Conf = Patriot                    Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Statesmen              Coach  = Matt Kerwick            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.7600708    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 N Butler                 Great Western ( 5- 8, 83.2)     6- 7   
 306 A Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 5- 9, 79.8)    14- 6   
 313 A Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 4-10, 82.9)    11- 4   
 316 A Navy                   Patriot       (15- 3, 98.7)     8-13   
 320 A Georgetown             ECAC          (11- 4, 95.0)     7- 9   
 327 H Lafayette              Patriot       ( 2-12, 76.6)    18- 7   
 330 A Syracuse               Independent   (15- 2, 99.5)    10-16   
 403 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 6- 8, 89.3)    13- 9   
 407 H Colgate                Patriot       ( 8- 7, 87.4)     8- 4   
 410 H Penn State             ECAC          ( 6- 7, 89.0)     8- 7  o
 417 H Ohio State             Great Western (12- 4, 94.2)    12-13  o
 424 A Army                   Patriot       (10- 5, 91.5)    14- 8   
 430 N Bucknell               Patriot       ( 6- 8, 89.3)    10- 9   
 502 A Navy                   Patriot       (15- 3, 98.7)     8- 9   
 507 H Cornell                Ivy League    ( 9- 5, 92.3)    12-10   
 515 A Cornell                Ivy League    ( 9- 5, 92.3)     5-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 N Butler                  6- 7      -1     8    ---   -9.31
   306 A Holy Cross             14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00
   313 A Lehigh                 11- 4       7     7          -0.17
   316 A Navy                    8-13      -5    -8    +      3.61
   320 A Georgetown              7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.93
   327 H Lafayette              18- 7      11    16           0.00
   330 A Syracuse               10-16      -6    -9    +      3.42
   403 H Bucknell               13- 9       4     3           0.37
   407 H Colgate                 8- 4       4     5          -1.51
   410 H Penn State              8- 7  o    1     3    -     -2.97
   417 H Ohio State             12-13  o   -1    -1           0.26
   424 A Army                   14- 8       6    -1    +++    7.46
   430 N Bucknell               10- 9       1     2          -1.17
   502 A Navy                    8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.61
   507 H Cornell                12-10       2     0           1.32
   515 A Cornell                 5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.78

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 N Butler                  6- 7      -1     8    ---   -9.31
   306 A Holy Cross             14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00
   410 H Penn State              8- 7  o    1     3    -     -2.97
   515 A Cornell                 5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Army                   14- 8       6    -1    +++    7.46
   502 A Navy                    8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.61
   316 A Navy                    8-13      -5    -8    +      3.61
   320 A Georgetown              7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.93
   330 A Syracuse               10-16      -6    -9    +      3.42
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.50 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.53 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/