Conf = ACC Region = Southeast State = NC Nickname = Tarheels Coach = John HausGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.1211929 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 228 N Massachusetts ECAC ( 7- 7, 90.1) 12- 7 305 H Navy Patriot (15- 3, 98.7) 8- 9 o 309 A Denver Great Western ( 8- 6, 92.2) 11- 6 311 A Air Force Great Western ( 4- 8, 86.7) 10- 9 314 A Notre Dame Great Western ( 7- 5, 94.3) 14-11 320 A Duke ACC ( 5- 8, 88.8) 10- 9 o 327 H Maryland ACC (13- 3, 98.4) 9-10 403 A Johns Hopkins Independent (13- 2, 99.9) 9-10 410 H Virginia ACC ( 5- 8, 91.3) 11- 9 417 H UMBC America East ( 6- 8, 87.7) 17- 6 423 H Virginia ACC ( 5- 8, 91.3) 9-11 505 H Limestone Deep South (15- 2, 91.9) 17- 8 508 H Ohio State Great Western (12- 4, 94.2) 12- 6 515 H Ohio State Great Western (12- 4, 94.2) 13- 6 522 N Johns Hopkins Independent (13- 2, 99.9) 9-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 N Massachusetts 12- 7 5 6 -1.34 305 H Navy 8- 9 o -1 0 -0.29 309 A Denver 11- 6 5 2 + 2.21 311 A Air Force 10- 9 1 8 --- -7.32 314 A Notre Dame 14-11 3 0 + 2.25 320 A Duke 10- 9 o 1 6 -- -5.24 327 H Maryland 9-10 -1 0 -0.52 403 A Johns Hopkins 9-10 -1 -4 + 3.86 410 H Virginia 11- 9 2 6 -- -4.66 417 H UMBC 17- 6 11 10 0.00 423 H Virginia 9-11 -2 6 --- -8.66 505 H Limestone 17- 8 9 5 n/a 508 H Ohio State 12- 6 6 3 + 2.27 515 H Ohio State 13- 6 7 3 + 3.27 522 N Johns Hopkins 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.59UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 A Air Force 10- 9 1 8 --- -7.32 423 H Virginia 9-11 -2 6 --- -8.66 505 H Limestone 17- 8 320 A Duke 10- 9 o 1 6 -- -5.24 410 H Virginia 11- 9 2 6 -- -4.66 505 H Limestone 17- 8 505 H Limestone 17- 8 522 N Johns Hopkins 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.59OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 H Limestone 17- 8 505 H Limestone 17- 8 309 A Denver 11- 6 5 2 + 2.21 314 A Notre Dame 14-11 3 0 + 2.25 403 A Johns Hopkins 9-10 -1 -4 + 3.86 505 H Limestone 17- 8 508 H Ohio State 12- 6 6 3 + 2.27 515 H Ohio State 13- 6 7 3 + 3.27/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 96.49 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 84.67 Local SOS Rank............. 2 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 7 Championship Probability . 9.0 Championship Rank ....... 4 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3