mens probabilites for 1
2008 NCAA Men's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Syracuse Independent 16 2 2 5 2 1 3 2 6 26.00
2 Virginia ACC 14 4 4 3 3 3 1 3 7 5.00
3 Duke ACC 18 2 1 9 1 2 5 1 8 47.00
4 Johns Hopkins Independent 11 6 5 1 4 4 2 4 10 6.00
5 North Carolina ACC 8 6 14 2 6 6 4 6 16 1.00
6 Maryland ACC 10 6 8 7 8 9 6 8 23 1.00
7 Notre Dame Great Western 14 3 3 18 5 5 13 5 23 3.00
8 Ohio State Great Western 11 6 6 8 14 8 7 10 25 6.00
9 Colgate Patriot 11 6 15 12 15 10 8 14 32 0.10
10 Navy Patriot 10 6 13 15 9 13 10 9 32 0.10
11 Cornell Ivy League 11 4 7 10 10 7 19 7 33 0.10
12 Hofstra Colonial 10 6 18 16 20 11 11 19 41 0.10
13 Army Patriot 9 6 16 20 19 17 12 18 47 0.10
14 Denver Great Western 10 7 23 21 17 18 14 17 49 0.10
15 Princeton Ivy League 7 6 22 6 21 12 17 20 49 0.10
16 UMBC America East 12 4 10 27 7 14 25 11 50 0.10
17 Loyola ECAC 7 7 17 4 18 21 9 22 52 3.00
18 Bucknell Patriot 10 5 20 26 13 20 20 15 55 0.10
19 Georgetown ECAC 9 4 9 13 11 16 23 16 55 0.10
20 Albany America East 8 8 19 14 29 22 15 25 62 0.10
21 Drexel Colonial 13 4 11 42 12 19 33 12 64 0.10
22 Brown Ivy League 11 3 12 38 16 15 37 13 65 0.10
23 Dartmouth Ivy League 7 7 30 32 25 27 24 24 75 0.10
24 Delaware Colonial 9 7 24 37 31 23 27 28 78 0.10
25 Towson Colonial 5 9 33 11 36 24 18 38 80 0.10
26 Lehigh Patriot 6 9 40 29 37 30 16 36 82 0.10
27 Rutgers ECAC 6 7 29 19 27 26 26 32 84 0.10
28 Penn Ivy League 6 7 31 24 34 25 31 29 85 0.10
29 Hobart ECAC 8 6 21 40 24 28 34 26 88 0.10
30 Binghamton America East 4 8 38 22 35 33 21 35 89 0.10
31 Canisius Metro Atlantic 10 6 32 49 23 29 38 23 90 0.10
32 Villanova Colonial 5 10 43 25 42 31 22 41 94 0.10
33 Quinnipiac Great Western 8 5 34 44 22 32 43 21 96 0.10
34 Penn State ECAC 7 7 27 33 26 35 40 31 106 1.00
35 Massachusetts ECAC 5 9 35 17 39 37 28 42 107 0.10
36 Air Force Great Western 3 9 51 28 41 39 29 40 108 0.10
37 Harvard Ivy League 6 8 25 31 38 36 35 37 108 1.00
38 Stony Brook America East 7 7 26 36 32 34 41 33 108 0.10
39 Sacred Heart Colonial 7 5 37 50 30 38 50 27 115 0.10
40 Vermont America East 5 11 44 30 48 40 30 46 116 0.10
41 Bellarmine Great Western 7 7 42 51 33 41 48 30 119 0.10
42 Yale Ivy League 4 10 39 35 47 43 36 45 124 0.10
43 Providence Metro Atlantic 7 8 36 54 40 42 47 39 128 0.10
44 Mount St. Mary's Metro Atlantic 2 12 54 41 51 50 32 50 132 0.10
45 Siena Metro Atlantic 10 6 28 57 28 44 56 34 134 0.10
46 Lafayette Patriot 4 9 45 45 45 47 45 44 136 0.10
47 VMI Metro Atlantic 6 10 52 52 46 48 42 47 137 0.10
48 Fairfield ECAC 4 9 41 34 43 45 46 48 139 0.10
49 St. John's ECAC 2 11 46 23 50 46 39 54 139 0.10
50 Holy Cross Patriot 5 9 47 46 44 52 51 43 146 0.10
51 Saint Joseph's Metro Atlantic 4 11 49 48 54 51 44 53 148 0.10
52 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 6 9 50 55 49 49 52 49 150 0.10
53 Hartford America East 0 13 55 39 56 55 49 56 160 0.10
54 Presbyterian Independent 0 11 57 43 52 56 53 51 160 0.10
55 Robert Morris Colonial 4 11 48 47 53 53 55 52 160 0.10
56 Marist Metro Atlantic 3 13 53 53 55 54 54 55 163 0.10
57 Wagner Metro Atlantic 0 15 56 56 57 57 57 57 171 0.10
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