Conf = Little East Region = North State = CT Nickname = Colonials Coach = Jason OuelletGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.8157806 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 305 H Mount Ida North Atlanti (13- 6, 73.9) 9- 8 308 H Castleton North Atlanti (13- 7, 67.2) 12- 3 310 H Nichols Commonwealth ( 1-14, 67.2) 10- 6 312 A Trinity NESCAC ( 6- 9, 78.8) 6-13 316 H Plattsburgh SUNYAC ( 8- 8, 76.6) 13-14 318 A Maritime Skyline (11- 5, 76.2) 6-15 320 N Vassar Liberty ( 4-11, 66.9) 11-10 329 H Plymouth State Little East (12- 7, 75.2) 9- 7 402 A Eastern Connecticut Little East (10- 7, 77.2) 14-16 406 H Southern Maine Little East ( 4-12, 61.7) 14- 4 409 H Mitchell Independent ( 1-11, 44.5) 24- 4 412 H Keene State Little East ( 9- 3, 81.6) 5-14 415 H Salem State Independent ( 8- 5, 68.4) 18- 3 419 A Mass-Boston Little East ( 4-11, 65.4) 14- 5 422 A Connecticut College NESCAC (10- 6, 81.4) 5- 8 426 H Mass-Dartmouth Little East (10- 5, 73.4) 12- 5 429 H Mass-Boston Little East ( 4-11, 65.4) 14- 6 501 A Keene State Little East ( 9- 3, 81.6) 14-13 o 503 H Plymouth State Little East (12- 7, 75.2) 18- 7 507 A Western New England Commonwealth (15- 5, 84.8) 4-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 H Mount Ida 9- 8 1 3 - -2.55 308 H Castleton 12- 3 9 10 -1.00 310 H Nichols 10- 6 4 10 --- -6.00 312 A Trinity 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.60 316 H Plattsburgh 13-14 -1 0 -1.83 318 A Maritime 6-15 -9 -1 --- -7.18 320 N Vassar 11-10 1 9 --- -8.00 329 H Plymouth State 9- 7 2 2 -0.30 402 A Eastern Connecticut 14-16 -2 -2 0.85 406 H Southern Maine 14- 4 10 15 0.00 409 H Mitchell 24- 4 20 32 0.00 412 H Keene State 5-14 -9 -4 -- -4.85 415 H Salem State 18- 3 15 9 0.92 419 A Mass-Boston 14- 5 9 8 0.04 422 A Connecticut College 5- 8 -3 -7 ++ 4.07 426 H Mass-Dartmouth 12- 5 7 4 + 2.91 429 H Mass-Boston 14- 6 8 12 - -2.00 501 A Keene State 14-13 o 1 -7 +++ 8.25 503 H Plymouth State 18- 7 11 2 +++ 7.70 507 A Western New England 4-14 -10 -10 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Nichols 10- 6 4 10 --- -6.00 318 A Maritime 6-15 -9 -1 --- -7.18 320 N Vassar 11-10 1 9 --- -8.00 412 H Keene State 5-14 -9 -4 -- -4.85 305 H Mount Ida 9- 8 1 3 - -2.55 312 A Trinity 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.60 429 H Mass-Boston 14- 6 8 12 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A Keene State 14-13 o 1 -7 +++ 8.25 503 H Plymouth State 18- 7 11 2 +++ 7.70 422 A Connecticut College 5- 8 -3 -7 ++ 4.07 426 H Mass-Dartmouth 12- 5 7 4 + 2.91/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 75.91 Local Power Rank........... 69 Local SOS Rating......... 45.42 Local SOS Rank............. 95 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 47 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 141 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 72 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7