Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = North        State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Stewart Moan            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.9636230    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 A Rensselaer             Liberty       ( 7- 7, 77.6)     5-10   
 310 A Scranton               Middle Atlant ( 2-13, 63.0)    16- 5   
 312 H Alfred                 Empire 8      ( 1-12, 65.9)    12- 5   
 317 N Ithaca                 Empire 8      ( 9- 5, 84.3)     8-10   
 319 H RIT                    Empire 8      ( 9- 7, 80.8)    10- 7   
 325 A Merchant Marine        Knickerbocker ( 5- 7, 71.9)    11-12  o
 330 A Hamilton               Liberty       (10- 4, 80.6)     8-14   
 403 A Montclair State        Knickerbocker (10- 7, 74.4)    16-11   
 409 A Brockport              SUNYAC        ( 6- 7, 73.6)    10-11  o
 413 H Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 6-10, 72.9)    14- 5   
 416 H Cortland               SUNYAC        (17- 2, 88.8)     6-18   
 418 A Elmira                 Empire 8      ( 8- 6, 77.4)    10- 7   
 423 A Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 2-12, 68.0)     9- 5   
 427 H Plattsburgh            SUNYAC        ( 6- 6, 75.7)    18- 7   
 430 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        (12- 5, 82.6)     6- 7  o
 504 A Geneseo                SUNYAC        (12- 5, 82.6)     8-14   
 514 A Hartwick               Empire 8      (11- 7, 81.5)     9-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Rensselaer              5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.32
   310 A Scranton               16- 5      11    12           0.00
   312 H Alfred                 12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00
   317 N Ithaca                  8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.26
   319 H RIT                    10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.50
   325 A Merchant Marine        11-12  o   -1     4    --    -5.05
   330 A Hamilton                8-14      -6    -4          -1.33
   403 A Montclair State        16-11       5     1    +      3.48
   409 A Brockport              10-11  o   -1     2    -     -3.27
   413 H Potsdam                14- 5       9     5    +      3.66
   416 H Cortland                6-18     -12   -10           0.00
   418 A Elmira                 10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.49
   423 A Oswego                  9- 5       4     7    -     -3.93
   427 H Plattsburgh            18- 7      11     2    +++    7.41
   430 H Geneseo                 6- 7  o   -1    -4    +      3.30
   504 A Geneseo                 8-14      -6    -6           0.65
   514 A Hartwick                9-12      -3    -5    +      2.55

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Merchant Marine        11-12  o   -1     4    --    -5.05
   305 A Rensselaer              5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.32
   312 H Alfred                 12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00
   409 A Brockport              10-11  o   -1     2    -     -3.27
   423 A Oswego                  9- 5       4     7    -     -3.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Plattsburgh            18- 7      11     2    +++    7.41
   317 N Ithaca                  8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.26
   319 H RIT                    10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.50
   418 A Elmira                 10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.49
   403 A Montclair State        16-11       5     1    +      3.48
   413 H Potsdam                14- 5       9     5    +      3.66
   430 H Geneseo                 6- 7  o   -1    -4    +      3.30
   514 A Hartwick                9-12      -3    -5    +      2.55
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.08 Local Power Rank...........    49
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.01 Local SOS Rank.............    53
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    63
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    87
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    85
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/