Conf = Independent                Region = North        State = PA
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Bear Davis              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.1883087    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 N St. Joseph's           Metro Atlanti ( 3-11, 76.0)    11-13   
 227 N St. John's             ECAC          ( 2-11, 77.0)     7- 8   
 305 N Drexel                 Colonial      ( 9- 5, 88.4)     4-19   
 310 N Sacred Heart           Colonial      ( 6- 8, 82.9)     8-18   
 312 A VMI                    Metro Atlanti ( 7- 7, 80.8)    10-11  o
 315 N Hobart                 ECAC          ( 7- 7, 86.1)    10-15   
 323 A Mount St. Mary's       Metro Atlanti ( 8- 9, 82.5)     5-18   
 402 A Butler                 Great Western ( 5- 7, 81.6)     9-15   
 405 A Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 5- 7, 79.6)     7-12   
 409 A Bellarmine             Independent   (13- 2, 90.8)     3-13   
 415 A Ohio State             Great Western ( 6- 8, 85.2)     5-18   
 424 A Siena                  Metro Atlanti ( 4-11, 76.6)     3-11   
 501 A Wagner                 Metro Atlanti ( 2-12, 73.8)     6-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 N St. Joseph's           11-13      -2    -5    +      3.30
   227 N St. John's              7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.26
   305 N Drexel                  4-19     -15   -17           0.00
   310 N Sacred Heart            8-18     -10   -12           0.00
   312 A VMI                    10-11  o   -1   -11    +++    9.00
   315 N Hobart                 10-15      -5   -15    ++     5.00
   323 A Mount St. Mary's        5-18     -13   -13           0.00
   402 A Butler                  9-15      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   405 A Canisius                7-12      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   409 A Bellarmine              3-13     -10   -21           0.00
   415 A Ohio State              5-18     -13   -16           0.00
   424 A Siena                   3-11      -8    -7          -0.38
   501 A Wagner                  6-11      -5    -4          -0.14

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A VMI                    10-11  o   -1   -11    +++    9.00
   227 N St. John's              7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.26
   315 N Hobart                 10-15      -5   -15    ++     5.00
   402 A Butler                  9-15      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   405 A Canisius                7-12      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   219 N St. Joseph's           11-13      -2    -5    +      3.30
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.71 Local Power Rank...........    57
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.60 Local SOS Rank.............    51
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.28 Local RPI Rank.............    57
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    46
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    57
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  0-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.7
/