Conf = Great Western Region = West State = CO Nickname = Falcons Coach = Eric SeremetGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.4511414 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 214 N Maryland ACC (10- 7, 93.5) 4-15 215 N Presbyterian Independent ( 1-11, 73.2) 12- 8 228 N Towson Colonial ( 7-10, 87.5) 9-11 301 N Sacred Heart Colonial ( 4-10, 81.9) 15- 5 307 A Army Patriot ( 6-10, 87.6) 9-14 314 A Quinnipiac Great Western ( 4- 9, 82.8) 14- 8 321 N Bucknell Patriot ( 9- 7, 92.0) 2- 9 324 A Manhattan Metro Atlanti (10- 8, 84.9) 8- 9 404 A Notre Dame Great Western (15- 1, 97.7) 4-10 411 A Bellarmine Great Western ( 6- 8, 82.9) 12- 7 418 H Ohio State Great Western ( 8- 8, 89.9) 9- 6 419 H Detroit Independent ( 0-11, 71.7) 13- 6 425 A Denver Great Western ( 7- 8, 87.6) 10- 7 501 N Ohio State Great Western ( 8- 8, 89.9) 5-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 N Maryland 4-15 -11 -6 - -3.70 215 N Presbyterian 12- 8 4 14 --- -6.00 228 N Towson 9-11 -2 0 -1.69 301 N Sacred Heart 15- 5 10 5 ++ 4.64 307 A Army 9-14 -5 -1 - -3.19 314 A Quinnipiac 14- 8 6 3 + 2.95 321 N Bucknell 2- 9 -7 -4 - -2.23 324 A Manhattan 8- 9 -1 0 -1.98 404 A Notre Dame 4-10 -6 -11 ++ 4.00 411 A Bellarmine 12- 7 5 2 + 2.09 418 H Ohio State 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.29 419 H Detroit 13- 6 7 16 - -3.00 425 A Denver 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.75 501 N Ohio State 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.31UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 N Presbyterian 12- 8 4 14 --- -6.00 214 N Maryland 4-15 -11 -6 - -3.70 307 A Army 9-14 -5 -1 - -3.19 321 N Bucknell 2- 9 -7 -4 - -2.23 419 H Detroit 13- 6 7 16 - -3.00 501 N Ohio State 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.31OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 N Sacred Heart 15- 5 10 5 ++ 4.64 404 A Notre Dame 4-10 -6 -11 ++ 4.00 418 H Ohio State 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.29 425 A Denver 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.75 314 A Quinnipiac 14- 8 6 3 + 2.95 411 A Bellarmine 12- 7 5 2 + 2.09/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.23 Local Power Rank........... 33 Local SOS Rating......... 69.31 Local SOS Rank............. 43 Local RPI Rating......... 0.46 Local RPI Rank............. 38 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 20 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 31 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 0.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7