Conf = Great Western Region = West State = CO Nickname = Falcons Coach = Fred AceeGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.4254913 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 228 N Virginia ACC ( 5- 8, 91.3) 7- 6 229 N Vermont America East ( 6- 9, 84.8) 8- 4 306 A Army Patriot (10- 5, 91.5) 10-11 o 311 H North Carolina ACC (10- 5, 96.5) 9-10 320 A Delaware Colonial (10- 6, 89.6) 6- 7 324 A Stony Brook America East ( 9- 6, 87.8) 3- 7 409 H Notre Dame Great Western ( 7- 5, 94.3) 2-12 411 H Fairfield Great Western ( 5- 9, 84.8) 12- 6 417 H Denver Great Western ( 8- 6, 92.2) 6- 7 423 A Ohio State Great Western (12- 4, 94.2) 2- 9 425 A Butler Great Western ( 5- 8, 83.2) 13- 6 501 A Sacred Heart Colonial ( 3-11, 81.0) 10-11 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 N Virginia 7- 6 1 -4 ++ 5.57 229 N Vermont 8- 4 4 1 + 2.07 306 A Army 10-11 o -1 -6 ++ 5.24 311 H North Carolina 9-10 -1 -8 +++ 7.32 320 A Delaware 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.30 324 A Stony Brook 3- 7 -4 -2 -1.46 409 H Notre Dame 2-12 -10 -6 - -3.89 411 H Fairfield 12- 6 6 3 + 2.60 417 H Denver 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.07 423 A Ohio State 2- 9 -7 -8 1.94 425 A Butler 13- 6 7 2 ++ 4.91 501 A Sacred Heart 10-11 o -1 4 -- -5.26UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A Sacred Heart 10-11 o -1 4 -- -5.26 409 H Notre Dame 2-12 -10 -6 - -3.89OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H North Carolina 9-10 -1 -8 +++ 7.32 228 N Virginia 7- 6 1 -4 ++ 5.57 306 A Army 10-11 o -1 -6 ++ 5.24 425 A Butler 13- 6 7 2 ++ 4.91 229 N Vermont 8- 4 4 1 + 2.07 320 A Delaware 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.30 411 H Fairfield 12- 6 6 3 + 2.60 417 H Denver 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.07/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.72 Local Power Rank........... 33 Local SOS Rating......... 75.67 Local SOS Rank............. 19 Local RPI Rating......... 0.45 Local RPI Rank............. 36 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 16 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 32 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 4- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3