2006 NCAA Men's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Virginia ACC 17 0 1 8 1 1 2 1 4 49.00 2 Maryland ACC 12 5 5 4 3 3 1 3 7 8.00 3 Syracuse Independent 10 5 9 1 7 2 3 6 11 4.00 4 Johns Hopkins Independent 9 5 10 3 6 5 5 5 15 2.00 5 Georgetown ECAC 11 3 8 5 4 4 8 4 16 1.00 6 Massachusetts ECAC 13 5 6 6 5 8 4 7 19 0.10 7 Princeton Ivy League 11 5 7 7 9 9 6 9 24 3.00 8 Cornell Ivy League 11 3 3 11 8 6 12 8 26 17.00 9 Hofstra Colonial 17 2 2 27 2 7 18 2 27 7.00 10 Navy Patriot 11 4 11 29 12 10 13 10 33 0.10 11 UMBC America East 10 5 13 17 16 11 17 13 41 0.10 12 Notre Dame Great Western 10 5 15 15 14 12 15 17 44 0.10 13 Towson Colonial 8 6 18 12 18 15 11 19 45 1.00 14 Denver Great Western 12 5 12 30 15 13 21 16 50 0.10 15 Army Patriot 8 7 25 19 22 19 9 23 51 0.10 16 Harvard Ivy League 6 7 21 10 20 21 10 21 52 1.00 17 North Carolina ACC 4 10 30 2 28 17 7 28 52 0.10 18 Pennsylvania Ivy League 10 4 14 23 10 14 31 11 56 1.00 19 Stony Brook America East 8 7 24 13 24 16 14 27 57 1.00 20 Delaware Colonial 12 5 16 38 13 23 24 15 62 1.00 21 Albany America East 8 7 20 20 25 22 23 22 67 1.00 22 Dartmouth Ivy League 8 7 23 18 23 24 20 24 68 0.10 23 Loyola ECAC 6 6 19 14 19 26 26 18 70 0.10 24 Penn State ECAC 8 5 17 22 21 18 35 20 73 0.10 25 Colgate Patriot 11 4 22 44 17 25 37 14 76 0.10 26 Lehigh Patriot 8 7 29 37 27 27 25 26 78 0.10 27 Duke ACC 6 2 4 35 11 20 50 12 82 3.00 28 Binghamton America East 7 8 36 26 31 28 27 32 87 0.10 29 Rutgers ECAC 5 9 32 16 38 30 22 36 88 0.10 30 Hobart ECAC 6 8 27 21 30 29 33 29 91 0.10 31 Bucknell Patriot 6 8 33 36 37 32 28 34 94 0.10 32 Ohio State Great Western 7 6 31 39 26 31 41 25 97 0.10 33 Yale Ivy League 6 8 26 25 35 33 30 37 100 0.10 34 Brown Ivy League 2 11 42 9 46 39 16 46 101 0.10 35 Villanova Colonial 5 10 39 24 41 38 19 44 101 0.10 36 Fairfield ECAC 6 7 28 31 29 35 38 33 106 0.10 37 Mount St. Mary's Metro Atlantic 7 9 43 42 42 36 32 39 107 0.10 38 Providence Metro Atlantic 10 7 37 51 32 34 44 35 113 0.10 39 Quinnipiac Great Western 7 6 41 50 33 40 45 30 115 0.10 40 Drexel Colonial 5 9 35 33 40 42 34 41 117 0.10 41 Air Force Great Western 7 9 38 41 44 41 40 42 123 0.10 42 Vermont America East 9 6 34 49 34 37 57 31 125 0.10 43 Bellarmine Independent 7 8 40 45 36 46 42 38 126 0.10 44 Butler Great Western 4 10 46 32 47 43 36 47 126 0.10 45 Sacred Heart Colonial 2 12 53 28 51 48 29 53 130 0.10 46 Canisius Metro Atlantic 7 8 47 54 43 45 46 43 134 0.10 47 Saint Joseph's Metro Atlantic 6 9 44 48 48 44 43 48 135 0.10 48 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 6 7 48 57 39 47 54 40 141 0.10 49 St. John's ECAC 4 9 45 43 45 51 49 45 145 0.10 50 Holy Cross Patriot 0 14 55 34 56 54 39 56 149 0.10 51 Siena Metro Atlantic 4 10 50 53 53 50 48 51 149 0.10 52 Marist Metro Atlantic 6 9 49 55 50 49 51 50 150 0.10 53 Hartford America East 3 12 51 46 54 52 47 54 153 0.10 54 VMI Metro Atlantic 3 10 54 56 49 53 55 49 157 0.10 55 Lafayette Patriot 2 10 52 47 52 55 53 52 160 0.10 56 Wagner Metro Atlantic 0 15 57 52 57 57 52 57 166 0.10 57 Robert Morris Colonial 1 13 56 40 55 56 56 55 167 0.10