Conf = Metro Atlantic Region = Northeast State = RI Nickname = Friars Coach = Chris BurdickGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.7751389 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 221 A Fairfield Great Western ( 5- 9, 84.8) 7- 8 2o 307 A Towson Colonial (11- 5, 93.6) 3-12 310 N Penn State ECAC ( 6- 7, 89.0) 4-11 313 A Mount St. Mary's Metro Atlanti ( 5- 8, 81.8) 13-11 316 H Hartford America East ( 0-14, 74.7) 7- 4 327 A Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 6- 7, 82.8) 6- 8 404 N Siena Metro Atlanti ( 4- 9, 77.6) 15- 1 406 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 5- 9, 79.8) 7- 8 o 410 A St. Joseph's Metro Atlanti ( 4-10, 78.9) 13- 6 417 H Wagner Metro Atlanti ( 1-12, 72.9) 10- 3 420 H Marist Metro Atlanti (10- 7, 84.5) 4- 7 424 H VMI Metro Atlanti ( 0-12, 72.9) 8- 4 427 H Brown Ivy League ( 9- 5, 91.7) 3- 6 501 H Manhattan Metro Atlanti ( 8- 7, 83.5) 14- 9 507 A Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 6- 7, 82.8) 10- 8 509 N Manhattan Metro Atlanti ( 8- 7, 83.5) 11- 6 515 A Johns Hopkins Independent (13- 2, 99.9) 3-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Fairfield 7- 8 2o -1 -1 0.07 307 A Towson 3-12 -9 -9 0.91 310 N Penn State 4-11 -7 -3 - -3.17 313 A Mount St. Mary's 13-11 2 1 0.08 316 H Hartford 7- 4 3 11 --- -7.00 327 A Canisius 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.91 404 N Siena 15- 1 14 7 + 2.49 406 H Holy Cross 7- 8 o -1 6 --- -7.79 410 A St. Joseph's 13- 6 7 4 + 2.22 417 H Wagner 10- 3 7 13 - -3.00 420 H Marist 4- 7 -3 2 -- -5.06 424 H VMI 8- 4 4 13 --- -6.00 427 H Brown 3- 6 -3 -5 + 2.09 501 H Manhattan 14- 9 5 3 1.87 507 A Canisius 10- 8 2 0 1.09 509 N Manhattan 11- 6 5 1 + 3.32 515 A Johns Hopkins 3-15 -12 -16 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 H Hartford 7- 4 3 11 --- -7.00 406 H Holy Cross 7- 8 o -1 6 --- -7.79 424 H VMI 8- 4 4 13 --- -6.00 420 H Marist 4- 7 -3 2 -- -5.06 310 N Penn State 4-11 -7 -3 - -3.17 327 A Canisius 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.91 417 H Wagner 10- 3 7 13 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 N Siena 15- 1 14 7 + 2.49 410 A St. Joseph's 13- 6 7 4 + 2.22 427 H Brown 3- 6 -3 -5 + 2.09 509 N Manhattan 11- 6 5 1 + 3.32/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.15 Local Power Rank........... 36 Local SOS Rating......... 64.02 Local SOS Rank............. 48 Local RPI Rating......... 0.45 Local RPI Rank............. 37 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 42 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 36 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7