-11 -1 2 - -3.76OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Cornell 8- 9 -1 -8 +++ 7.58 304 H Bryant 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 7.74 418 A Duke 6-10 -4 -10 +++ 6.00 307 H Air Force 14- 9 5 1 + 3.19 324 H Hofstra 8- 9 2o -1 -3 + 2.99 329 A Colgate 9-10 2o -1 -4 + 3.91 424 A Bucknell 8-10 -2 -5 + 3.76/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.64 Local Power Rank........... 29 Local SOS Rating......... 76.22 Local SOS Rank............. 21 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 31 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 22 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 34 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3