Conf = Centennial                 Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Fords                  Coach  = Mike Murphy             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.7477798    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 225 H Greensboro             Independent   ( 8- 6, 79.7)    10- 9 3o
 304 N Hampden-Sydney         Old Dominion  ( 8- 5, 94.9)     6-10   
 308 N Roanoke                Old Dominion  (15- 3, 92.1)    12-15   
 311 H Skidmore               Liberty       ( 6- 7, 79.0)     8- 7   
 315 H Denison                North Coast   (10- 6, 80.7)     8- 4   
 317 H Eastern                Pennsylvania  ( 3-11, 62.9)    12- 5   
 319 A Cabrini                Pennsylvania  (13- 3, 85.4)     5- 7   
 325 H McDaniel               Centennial    ( 7- 7, 80.1)    10- 8   
 401 H Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    ( 5- 9, 75.1)     9- 7   
 405 A Muhlenberg             Centennial    ( 6- 7, 76.8)    11- 8   
 408 A Dickinson              Centennial    (11- 4, 85.4)    10- 9 2o
 412 H Ursinus                Centennial    ( 4-11, 75.4)     8- 4   
 419 H Washington College     Centennial    (14- 5, 87.4)     5-16   
 422 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (17- 2, 91.9)     7- 9   
 429 A Swarthmore             Centennial    ( 4-10, 75.0)    10- 7   
 505 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (17- 2, 91.9)     7-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Greensboro             10- 9 3o    1     3    -     -2.70
   304 N Hampden-Sydney          6-10      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   308 N Roanoke                12-15      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   311 H Skidmore                8- 7       1     4    -     -3.39
   315 H Denison                 8- 4       4     2           1.32
   317 H Eastern                12- 5       7    20    -     -3.00
   319 A Cabrini                 5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.64
   325 H McDaniel               10- 8       2     3          -1.28
   401 H Franklin & Marshall     9- 7       2     8    ---   -6.30
   405 A Muhlenberg             11- 8       3     3          -0.95
   408 A Dickinson              10- 9 2o    1    -4    ++     5.70
   412 H Ursinus                 8- 4       4     7    -     -3.98
   419 H Washington College      5-16     -11    -4    --    -5.94
   422 A Gettysburg              7- 9      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   429 A Swarthmore             10- 7       3     5    -     -2.72
   505 A Gettysburg              7-12      -5   -11    ++     5.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Franklin & Marshall     9- 7       2     8    ---   -6.30
   419 H Washington College      5-16     -11    -4    --    -5.94
   225 H Greensboro             10- 9 3o    1     3    -     -2.70
   311 H Skidmore                8- 7       1     4    -     -3.39
   317 H Eastern                12- 5       7    20    -     -3.00
   412 H Ursinus                 8- 4       4     7    -     -3.98
   429 A Swarthmore             10- 7       3     5    -     -2.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 N Hampden-Sydney          6-10      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   308 N Roanoke                12-15      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   422 A Gettysburg              7- 9      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   408 A Dickinson              10- 9 2o    1    -4    ++     5.70
   505 A Gettysburg              7-12      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   319 A Cabrini                 5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.64
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.06 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.21 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    54
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/