Conf = Patriot                    Region = Northeast    State = MA
   Nickname = Crusaders              Coach  = Adam Pascal             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.3544540    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 223 H Providence             Metro Atlanti ( 8- 8, 82.1)     5- 4   
 226 A Fairfield              Great Western (11- 5, 88.1)     4-12   
 306 N Butler                 Great Western ( 5- 7, 81.6)     4-11   
 309 A VMI                    Metro Atlanti ( 7- 7, 80.8)    10-12   
 313 H Hartford               America East  ( 2-12, 74.9)    14-11   
 315 A Harvard                Ivy League    ( 5- 8, 84.8)     5-12   
 319 A Bucknell               Patriot       ( 8- 5, 89.2)     5-12   
 327 H Navy                   Patriot       (12- 4, 93.0)     5- 8   
 329 N Siena                  Metro Atlanti ( 4-11, 76.6)     5- 8   
 402 A Colgate                Patriot       ( 7- 7, 84.8)     7-16   
 409 A Lafayette              Patriot       ( 2-11, 75.1)    11- 5   
 416 H Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 9- 5, 86.9)     9-11   
 419 H Army                   Patriot       (11- 6, 89.2)    10-11 2o
 427 A Sacred Heart           Colonial      ( 6- 8, 82.9)    13-14  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 H Providence              5- 4       1    -2    +      3.17
   226 A Fairfield               4-12      -8   -11    +      2.00
   306 N Butler                  4-11      -7    -3    -     -3.58
   309 A VMI                    10-12      -2    -4    +      2.44
   313 H Hartford               14-11       3     5    -     -2.01
   315 A Harvard                 5-12      -7    -8           1.38
   319 A Bucknell                5-12      -7   -12    +      3.00
   327 H Navy                    5- 8      -3   -13    +++    7.00
   329 N Siena                   5- 8      -3     1    --    -4.58
   402 A Colgate                 7-16      -9    -8          -0.55
   409 A Lafayette              11- 5       6     1    ++     4.72
   416 H Lehigh                  9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.00
   419 H Army                   10-11 2o   -1    -9    +++    8.32
   427 A Sacred Heart           13-14  o   -1    -6    ++     5.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 N Siena                   5- 8      -3     1    --    -4.58
   306 N Butler                  4-11      -7    -3    -     -3.58
   313 H Hartford               14-11       3     5    -     -2.01

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Navy                    5- 8      -3   -13    +++    7.00
   419 H Army                   10-11 2o   -1    -9    +++    8.32
   409 A Lafayette              11- 5       6     1    ++     4.72
   416 H Lehigh                  9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.00
   427 A Sacred Heart           13-14  o   -1    -6    ++     5.49
   223 H Providence              5- 4       1    -2    +      3.17
   226 A Fairfield               4-12      -8   -11    +      2.00
   309 A VMI                    10-12      -2    -4    +      2.44
   319 A Bucknell                5-12      -7   -12    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.14 Local Power Rank...........    50
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.31 Local SOS Rank.............    46
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.39 Local RPI Rank.............    48
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    32
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    51
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/