2004 NCAA Men's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Syracuse Independent 15 2 2 3 1 1 1 1 3 18.00 2 Johns Hopkins Independent 13 2 1 4 2 2 2 2 6 32.00 3 Navy Patriot 15 3 3 12 4 3 3 3 9 17.00 4 Georgetown ECAC 11 4 7 8 5 5 4 6 15 0.10 5 Princeton Ivy League 11 4 6 6 6 6 5 5 16 2.00 6 Maryland ACC 13 3 4 5 3 4 9 4 17 7.00 7 Cornell Ivy League 9 5 11 9 9 8 10 8 26 1.00 8 North Carolina ACC 10 5 5 2 7 7 11 9 27 9.00 9 Hobart Patriot 9 7 18 16 15 11 7 13 31 0.10 10 Towson Colonial 11 5 10 18 12 9 13 10 32 0.10 11 Pennsylvania Ivy League 7 7 22 7 20 10 8 17 35 1.00 12 Rutgers ECAC 8 6 14 17 16 12 12 14 38 0.10 13 Army Patriot 10 5 17 20 11 13 17 12 42 0.10 14 Virginia ACC 5 8 19 1 14 15 6 21 42 5.00 15 Villanova Colonial 12 3 13 40 10 14 28 7 49 0.10 16 Albany America East 10 6 20 27 19 18 15 20 53 1.00 17 Delaware Colonial 10 6 23 33 22 20 21 18 59 0.10 18 Duke ACC 5 8 27 10 21 23 14 22 59 1.00 19 Ohio State Great Western 12 4 9 28 8 17 31 11 59 1.00 20 Brown Ivy League 9 5 16 31 17 19 27 15 61 0.10 21 Notre Dame Great Western 7 5 8 13 13 16 26 19 61 3.00 22 Dartmouth Ivy League 8 5 15 32 18 22 30 16 68 1.00 23 Bucknell Patriot 6 8 25 25 33 26 18 27 71 0.10 24 Massachusetts ECAC 7 7 21 22 26 24 22 26 72 0.10 25 Colgate Patriot 8 7 32 36 27 25 24 24 73 0.10 26 Penn State ECAC 6 7 26 15 24 21 23 29 73 0.10 27 Loyola Independent 4 8 34 11 28 27 19 30 76 0.10 28 UMBC America East 6 8 31 21 31 29 20 32 81 0.10 29 Hofstra Colonial 4 10 35 14 39 31 16 38 85 0.10 30 Binghamton America East 10 6 28 45 29 33 32 23 88 0.10 31 Harvard Ivy League 7 6 24 35 25 30 34 25 89 0.10 32 Yale Ivy League 6 8 29 23 38 32 29 33 94 1.00 33 Denver Great Western 8 6 12 26 23 28 40 28 96 0.10 34 Lehigh Patriot 4 10 43 39 46 38 25 44 107 0.10 35 Air Force Great Western 4 8 33 19 32 36 37 37 110 0.10 36 Stony Brook America East 9 6 30 43 30 34 46 31 111 0.10 37 Providence Metro Atlantic 9 8 36 48 36 37 41 35 113 0.10 38 Fairfield Great Western 5 9 38 24 42 35 36 46 117 0.10 39 Butler Great Western 5 8 42 34 34 39 43 40 122 0.10 40 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 8 7 41 49 37 40 49 36 125 0.10 41 Marist Metro Atlantic 10 7 40 52 35 41 50 34 125 0.10 42 Mount St. Mary's Metro Atlantic 5 8 45 46 41 43 45 39 127 0.10 43 Drexel Colonial 4 9 39 41 43 44 42 42 128 0.10 44 Sacred Heart Colonial 3 11 46 30 48 42 39 49 130 0.10 45 Quinnipiac America East 2 11 47 29 50 46 35 50 131 0.10 46 Lafayette Patriot 2 12 51 38 51 49 33 51 133 0.10 47 Holy Cross Patriot 5 9 48 44 44 47 44 43 134 0.10 48 Vermont America East 6 9 37 42 45 45 47 45 137 0.10 49 Canisius Metro Atlantic 6 7 44 50 40 48 51 41 140 0.10 50 Hartford America East 0 14 52 37 54 52 38 54 144 0.10 51 St. Joseph's Metro Atlantic 4 10 49 47 49 50 48 48 146 0.10 52 Siena Metro Atlantic 4 9 50 54 47 51 52 47 150 0.10 53 VMI Metro Atlantic 0 12 53 53 52 54 53 52 159 0.10 54 Wagner Metro Atlantic 1 12 54 51 53 53 54 53 160 0.10