Conf = Metro Atlantic Region = Northeast State = RI Nickname = Friars Coach = Chris BurdickGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.6666946 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Dartmouth Ivy League ( 8- 7, 85.6) 12-15 310 N Yale Ivy League ( 6- 8, 84.5) 5-11 318 A Saint Joseph's Metro Atlanti ( 6- 9, 79.4) 8- 7 2o 325 H Wagner Metro Atlanti ( 0-15, 66.1) 16- 3 401 A Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 7- 8, 78.0) 11-12 405 H Fairfield ECAC ( 6- 7, 84.3) 11-10 o 408 A Siena Metro Atlanti ( 4-10, 75.5) 8- 7 2o 410 A Vermont America East ( 9- 6, 83.0) 6- 8 415 H VMI Metro Atlanti ( 3-10, 74.4) 7-11 419 H Manhattan Metro Atlanti ( 6- 7, 77.5) 8- 4 422 A Quinnipiac Great Western ( 7- 6, 79.9) 12- 7 423 H North Carolina ACC ( 4-10, 84.0) 7-11 426 A Marist Metro Atlanti ( 6- 9, 75.9) 9- 6 429 H Mount St. Mary's Metro Atlanti ( 7- 9, 79.8) 8- 3 505 N Marist Metro Atlanti ( 6- 9, 75.9) 11-10 o 507 N Mount St. Mary's Metro Atlanti ( 7- 9, 79.8) 8- 6 514 A Hofstra Colonial (17- 2, 94.7) 8-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Dartmouth 12-15 -3 -1 -1.09 310 N Yale 5-11 -6 -2 - -3.67 318 A Saint Joseph's 8- 7 2o 1 1 -0.39 325 H Wagner 16- 3 13 17 0.00 401 A Canisius 11-12 -1 2 - -3.71 405 H Fairfield 11-10 o 1 0 1.68 408 A Siena 8- 7 2o 1 5 -- -4.26 410 A Vermont 6- 8 -2 -2 0.28 415 H VMI 7-11 -4 9 --- -13.22 419 H Manhattan 8- 4 4 6 - -2.13 422 A Quinnipiac 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.17 423 H North Carolina 7-11 -4 0 - -3.60 426 A Marist 9- 6 3 4 -1.82 429 H Mount St. Mary's 8- 3 5 3 1.12 505 N Marist 11-10 o 1 6 -- -5.26 507 N Mount St. Mary's 8- 6 2 2 -0.43 514 A Hofstra 8-14 -6 -13 ++ 4.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 H VMI 7-11 -4 9 --- -13.22 408 A Siena 8- 7 2o 1 5 -- -4.26 505 N Marist 11-10 o 1 6 -- -5.26 310 N Yale 5-11 -6 -2 - -3.67 401 A Canisius 11-12 -1 2 - -3.71 419 H Manhattan 8- 4 4 6 - -2.13 423 H North Carolina 7-11 -4 0 - -3.60OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Quinnipiac 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.17 514 A Hofstra 8-14 -6 -13 ++ 4.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 82.20 Local Power Rank........... 37 Local SOS Rating......... 57.68 Local SOS Rank............. 51 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 34 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 44 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 32 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0