mens probabilites for 1
2005 NCAA Men Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Johns Hopkins Independent 16 0 1 4 1 1 2 1 4 24.00
2 Duke ACC 17 3 2 6 2 2 3 2 7 39.00
3 Maryland ACC 11 6 6 2 4 4 1 4 9 8.00
4 Virginia ACC 11 4 3 3 3 3 4 3 10 6.00
5 Navy Patriot 12 4 8 15 7 5 6 6 17 1.00
6 Massachusetts ECAC 13 3 5 19 6 6 14 5 25 0.10
7 Towson Colonial 11 5 10 7 8 8 9 9 26 0.10
8 Syracuse Independent 7 6 11 5 12 9 7 11 27 4.00
9 Georgetown ECAC 10 5 9 11 9 10 10 8 28 0.10
10 Army Patriot 11 6 18 16 10 12 8 10 30 0.10
11 Cornell Ivy League 11 3 4 10 5 7 17 7 31 10.00
12 North Carolina ACC 5 8 15 1 14 11 5 20 36 1.00
13 Albany America East 10 6 17 22 17 15 11 18 44 0.10
14 Delaware Colonial 11 6 16 27 20 16 16 15 47 0.10
15 Penn State ECAC 9 6 21 13 18 14 15 21 50 0.10
16 Fairfield Great Western 11 5 26 32 13 18 26 13 57 0.10
17 Hofstra Colonial 8 8 22 8 28 17 12 29 58 0.10
18 Notre Dame Great Western 7 4 7 18 15 13 29 16 58 5.00
19 Bucknell Patriot 8 5 19 35 26 21 28 17 66 0.10
20 Dartmouth Ivy League 8 4 14 26 11 19 35 12 66 0.10
21 Loyola ECAC 5 8 31 14 30 28 13 28 69 0.10
22 Denver Great Western 9 5 12 29 19 20 31 19 70 0.10
23 Princeton Ivy League 5 7 23 9 27 23 20 30 73 0.10
24 UMBC America East 7 8 27 21 31 25 18 31 74 0.10
25 Stony Brook America East 10 6 20 39 25 24 27 24 75 1.00
26 Yale Ivy League 7 5 25 24 21 22 32 25 79 0.10
27 Ohio State Great Western 6 8 33 23 36 30 19 32 81 0.10
28 Lehigh Patriot 9 5 29 45 24 26 40 22 88 0.10
29 Villanova Colonial 7 8 30 31 34 29 25 34 88 1.00
30 Hobart ECAC 7 7 32 34 29 32 30 27 89 0.10
31 Drexel Colonial 9 5 24 42 22 27 43 23 93 0.10
32 Rutgers ECAC 4 9 36 17 44 33 21 40 94 0.10
33 Brown Ivy League 6 6 28 25 23 31 38 26 95 0.10
34 Sacred Heart Colonial 6 8 38 33 39 35 23 39 97 0.10
35 Harvard Ivy League 5 8 35 20 33 34 22 42 98 0.10
36 Mount St. Mary's Metro Atlantic 8 9 40 43 40 37 24 38 99 0.10
37 Butler Great Western 5 7 45 30 32 39 36 35 110 0.10
38 Colgate Patriot 7 7 34 44 35 38 44 33 115 0.10
39 Marist Metro Atlantic 8 8 43 48 43 36 34 45 115 0.10
40 Bellarmine Independent 13 2 13 57 16 46 57 14 117 0.10
41 Vermont America East 5 7 42 36 37 41 48 36 125 0.10
42 Binghamton America East 4 9 39 28 47 42 37 47 126 0.10
43 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 7 7 41 50 38 40 49 37 126 0.10
44 Pennsylvania Ivy League 2 11 46 12 48 45 33 49 127 0.10
45 Air Force Great Western 4 8 37 37 42 44 45 41 130 0.10
46 Providence Metro Atlantic 8 8 44 54 46 43 46 43 132 0.10
47 Holy Cross Patriot 3 11 50 46 51 48 42 50 140 0.10
48 Lafayette Patriot 2 11 54 40 50 50 39 51 140 0.10
49 St. John's ECAC 2 11 51 41 49 52 41 48 141 0.10
50 VMI Metro Atlantic 7 7 47 53 41 47 54 44 145 0.10
51 Canisius Metro Atlantic 5 7 48 56 45 49 55 46 150 0.10
52 Quinnipiac America East 2 11 49 38 52 51 50 52 153 0.10
53 St. Joseph's Metro Atlantic 3 11 53 49 54 53 47 54 154 0.10
54 Siena Metro Atlantic 4 11 52 55 53 54 53 53 160 0.10
55 Hartford America East 2 12 55 47 55 55 51 55 161 0.10
56 Wagner Metro Atlantic 2 12 56 52 56 56 52 56 164 0.10
57 Robert Morris Independent 0 13 57 51 57 57 56 57 170 0.10
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