Mount St. Mary's              5 - 8


 
   Conf = Metro Atlantic             Region = Southeast    State = MD
   Nickname = Mountaineers           Coach  = Tom Gravante            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   86.9444962    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 A Bucknell               Patriot       ( 6- 8, 89.3)     8-11   
 310 A Delaware               Colonial      (10- 6, 89.6)     3-14   
 313 H Providence             Metro Atlanti ( 9- 8, 85.2)    11-13   
 318 H Manhattan              Metro Atlanti ( 8- 7, 83.5)     8- 9 4o
 320 H Siena                  Metro Atlanti ( 4- 9, 77.6)    16-15   
 327 A Marist                 Metro Atlanti (10- 7, 84.5)     4- 9   
 403 A Wagner                 Metro Atlanti ( 1-12, 72.9)    12- 5   
 406 A Towson                 Colonial      (11- 5, 93.6)     6-17   
 410 A VMI                    Metro Atlanti ( 0-12, 72.9)    18-12   
 417 H Penn State             ECAC          ( 6- 7, 89.0)     7-16   
 424 H Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 6- 7, 82.8)    10- 6   
 428 A Georgetown             ECAC          (11- 4, 95.0)     7-16   
 501 A St. Joseph's           Metro Atlanti ( 4-10, 78.9)    16-12   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Bucknell                8-11      -3    -8    ++     6.00
   310 A Delaware                3-14     -11    -9          -0.76
   313 H Providence             11-13      -2    -1          -0.08
   318 H Manhattan               8- 9 4o   -1     0          -0.76
   320 H Siena                  16-15       1     5    --    -4.59
   327 A Marist                  4- 9      -5    -4          -0.78
   403 A Wagner                 12- 5       7     7          -0.46
   406 A Towson                  6-17     -11   -13           0.00
   410 A VMI                    18-12       6     7          -1.41
   417 H Penn State              7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.25
   424 H Canisius               10- 6       4     0    +      3.56
   428 A Georgetown              7-16      -9   -14           1.00
   501 A St. Joseph's           16-12       4     1    +      2.60


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Siena                  16-15       1     5    --    -4.59
   417 H Penn State              7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.25


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Bucknell                8-11      -3    -8    ++     6.00
   424 H Canisius               10- 6       4     0    +      3.56
   501 A St. Joseph's           16-12       4     1    +      2.60




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.78 Local Power Rank...........    45
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.89 Local SOS Rank.............    46
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    43
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    40
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    41
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3


  
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