Conf = Little East Region = North State = CT Nickname = Warriors Coach = Nicholas SmithGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.8389893 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 305 N RIT Empire 8 ( 9- 7, 80.8) 12-11 o 315 A Montclair State Knickerbocker (10- 7, 74.4) 11-10 321 A Tufts NESCAC ( 9- 5, 85.5) 5-13 324 A Babson Pilgrim ( 9- 7, 75.6) 3- 4 326 A Stevens Knickerbocker (13- 4, 87.3) 5-16 404 H Southern Maine Little East ( 3- 9, 65.0) 14- 5 406 A Western Connecticut Little East (11- 5, 73.5) 15- 5 409 H Plymouth State Little East ( 9- 8, 71.4) 9- 3 414 A Mass-Dartmouth Little East ( 4-11, 65.4) 19- 3 416 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 7- 8, 80.0) 9-13 423 A Keene State Little East (10- 5, 84.8) 4-15 426 H Trinity NESCAC ( 3- 9, 75.9) 13- 8 430 H Mass-Boston Little East (11- 7, 72.5) 14- 5 505 H Western Connecticut Little East (11- 5, 73.5) 15- 6 507 A Keene State Little East (10- 5, 84.8) 4-11 511 H Castleton State North Atlanti ( 9- 6, 72.1) 23- 2 514 H Plymouth State Little East ( 9- 8, 71.4) 12-13 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 N RIT 12-11 o 1 -2 + 3.52 315 A Montclair State 11-10 1 2 -1.67 321 A Tufts 5-13 -8 -8 0.48 324 A Babson 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.51 326 A Stevens 5-16 -11 -10 0.00 404 H Southern Maine 14- 5 9 14 -1.00 406 A Western Connecticut 15- 5 10 3 +++ 6.45 409 H Plymouth State 9- 3 6 8 - -2.02 414 A Mass-Dartmouth 19- 3 16 11 0.00 416 A Connecticut College 9-13 -4 -2 -1.05 423 A Keene State 4-15 -11 -7 - -2.26 426 H Trinity 13- 8 5 3 1.53 430 H Mass-Boston 14- 5 9 6 + 2.12 505 H Western Connecticut 15- 6 9 5 + 3.10 507 A Keene State 4-11 -7 -7 0.74 511 H Castleton State 23- 2 21 7 + 2.72 514 H Plymouth State 12-13 o -1 8 --- -9.02UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 514 H Plymouth State 12-13 o -1 8 --- -9.02 324 A Babson 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.51 409 H Plymouth State 9- 3 6 8 - -2.02 423 A Keene State 4-15 -11 -7 - -2.26OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Western Connecticut 15- 5 10 3 +++ 6.45 305 N RIT 12-11 o 1 -2 + 3.52 430 H Mass-Boston 14- 5 9 6 + 2.12 505 H Western Connecticut 15- 6 9 5 + 3.10 511 H Castleton State 23- 2 21 7 + 2.72/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.23 Local Power Rank........... 45 Local SOS Rating......... 51.25 Local SOS Rank............. 60 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 40 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 38 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 54 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.3