Conf = ECAC Region = Northeast State = NY Nickname = Statesmen Coach = Matt KerwickGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.6778336 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 224 A Bucknell Patriot (10- 5, 89.5) 9-10 301 H Hartford America East ( 0-13, 75.6) 13- 4 308 H Saint Joseph's Metro Atlanti ( 4-11, 79.0) 8- 3 315 A Georgetown ECAC ( 9- 4, 92.1) 12-13 2o 318 N Presbyterian Independent ( 0-11, 68.3) 19- 4 321 A Rutgers ECAC ( 6- 7, 86.3) 10-13 325 H Syracuse Independent (16- 2, 98.6) 5-13 329 A Fairfield ECAC ( 4- 9, 82.3) 12- 4 405 H Penn State ECAC ( 7- 7, 87.0) 8- 6 412 A Massachusetts ECAC ( 5- 9, 84.0) 7- 8 o 419 H St. John's ECAC ( 2-11, 79.8) 17- 7 422 A Canisius Metro Atlanti (10- 6, 85.1) 10- 3 426 H Loyola ECAC ( 7- 7, 90.2) 10- 6 502 H Cornell Ivy League (11- 4, 92.7) 7-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A Bucknell 9-10 -1 -2 1.10 301 H Hartford 13- 4 9 15 -1.00 308 H Saint Joseph's 8- 3 5 11 -- -5.00 315 A Georgetown 12-13 2o -1 -4 + 3.77 318 N Presbyterian 19- 4 15 20 0.00 321 A Rutgers 10-13 -3 1 -- -4.03 325 H Syracuse 5-13 -8 -7 -0.11 329 A Fairfield 12- 4 8 5 + 2.96 405 H Penn State 8- 6 2 3 -1.77 412 A Massachusetts 7- 8 o -1 3 -- -4.38 419 H St. John's 17- 7 10 10 0.00 422 A Canisius 10- 3 7 2 ++ 4.71 426 H Loyola 10- 6 4 0 + 3.48 502 H Cornell 7-15 -8 -1 --- -6.07UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 H Cornell 7-15 -8 -1 --- -6.07 308 H Saint Joseph's 8- 3 5 11 -- -5.00 321 A Rutgers 10-13 -3 1 -- -4.03 412 A Massachusetts 7- 8 o -1 3 -- -4.38OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Canisius 10- 3 7 2 ++ 4.71 315 A Georgetown 12-13 2o -1 -4 + 3.77 329 A Fairfield 12- 4 8 5 + 2.96 426 H Loyola 10- 6 4 0 + 3.48/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.05 Local Power Rank........... 21 Local SOS Rating......... 67.65 Local SOS Rank............. 40 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 28 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 29 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 24 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0