Conf = Metro Atlantic             Region = Southeast    State = VA
   Nickname = Keydets                Coach  = Doug Bartlett           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.5076065    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 H Air Force              Great Western ( 4- 8, 83.0)     8-12   
 301 A Duke                   ACC           (17- 3, 98.6)     5-15   
 309 H Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 3-11, 78.1)    12-10   
 312 H Robert Morris          Independent   ( 0-13, 70.7)    11-10  o
 319 H Siena                  Metro Atlanti ( 4-11, 76.6)    10- 9   
 326 H Providence             Metro Atlanti ( 8- 8, 82.1)     9-11   
 403 A Wagner                 Metro Atlanti ( 2-12, 73.8)    15-10   
 406 H Bellarmine             Independent   (13- 2, 90.8)     9-11   
 409 H Manhattan              Metro Atlanti ( 7- 7, 82.5)     9-12   
 413 H Washington & Lee       Old Dominion  ( 9- 5, 87.7)    12- 4   
 417 A St. Joseph's           Metro Atlanti ( 3-11, 76.0)     4- 5   
 423 A Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 5- 7, 79.6)     6-12   
 427 H Mount St. Mary's       Metro Atlanti ( 8- 9, 82.5)    16-14   
 430 A Marist                 Metro Atlanti ( 8- 8, 82.1)    16-15 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Air Force               8-12      -4     0    -     -3.57
   301 A Duke                    5-15     -10   -19           0.00
   309 H Holy Cross             12-10       2     4    -     -2.44
   312 H Robert Morris          11-10  o    1    11    ---   -9.00
   319 H Siena                  10- 9       1     6    --    -5.01
   326 H Providence              9-11      -2     0    -     -2.50
   403 A Wagner                 15-10       5     5          -0.23
   406 H Bellarmine              9-11      -2    -8    +++    6.22
   409 H Manhattan               9-12      -3     0    -     -3.08
   413 H Washington & Lee       12- 4       8    -5          n/a  
   417 A St. Joseph's            4- 5      -1     3    --    -4.03
   423 A Canisius                6-12      -6     0    --    -5.42
   427 H Mount St. Mary's       16-14       2     0           1.94
   430 A Marist                 16-15 2o    1    -3    ++     4.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Robert Morris          11-10  o    1    11    ---   -9.00
   413 H Washington & Lee       12- 4   
   319 H Siena                  10- 9       1     6    --    -5.01
   413 H Washington & Lee       12- 4   
   417 A St. Joseph's            4- 5      -1     3    --    -4.03
   423 A Canisius                6-12      -6     0    --    -5.42
   227 H Air Force               8-12      -4     0    -     -3.57
   309 H Holy Cross             12-10       2     4    -     -2.44
   326 H Providence              9-11      -2     0    -     -2.50
   409 H Manhattan               9-12      -3     0    -     -3.08
   413 H Washington & Lee       12- 4   

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Bellarmine              9-11      -2    -8    +++    6.22
   413 H Washington & Lee       12- 4   
   413 H Washington & Lee       12- 4   
   430 A Marist                 16-15 2o    1    -3    ++     4.09
   413 H Washington & Lee       12- 4   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.81 Local Power Rank...........    47
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.36 Local SOS Rank.............    53
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    47
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    55
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    41
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
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