Conf = Northeast 10               Region = District 1   State = MA
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Jim Murphy              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.9117737    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 310 N Catawba                Deep South    (10- 6, 73.9)     8- 5   
 321 H C. W. Post             NYCAC         ( 5- 9, 73.2)     8- 7 2o
 327 H Le Moyne               Northeast 10  (16- 0, 86.7)     4-12   
 329 A American International Northeast 10  ( 0-11, 48.3)    13- 0   
 331 H Franklin Pierce        Northeast 10  ( 3-12, 53.6)    18- 0   
 404 A Adelphi                NYCAC         ( 7- 4, 80.2)     3-17   
 408 A Merrimack              Northeast 10  ( 6- 8, 66.9)     8- 7   
 413 H Assumption             Northeast 10  ( 4-11, 59.2)    13- 5   
 415 A Saint Michael's        Northeast 10  ( 4-10, 65.6)    11- 3   
 417 A S. New Hampshire       Northeast 10  ( 6- 7, 67.1)    11- 5   
 420 H Bryant                 Northeast 10  (12- 5, 79.2)     8-15   
 422 A Saint Anselm           Northeast 10  ( 4- 9, 63.0)    12- 4   
 424 H Pace                   Northeast 10  ( 9- 5, 78.1)    13-12   
 504 H Merrimack              Northeast 10  ( 6- 8, 66.9)     8- 6   
 507 N Bryant                 Northeast 10  (12- 5, 79.2)     5-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 N Catawba                 8- 5       3     0    +      2.75
   321 H C. W. Post              8- 7 2o    1     1          -0.92
   327 H Le Moyne                4-12      -8   -11    +      2.00
   329 A American International 13- 0      13    24           0.00
   331 H Franklin Pierce        18- 0      18    21           0.00
   404 A Adelphi                 3-17     -14    -7    -     -3.00
   408 A Merrimack               8- 7       1     6    --    -5.21
   413 H Assumption             13- 5       8    15    -     -2.00
   415 A Saint Michael's        11- 3       8     7           0.41
   417 A S. New Hampshire       11- 5       6     6          -0.02
   420 H Bryant                  8-15      -7    -4    -     -2.92
   422 A Saint Anselm           12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00
   424 H Pace                   13-12       1    -2    +      3.97
   504 H Merrimack               8- 6       2     8    ---   -6.23
   507 N Bryant                  5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.92

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Merrimack               8- 6       2     8    ---   -6.23
   408 A Merrimack               8- 7       1     6    --    -5.21
   404 A Adelphi                 3-17     -14    -7    -     -3.00
   413 H Assumption             13- 5       8    15    -     -2.00
   420 H Bryant                  8-15      -7    -4    -     -2.92
   422 A Saint Anselm           12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00
   507 N Bryant                  5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.92

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 N Catawba                 8- 5       3     0    +      2.75
   327 H Le Moyne                4-12      -8   -11    +      2.00
   424 H Pace                   13-12       1    -2    +      3.97
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.16 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 41.79 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/