Conf = NESCAC Region = North State = ME Nickname = Polar Bears Coach = Tom McCabeGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.6051331 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 309 A Connecticut College NESCAC (10- 6, 81.4) 8- 6 311 N Norwich Pilgrim ( 3- 8, 56.2) 27- 0 317 N St. Lawrence Liberty (11- 3, 86.5) 17-10 319 N Clarkson Liberty ( 9- 4, 82.6) 5- 6 o 322 H Middlebury NESCAC (13- 3, 87.1) 11-12 2o 325 A Endicott Commonwealth (18- 3, 85.4) 7- 5 329 A Wesleyan NESCAC (10- 5, 84.5) 5-13 402 N Springfield Pilgrim (11- 7, 81.2) 9- 8 405 A Trinity NESCAC ( 6- 9, 78.8) 10- 8 412 A Tufts NESCAC ( 9- 6, 82.5) 4-19 416 H Colby NESCAC ( 6- 8, 77.2) 10- 6 419 H Amherst NESCAC ( 8- 7, 81.5) 12- 9 422 H Bates NESCAC ( 3-10, 76.3) 8- 6 426 A Williams NESCAC (10- 6, 84.0) 7- 8 o 427 H Connecticut College NESCAC (10- 6, 81.4) 11-10 o 503 N Wesleyan NESCAC (10- 5, 84.5) 11- 9 504 N Williams NESCAC (10- 6, 84.0) 4- 9 507 H Mount Ida North Atlanti (13- 6, 73.9) 11- 5 510 A Middlebury NESCAC (13- 3, 87.1) 7-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 A Connecticut College 8- 6 2 0 + 2.47 311 N Norwich 27- 0 27 26 0.00 317 N St. Lawrence 17-10 7 -3 +++ 10.96 319 N Clarkson 5- 6 o -1 0 -0.93 322 H Middlebury 11-12 2o -1 -3 + 2.08 325 A Endicott 7- 5 2 -4 +++ 6.40 329 A Wesleyan 5-13 -8 -3 -- -4.49 402 N Springfield 9- 8 1 1 -0.29 405 A Trinity 10- 8 2 2 -0.20 412 A Tufts 4-19 -15 -1 --- -8.50 416 H Colby 10- 6 4 6 - -2.83 419 H Amherst 12- 9 3 2 0.44 422 H Bates 8- 6 2 7 -- -5.78 426 A Williams 7- 8 o -1 -3 + 2.04 427 H Connecticut College 11-10 o 1 2 -1.63 503 N Wesleyan 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.96 504 N Williams 4- 9 -5 -1 - -3.51 507 H Mount Ida 11- 5 6 10 -- -4.00 510 A Middlebury 7-10 -3 -6 + 3.18UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 A Tufts 4-19 -15 -1 --- -8.50 329 A Wesleyan 5-13 -8 -3 -- -4.49 422 H Bates 8- 6 2 7 -- -5.78 507 H Mount Ida 11- 5 6 10 -- -4.00 416 H Colby 10- 6 4 6 - -2.83 504 N Williams 4- 9 -5 -1 - -3.51OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 N St. Lawrence 17-10 7 -3 +++ 10.96 325 A Endicott 7- 5 2 -4 +++ 6.40 309 A Connecticut College 8- 6 2 0 + 2.47 322 H Middlebury 11-12 2o -1 -3 + 2.08 426 A Williams 7- 8 o -1 -3 + 2.04 503 N Wesleyan 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.96 510 A Middlebury 7-10 -3 -6 + 3.18/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 82.51 Local Power Rank........... 24 Local SOS Rating......... 59.52 Local SOS Rank............. 10 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 13 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 19 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 23 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7