Conf = Patriot Region = Northeast State = NY Nickname = Statesmen Coach = Matt KerwickGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.7600708 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 228 N Butler Great Western ( 5- 8, 83.2) 6- 7 306 A Holy Cross Patriot ( 5- 9, 79.8) 14- 6 313 A Lehigh Patriot ( 4-10, 82.9) 11- 4 316 A Navy Patriot (15- 3, 98.7) 8-13 320 A Georgetown ECAC (11- 4, 95.0) 7- 9 327 H Lafayette Patriot ( 2-12, 76.6) 18- 7 330 A Syracuse Independent (15- 2, 99.5) 10-16 403 H Bucknell Patriot ( 6- 8, 89.3) 13- 9 407 H Colgate Patriot ( 8- 7, 87.4) 8- 4 410 H Penn State ECAC ( 6- 7, 89.0) 8- 7 o 417 H Ohio State Great Western (12- 4, 94.2) 12-13 o 424 A Army Patriot (10- 5, 91.5) 14- 8 430 N Bucknell Patriot ( 6- 8, 89.3) 10- 9 502 A Navy Patriot (15- 3, 98.7) 8- 9 507 H Cornell Ivy League ( 9- 5, 92.3) 12-10 515 A Cornell Ivy League ( 9- 5, 92.3) 5-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 N Butler 6- 7 -1 8 --- -9.31 306 A Holy Cross 14- 6 8 10 - -2.00 313 A Lehigh 11- 4 7 7 -0.17 316 A Navy 8-13 -5 -8 + 3.61 320 A Georgetown 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.93 327 H Lafayette 18- 7 11 16 0.00 330 A Syracuse 10-16 -6 -9 + 3.42 403 H Bucknell 13- 9 4 3 0.37 407 H Colgate 8- 4 4 5 -1.51 410 H Penn State 8- 7 o 1 3 - -2.97 417 H Ohio State 12-13 o -1 -1 0.26 424 A Army 14- 8 6 -1 +++ 7.46 430 N Bucknell 10- 9 1 2 -1.17 502 A Navy 8- 9 -1 -8 +++ 7.61 507 H Cornell 12-10 2 0 1.32 515 A Cornell 5-11 -6 -2 - -3.78UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 N Butler 6- 7 -1 8 --- -9.31 306 A Holy Cross 14- 6 8 10 - -2.00 410 H Penn State 8- 7 o 1 3 - -2.97 515 A Cornell 5-11 -6 -2 - -3.78OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A Army 14- 8 6 -1 +++ 7.46 502 A Navy 8- 9 -1 -8 +++ 7.61 316 A Navy 8-13 -5 -8 + 3.61 320 A Georgetown 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.93 330 A Syracuse 10-16 -6 -9 + 3.42/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.50 Local Power Rank........... 18 Local SOS Rating......... 77.53 Local SOS Rank............. 16 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 11 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 31 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 15 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7