Conf = Great Western              Region = West         State = CO
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Fred Acee               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7638092    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 218 A Villanova              Colonial      ( 5-10, 81.4)     6-11   
 225 N North Carolina         ACC           ( 4-10, 84.0)     6- 8   
 226 N Manhattan              Metro Atlanti ( 6- 7, 77.5)     4- 5   
 304 A UMBC                   America East  (10- 5, 89.1)     5- 9   
 310 H Sacred Heart           Colonial      ( 2-12, 74.8)    11- 9   
 314 H Siena                  Metro Atlanti ( 4-10, 75.5)    12- 8   
 318 N Dartmouth              Ivy League    ( 8- 7, 85.6)    13- 8   
 325 H St. John's             ECAC          ( 4- 9, 79.2)    10- 5   
 401 A Army                   Patriot       ( 8- 7, 85.0)    10-11  o
 407 H Quinnipiac             Great Western ( 7- 6, 79.9)     8- 4   
 409 H Bellarmine             Independent   ( 7- 8, 81.3)     9- 7   
 414 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 6- 8, 83.3)     6- 7   
 416 H Notre Dame             Great Western (10- 5, 88.6)     9- 8   
 421 A Butler                 Great Western ( 4-10, 78.4)     7-11   
 423 A Ohio State             Great Western ( 7- 6, 83.6)     7-11   
 429 H Denver                 Great Western (12- 5, 89.4)     3- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A Villanova               6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.85
   225 N North Carolina          6- 8      -2    -2           0.39
   226 N Manhattan               4- 5      -1     4    --    -5.14
   304 A UMBC                    5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.94
   310 H Sacred Heart           11- 9       2     8    ---   -6.28
   314 H Siena                  12- 8       4     7    -     -3.60
   318 N Dartmouth              13- 8       5    -3    +++    8.91
   325 H St. John's             10- 5       5     3           1.14
   401 A Army                   10-11  o   -1    -4    +      3.81
   407 H Quinnipiac              8- 4       4     3           0.83
   409 H Bellarmine              9- 7       2     1           0.24
   414 H Bucknell                6- 7      -1     0          -0.84
   416 H Notre Dame              9- 8       1    -5    +++    6.47
   421 A Butler                  7-11      -4     1    --    -5.82
   423 A Ohio State              7-11      -4    -3          -0.64
   429 H Denver                  3- 7      -4    -6    +      2.27

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Sacred Heart           11- 9       2     8    ---   -6.28
   226 N Manhattan               4- 5      -1     4    --    -5.14
   421 A Butler                  7-11      -4     1    --    -5.82
   218 A Villanova               6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.85
   314 H Siena                  12- 8       4     7    -     -3.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 N Dartmouth              13- 8       5    -3    +++    8.91
   416 H Notre Dame              9- 8       1    -5    +++    6.47
   304 A UMBC                    5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.94
   401 A Army                   10-11  o   -1    -4    +      3.81
   429 H Denver                  3- 7      -4    -6    +      2.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.65 Local Power Rank...........    38
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.75 Local SOS Rank.............    41
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    41
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    44
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/