Lycoming                      5 - 8


 
   Conf = Middle Atlantic            Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Warriors               Coach  = Michael Talarico        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   82.7499847    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 225 H Ithaca                 Empire 8      (12- 5, 84.3)     7-14   
 314 H Elmira                 Empire 8      ( 5- 9, 73.7)     5- 6   
 318 A DeSales                Middle Atlant ( 1-14, 60.0)    12- 5   
 322 A Dickinson              Centennial    (11- 4, 85.4)     2-17   
 325 H Moravian               Middle Atlant ( 4-12, 66.1)    16- 7   
 329 A Susquehanna            Middle Atlant ( 8- 8, 70.6)    10-11   
 404 H Scranton               Middle Atlant ( 3-12, 66.7)    17- 2   
 408 H Widener                Middle Atlant (13- 5, 84.9)     6-15   
 413 A Elizabethtown          Middle Atlant ( 7-10, 76.6)    13-12   
 418 H Messiah                Middle Atlant (10- 6, 81.2)     4-16   
 422 A Drew                   Middle Atlant ( 7- 8, 74.2)     4-12   
 426 A King's                 Middle Atlant ( 3-10, 67.3)    10- 9 2o
 429 H Fairleigh Dickinson    Middle Atlant ( 8- 6, 74.9)     4- 6   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Ithaca                  7-14      -7   -11    +      3.00
   314 H Elmira                  5- 6      -1     0          -0.15
   318 A DeSales                12- 5       7    10    -     -3.00
   322 A Dickinson               2-17     -15   -15           0.00
   325 H Moravian               16- 7       9     6    +      2.33
   329 A Susquehanna            10-11      -1     0          -0.51
   404 H Scranton               17- 2      15     6    +      3.89
   408 H Widener                 6-15      -9   -12           1.00
   413 A Elizabethtown          13-12       1    -6    +++    7.48
   418 H Messiah                 4-16     -12    -8          -1.58
   422 A Drew                    4-12      -8    -4    -     -3.94
   426 A King's                 10- 9 2o    1     2          -1.91
   429 H Fairleigh Dickinson     4- 6      -2    -2           0.08


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A DeSales                12- 5       7    10    -     -3.00
   422 A Drew                    4-12      -8    -4    -     -3.94


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Elizabethtown          13-12       1    -6    +++    7.48
   225 H Ithaca                  7-14      -7   -11    +      3.00
   325 H Moravian               16- 7       9     6    +      2.33
   404 H Scranton               17- 2      15     6    +      3.89




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.49 Local Power Rank...........    86
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.58 Local SOS Rank.............    78
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    96
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    64
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    85
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0


  
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