Conf = Centennial                 Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Bullets                Coach  = Hank Janczyk            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.0002441    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 A Washington & Lee       Old Dominion  ( 9- 5, 87.7)     8- 9   
 312 H Denison                North Coast   ( 9- 4, 82.7)     6- 4   
 316 H Susquehanna            Middle Atlant ( 6- 9, 68.0)    18- 2   
 319 A Hampden-Sydney         Old Dominion  ( 8- 5, 84.7)     7-11   
 323 H Middlebury             NESCAC        (17- 2, 89.7)    18- 6   
 326 A Swarthmore             Centennial    ( 6- 8, 76.5)    10- 4   
 330 A Muhlenberg             Centennial    ( 7- 9, 74.2)    13- 7   
 403 A Salisbury              Capital       (20- 0, 94.8)     7-13   
 409 H Washington College     Centennial    (10- 5, 85.3)    15- 6   
 413 H Messiah                Middle Atlant (13- 3, 84.8)     8- 7   
 415 H Ursinus                Centennial    ( 3-10, 73.7)     8- 3   
 420 A McDaniel               Centennial    ( 6- 8, 79.0)    11- 9   
 423 A Haverford              Centennial    ( 9- 6, 80.1)     9- 2   
 427 H Dickinson              Centennial    ( 9- 5, 82.1)    12- 9   
 430 H Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    ( 9- 5, 83.5)    13-12   
 506 H Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    ( 9- 5, 83.5)     7- 5   
 508 H Washington College     Centennial    (10- 5, 85.3)     8- 6   
 514 H Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (10- 4, 85.0)    16- 9   
 518 A Salisbury              Capital       (20- 0, 94.8)     9-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Washington & Lee        8- 9      -1    -1           0.31
   312 H Denison                 6- 4       2     6    --    -4.09
   316 H Susquehanna            18- 2      16    20           0.00
   319 A Hampden-Sydney          7-11      -4     1    --    -5.75
   323 H Middlebury             18- 6      12     0    +++   10.95
   326 A Swarthmore             10- 4       6     9    -     -3.92
   330 A Muhlenberg             13- 7       6    12    --    -4.00
   403 A Salisbury               7-13      -6    -8    +      2.41
   409 H Washington College     15- 6       9     3    ++     5.50
   413 H Messiah                 8- 7       1     3    -     -3.00
   415 H Ursinus                 8- 3       5    15    --    -5.00
   420 A McDaniel               11- 9       2     7    --    -5.46
   423 A Haverford               9- 2       7     6           0.70
   427 H Dickinson              12- 9       3     6    -     -3.66
   430 H Franklin & Marshall    13-12       1     5    --    -4.28
   506 H Franklin & Marshall     7- 5       2     5    -     -3.28
   508 H Washington College      8- 6       2     3          -1.50
   514 H Ohio Wesleyan          16- 9       7     3    +      3.21
   518 A Salisbury               9-12      -3    -8    ++     5.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Denison                 6- 4       2     6    --    -4.09
   319 A Hampden-Sydney          7-11      -4     1    --    -5.75
   330 A Muhlenberg             13- 7       6    12    --    -4.00
   415 H Ursinus                 8- 3       5    15    --    -5.00
   420 A McDaniel               11- 9       2     7    --    -5.46
   430 H Franklin & Marshall    13-12       1     5    --    -4.28
   326 A Swarthmore             10- 4       6     9    -     -3.92
   413 H Messiah                 8- 7       1     3    -     -3.00
   427 H Dickinson              12- 9       3     6    -     -3.66
   506 H Franklin & Marshall     7- 5       2     5    -     -3.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Middlebury             18- 6      12     0    +++   10.95
   409 H Washington College     15- 6       9     3    ++     5.50
   518 A Salisbury               9-12      -3    -8    ++     5.41
   403 A Salisbury               7-13      -6    -8    +      2.41
   514 H Ohio Wesleyan          16- 9       7     3    +      3.21
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.60 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.33 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.69 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/