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Conf = ECAC Region = Northeast State = NY Nickname = Statesmen Coach = Matt KerwickGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.2426682 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 226 N Butler Great Western ( 5- 7, 81.6) 11- 7 305 H Binghamton America East ( 4- 9, 82.8) 10- 7 312 A Ohio State Great Western ( 6- 8, 85.2) 9- 6 315 N Robert Morris Independent ( 0-13, 70.7) 15-10 319 H Georgetown ECAC (10- 5, 92.2) 9-11 326 H Rutgers ECAC ( 4- 9, 83.1) 16-10 329 H Syracuse Independent ( 7- 6, 91.0) 12-13 402 H Fairfield Great Western (11- 5, 88.1) 8-11 409 A Penn State ECAC ( 9- 6, 88.7) 13-19 416 H Massachusetts ECAC (13- 3, 93.9) 12-14 423 A St. John's ECAC ( 2-11, 77.0) 13- 9 426 H Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 5- 7, 79.6) 12- 6 430 A Loyola ECAC ( 5- 8, 86.1) 11-15 506 A Cornell Ivy League (11- 3, 95.6) 5-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 N Butler 11- 7 4 4 -0.52 305 H Binghamton 10- 7 3 5 - -2.04 312 A Ohio State 9- 6 3 0 + 3.84 315 N Robert Morris 15-10 5 15 -- -5.00 319 H Georgetown 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.38 326 H Rutgers 16-10 6 4 1.27 329 H Syracuse 12-13 -1 -3 + 2.16 402 H Fairfield 8-11 -3 0 - -2.73 409 A Penn State 13-19 -6 -4 -1.61 416 H Massachusetts 12-14 -2 -6 ++ 4.04 423 A St. John's 13- 9 4 7 - -3.34 426 H Canisius 12- 6 6 8 - -2.23 430 A Loyola 11-15 -4 -1 - -2.21 506 A Cornell 5-10 -5 -11 ++ 5.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 N Robert Morris 15-10 5 15 -- -5.00 305 H Binghamton 10- 7 3 5 - -2.04 402 H Fairfield 8-11 -3 0 - -2.73 423 A St. John's 13- 9 4 7 - -3.34 426 H Canisius 12- 6 6 8 - -2.23 430 A Loyola 11-15 -4 -1 - -2.21OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 H Massachusetts 12-14 -2 -6 ++ 4.04 506 A Cornell 5-10 -5 -11 ++ 5.00 312 A Ohio State 9- 6 3 0 + 3.84 319 H Georgetown 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.38 329 H Syracuse 12-13 -1 -3 + 2.16
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.08 Local Power Rank........... 32 Local SOS Rating......... 68.16 Local SOS Rank............. 34 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 32 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 30 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 29 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0