Conf = Deep South                 Region = District 3   State = NC
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Jason Dombrowski        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.3771439    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 224 H NYIT                   NYCAC         ( 8- 3, 85.6)     2-20   
 228 H Catawba                Deep South    ( 3-10, 63.3)     9-16   
 304 H Mars Hill              Deep South    (10- 5, 73.0)    10-12   
 309 H Saint Leo              Independent   ( 3- 9, 62.9)    10- 4   
 316 A Mercyhurst             NYCAC         (12- 3, 84.5)     3-15   
 318 A Wheeling Jesuit        Independent   ( 8- 3, 75.9)     9-19   
 322 A Wingate                Deep South    (10- 5, 74.3)    10-21   
 325 H Presbyterian           Deep South    ( 2- 9, 51.9)    15- 9   
 401 A Lees-McRae             Deep South    ( 0-11, 50.7)    16- 8   
 405 H Queens U. of Charlotte Deep South    ( 9- 5, 73.8)     3-13   
 408 H Belmont Abbey          Deep South    ( 6- 7, 68.1)     5-11   
 411 A St. Andrews            Deep South    ( 8- 8, 80.6)     6-23   
 415 A Limestone              Deep South    (11- 7, 76.2)     3-11   
 418 A St. Andrews            Deep South    ( 8- 8, 80.6)     7-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H NYIT                    2-20     -18   -23           0.00
   228 H Catawba                 9-16      -7    -1    --    -5.51
   304 H Mars Hill              10-12      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   309 H Saint Leo              10- 4       6    -1    +++    7.17
   316 A Mercyhurst              3-15     -12   -24           0.00
   318 A Wheeling Jesuit         9-19     -10   -15           0.00
   322 A Wingate                10-21     -11   -14           0.00
   325 H Presbyterian           15- 9       6     9    -     -3.85
   401 A Lees-McRae             16- 8       8     9          -1.26
   405 H Queens U. of Charlotte  3-13     -10   -12           0.00
   408 H Belmont Abbey           5-11      -6    -6           0.30
   411 A St. Andrews             6-23     -17   -20           0.00
   415 A Limestone               3-11      -8   -16    +      2.00
   418 A St. Andrews             7-21     -14   -20           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Catawba                 9-16      -7    -1    --    -5.51
   325 H Presbyterian           15- 9       6     9    -     -3.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Mars Hill              10-12      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   309 H Saint Leo              10- 4       6    -1    +++    7.17
   415 A Limestone               3-11      -8   -16    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 60.87 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 45.00 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -13.0
/