Conf = NYCAC                      Region = District 2   State = NY
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Ralph Pepe              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.6660309    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 N St. Andrews            Deep South    ( 8- 8, 68.6)    11- 9   
 327 H Plattsburgh            SUNYAC        ( 2-10, 63.4)     8- 7 2o
 403 N Saint Vincent          Independent   ( 9- 3, 81.5)     9-13   
 404 N Wheeling Jesuit        Independent   ( 7- 7, 77.4)    13- 8   
 407 A NYIT                   NYCAC         (11- 2, 86.3)     9-19   
 409 H Notre Dame de Namur    Independent   ( 7- 7, 67.7)    19-12   
 412 H C. W. Post             NYCAC         ( 5- 9, 73.2)     8-13   
 417 A Bryant                 Northeast 10  (12- 5, 79.2)     9-11   
 418 A Merrimack              Northeast 10  ( 6- 8, 66.9)    12- 9   
 421 H Dowling                NYCAC         ( 8- 7, 77.1)    12-17   
 424 A Assumption             Northeast 10  ( 4-11, 59.2)    15- 9   
 428 A Molloy                 NYCAC         ( 9- 6, 74.3)    11-10   
 429 A Adelphi                NYCAC         ( 7- 4, 80.2)     8-17   
 501 A Dowling                NYCAC         ( 8- 7, 77.1)     9-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 N St. Andrews            11- 9       2     3          -1.85
   327 H Plattsburgh             8- 7 2o    1    10          n/a  
   403 N Saint Vincent           9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.08
   404 N Wheeling Jesuit        13- 8       5    -4    +++    9.97
   407 A NYIT                    9-19     -10   -14           0.00
   409 H Notre Dame de Namur    19-12       7     5           1.25
   412 H C. W. Post              8-13      -5     0    --    -5.17
   417 A Bryant                  9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.84
   418 A Merrimack              12- 9       3     4          -1.46
   421 H Dowling                12-17      -5    -3          -1.30
   424 A Assumption             15- 9       6    12    --    -4.00
   428 A Molloy                 11-10       1    -2    +      3.87
   429 A Adelphi                 8-17      -9    -8          -0.24
   501 A Dowling                 9-14      -5    -5           0.71

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Plattsburgh             8- 7 2o
   327 H Plattsburgh             8- 7 2o
   412 H C. W. Post              8-13      -5     0    --    -5.17
   424 A Assumption             15- 9       6    12    --    -4.00
   327 H Plattsburgh             8- 7 2o

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Plattsburgh             8- 7 2o
   404 N Wheeling Jesuit        13- 8       5    -4    +++    9.97
   327 H Plattsburgh             8- 7 2o
   403 N Saint Vincent           9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.08
   417 A Bryant                  9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.84
   327 H Plattsburgh             8- 7 2o
   428 A Molloy                 11-10       1    -2    +      3.87
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.40 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.71 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/