Conf = America East Region = Northeast State = NY Nickname = Bearcats Coach = Ed StephensonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.7442017 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Cornell Ivy League (11- 3, 94.6) 3-16 304 A Towson Colonial ( 8- 6, 87.7) 7- 6 2o 311 A Villanova Colonial ( 5-10, 81.4) 7- 6 o 314 H Hobart ECAC ( 6- 8, 84.4) 7- 5 318 A Sacred Heart Colonial ( 2-12, 74.8) 10- 8 324 N Bellarmine Independent ( 7- 8, 81.3) 4- 9 326 A Princeton Ivy League (11- 5, 91.0) 2-10 401 A Hartford America East ( 3-12, 75.5) 16- 8 408 A Vermont America East ( 9- 6, 83.0) 9- 5 411 H Colgate Patriot (11- 4, 85.8) 7- 8 415 H UMBC America East (10- 5, 89.1) 5-11 422 H Stony Brook America East ( 8- 7, 85.2) 8- 9 425 H Drexel Colonial ( 5- 9, 83.0) 11- 6 429 A Albany America East ( 8- 7, 86.3) 9-20 505 A UMBC America East (10- 5, 89.1) 3- 6PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 A Cornell 3-16 -13 -13 0.00 304 A Towson 7- 6 2o 1 -6 +++ 7.20 311 A Villanova 7- 6 o 1 0 0.84 314 H Hobart 7- 5 2 0 1.98 318 A Sacred Heart 10- 8 2 6 -- -4.71 324 N Bellarmine 4- 9 -5 1 --- -6.63 326 A Princeton 2-10 -8 -9 1.53 401 A Hartford 16- 8 8 6 1.95 408 A Vermont 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 5.51 411 H Colgate 7- 8 -1 -1 0.41 415 H UMBC 5-11 -6 -4 -1.26 422 H Stony Brook 8- 9 -1 0 -0.26 425 H Drexel 11- 6 5 1 + 3.61 429 A Albany 9-20 -11 -4 -- -5.21 505 A UMBC 3- 6 -3 -7 ++ 4.63UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 N Bellarmine 4- 9 -5 1 --- -6.63 318 A Sacred Heart 10- 8 2 6 -- -4.71 429 A Albany 9-20 -11 -4 -- -5.21OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A Towson 7- 6 2o 1 -6 +++ 7.20 408 A Vermont 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 5.51 505 A UMBC 3- 6 -3 -7 ++ 4.63 425 H Drexel 11- 6 5 1 + 3.61/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 82.97 Local Power Rank........... 36 Local SOS Rating......... 66.73 Local SOS Rank............. 26 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 28 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 19 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 31 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0