Conf = ACC                        Region = Southeast    State = NC
   Nickname = Tarheels               Coach  = John Haus               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.1211929    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 N Massachusetts          ECAC          ( 7- 7, 90.1)    12- 7   
 305 H Navy                   Patriot       (15- 3, 98.7)     8- 9  o
 309 A Denver                 Great Western ( 8- 6, 92.2)    11- 6   
 311 A Air Force              Great Western ( 4- 8, 86.7)    10- 9   
 314 A Notre Dame             Great Western ( 7- 5, 94.3)    14-11   
 320 A Duke                   ACC           ( 5- 8, 88.8)    10- 9  o
 327 H Maryland               ACC           (13- 3, 98.4)     9-10   
 403 A Johns Hopkins          Independent   (13- 2, 99.9)     9-10   
 410 H Virginia               ACC           ( 5- 8, 91.3)    11- 9   
 417 H UMBC                   America East  ( 6- 8, 87.7)    17- 6   
 423 H Virginia               ACC           ( 5- 8, 91.3)     9-11   
 505 H Limestone              Deep South    (15- 2, 91.9)    17- 8   
 508 H Ohio State             Great Western (12- 4, 94.2)    12- 6   
 515 H Ohio State             Great Western (12- 4, 94.2)    13- 6   
 522 N Johns Hopkins          Independent   (13- 2, 99.9)     9-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 N Massachusetts          12- 7       5     6          -1.34
   305 H Navy                    8- 9  o   -1     0          -0.29
   309 A Denver                 11- 6       5     2    +      2.21
   311 A Air Force              10- 9       1     8    ---   -7.32
   314 A Notre Dame             14-11       3     0    +      2.25
   320 A Duke                   10- 9  o    1     6    --    -5.24
   327 H Maryland                9-10      -1     0          -0.52
   403 A Johns Hopkins           9-10      -1    -4    +      3.86
   410 H Virginia               11- 9       2     6    --    -4.66
   417 H UMBC                   17- 6      11    10           0.00
   423 H Virginia                9-11      -2     6    ---   -8.66
   505 H Limestone              17- 8       9     5          n/a  
   508 H Ohio State             12- 6       6     3    +      2.27
   515 H Ohio State             13- 6       7     3    +      3.27
   522 N Johns Hopkins           9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Air Force              10- 9       1     8    ---   -7.32
   423 H Virginia                9-11      -2     6    ---   -8.66
   505 H Limestone              17- 8   
   320 A Duke                   10- 9  o    1     6    --    -5.24
   410 H Virginia               11- 9       2     6    --    -4.66
   505 H Limestone              17- 8   
   505 H Limestone              17- 8   
   522 N Johns Hopkins           9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Limestone              17- 8   
   505 H Limestone              17- 8   
   309 A Denver                 11- 6       5     2    +      2.21
   314 A Notre Dame             14-11       3     0    +      2.25
   403 A Johns Hopkins           9-10      -1    -4    +      3.86
   505 H Limestone              17- 8   
   508 H Ohio State             12- 6       6     3    +      2.27
   515 H Ohio State             13- 6       7     3    +      3.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.49 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 84.67 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    9.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/