Conf = Great Western Region = West State = CO Nickname = Falcons Coach = Fred AceeGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.9218292 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 227 A VMI Metro Atlanti ( 7- 7, 80.8) 12- 8 305 N Towson Colonial (11- 5, 91.2) 6-15 306 N Lafayette Patriot ( 2-11, 75.1) 11- 6 310 H Pennsylvania Ivy League ( 2-11, 81.1) 3- 6 323 A Fairfield Great Western (11- 5, 88.1) 9-10 326 A St. John's ECAC ( 2-11, 77.0) 13-11 402 A Army Patriot (11- 6, 89.2) 8-12 410 A Notre Dame Great Western ( 7- 4, 93.1) 13-14 o 413 A North Carolina ACC ( 5- 8, 90.0) 5-14 422 H Butler Great Western ( 5- 7, 81.6) 11- 8 424 H Ohio State Great Western ( 6- 8, 85.2) 7-11 430 A Denver Great Western ( 9- 5, 90.8) 9-10 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A VMI 12- 8 4 0 + 3.57 305 N Towson 6-15 -9 -8 -0.83 306 N Lafayette 11- 6 5 7 - -2.91 310 H Pennsylvania 3- 6 -3 3 --- -6.62 323 A Fairfield 9-10 -1 -6 ++ 5.88 326 A St. John's 13-11 2 4 - -2.27 402 A Army 8-12 -4 -7 + 3.99 410 A Notre Dame 13-14 o -1 -11 +++ 9.00 413 A North Carolina 5-14 -9 -8 -0.19 422 H Butler 11- 8 3 3 -0.21 424 H Ohio State 7-11 -4 0 - -3.61 430 A Denver 9-10 o -1 -9 +++ 8.60UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Pennsylvania 3- 6 -3 3 --- -6.62 306 N Lafayette 11- 6 5 7 - -2.91 326 A St. John's 13-11 2 4 - -2.27 424 H Ohio State 7-11 -4 0 - -3.61OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Notre Dame 13-14 o -1 -11 +++ 9.00 430 A Denver 9-10 o -1 -9 +++ 8.60 323 A Fairfield 9-10 -1 -6 ++ 5.88 227 A VMI 12- 8 4 0 + 3.57 402 A Army 8-12 -4 -7 + 3.99/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.00 Local Power Rank........... 37 Local SOS Rating......... 67.71 Local SOS Rank............. 37 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 44 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 12 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 42 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 4- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7