Conf = Great Western Region = West State = CO Nickname = Falcons Coach = Fred AceeGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.7638092 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 218 A Villanova Colonial ( 5-10, 81.4) 6-11 225 N North Carolina ACC ( 4-10, 84.0) 6- 8 226 N Manhattan Metro Atlanti ( 6- 7, 77.5) 4- 5 304 A UMBC America East (10- 5, 89.1) 5- 9 310 H Sacred Heart Colonial ( 2-12, 74.8) 11- 9 314 H Siena Metro Atlanti ( 4-10, 75.5) 12- 8 318 N Dartmouth Ivy League ( 8- 7, 85.6) 13- 8 325 H St. John's ECAC ( 4- 9, 79.2) 10- 5 401 A Army Patriot ( 8- 7, 85.0) 10-11 o 407 H Quinnipiac Great Western ( 7- 6, 79.9) 8- 4 409 H Bellarmine Independent ( 7- 8, 81.3) 9- 7 414 H Bucknell Patriot ( 6- 8, 83.3) 6- 7 416 H Notre Dame Great Western (10- 5, 88.6) 9- 8 421 A Butler Great Western ( 4-10, 78.4) 7-11 423 A Ohio State Great Western ( 7- 6, 83.6) 7-11 429 H Denver Great Western (12- 5, 89.4) 3- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 A Villanova 6-11 -5 -1 - -3.85 225 N North Carolina 6- 8 -2 -2 0.39 226 N Manhattan 4- 5 -1 4 -- -5.14 304 A UMBC 5- 9 -4 -8 ++ 4.94 310 H Sacred Heart 11- 9 2 8 --- -6.28 314 H Siena 12- 8 4 7 - -3.60 318 N Dartmouth 13- 8 5 -3 +++ 8.91 325 H St. John's 10- 5 5 3 1.14 401 A Army 10-11 o -1 -4 + 3.81 407 H Quinnipiac 8- 4 4 3 0.83 409 H Bellarmine 9- 7 2 1 0.24 414 H Bucknell 6- 7 -1 0 -0.84 416 H Notre Dame 9- 8 1 -5 +++ 6.47 421 A Butler 7-11 -4 1 -- -5.82 423 A Ohio State 7-11 -4 -3 -0.64 429 H Denver 3- 7 -4 -6 + 2.27UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Sacred Heart 11- 9 2 8 --- -6.28 226 N Manhattan 4- 5 -1 4 -- -5.14 421 A Butler 7-11 -4 1 -- -5.82 218 A Villanova 6-11 -5 -1 - -3.85 314 H Siena 12- 8 4 7 - -3.60OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 N Dartmouth 13- 8 5 -3 +++ 8.91 416 H Notre Dame 9- 8 1 -5 +++ 6.47 304 A UMBC 5- 9 -4 -8 ++ 4.94 401 A Army 10-11 o -1 -4 + 3.81 429 H Denver 3- 7 -4 -6 + 2.27/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.65 Local Power Rank........... 38 Local SOS Rating......... 61.75 Local SOS Rank............. 41 Local RPI Rating......... 0.45 Local RPI Rank............. 41 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 16 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 44 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 0.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0