2018 boys VA VHSL 4A/5A/6A
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Robinson, VA 19 3 3 2 2 2 6 1 9 24.00 2 Briar Woods 22 1 1 14 1 5 3 2 10 29.00 3 Oakton 18 4 4 1 3 4 2 4 10 5.00 4 Stone Bridge 16 7 8 11 9 12 1 11 24 3.00 5 Chantilly 14 6 13 9 10 9 4 12 25 1.00 6 Dominion 13 7 9 4 12 8 11 10 29 2.00 7 Riverside, VA 17 2 5 22 5 10 16 5 31 9.00 8 Woodson 16 6 7 8 6 6 21 7 34 8.00 9 Atlee, VA 13 2 6 30 11 3 32 6 41 11.00 10 E.C. Glass 21 0 2 37 4 1 38 3 42 3.00 11 John Champe 14 3 14 28 7 18 17 8 43 0.10 12 James River 12 5 34 55 28 17 7 23 47 0.10 13 Patrick Henry, R 13 4 15 29 14 7 26 14 47 1.00 14 South County 14 7 10 6 8 11 24 13 48 0.10 15 Freedom, South R 13 5 11 21 17 19 13 19 51 2.00 16 Midlothian 15 4 22 48 13 14 28 9 51 0.10 17 Douglas Freeman 9 8 39 20 25 16 14 22 52 0.10 18 Salem, VA 12 6 48 56 31 21 9 25 55 0.10 19 Westfield, VA 10 8 19 3 21 20 5 31 56 0.10 20 Colonial Forge 15 5 31 47 20 22 27 21 70 0.10 21 Cosby 10 6 50 67 44 26 15 32 73 0.10 22 Battlefield 14 6 16 33 16 31 23 20 74 0.10 23 Loudoun County 9 7 28 18 26 32 12 33 77 0.10 24 Madison, VA 9 10 23 7 42 23 8 47 78 0.10 25 Albemarle, VA 8 7 41 35 34 24 35 26 85 0.10 26 Western Albemarl 11 6 17 32 30 13 54 18 85 1.00 27 Deep Run 10 4 30 38 19 15 56 16 87 0.10 28 Franklin County, 10 5 55 86 35 33 34 29 96 0.10 29 Loudoun Valley 8 7 25 24 33 36 25 35 96 0.10 30 Colgan 10 7 32 42 39 30 22 45 97 0.10 31 Kettle Run 13 3 18 51 18 27 61 17 105 0.10 32 Broad Run 7 9 38 17 45 45 10 52 107 0.10 33 Langley, VA 7 9 36 13 46 35 20 55 110 0.10 34 Hanover, VA 8 7 49 41 48 29 39 43 111 0.10 35 South Lakes 14 2 12 39 15 25 71 15 111 1.00 36 Jefferson Forest 8 5 57 74 41 34 44 34 112 0.10 37 West Springfield 5 9 44 15 51 41 18 53 112 0.10 38 T.C. Williams 13 5 24 65 24 40 45 28 113 0.10 39 Fauquier 10 6 27 43 36 39 37 39 115 0.10 40 Mills Godwin 8 7 45 53 56 42 40 44 126 0.10 41 Brentsville 11 5 29 58 38 43 47 38 128 0.10 42 Forest Park, VA 12 3 21 79 22 28 78 24 130 0.10 43 Lake Braddock 5 10 42 5 49 38 42 54 134 0.10 44 West Potomac 13 5 33 66 27 44 62 30 136 0.10 45 Yorktown, VA 7 10 35 16 60 47 29 61 137 0.10 46 Edison, VA 10 4 40 76 23 50 68 27 145 0.10 47 North Stafford 10 8 51 52 62 49 36 60 145 0.10 48 Rockbridge Count 8 7 76 96 53 56 43 46 145 0.10 49 Riverbend 9 7 47 60 58 48 41 57 146 0.10 50 Mountain View, V 11 6 46 84 50 54 50 49 153 0.10 51 Patriot 10 8 26 25 29 37 77 41 155 0.10 52 Monticello, VA 9 7 53 77 52 57 55 50 162 0.10 53 Hidden Valley 9 8 68 82 54 46 69 48 163 0.10 54 Centreville 3 12 54 10 72 51 33 80 164 0.10 55 McLean, VA 9 8 37 40 61 52 53 65 170 0.10 56 Cave Spring 8 7 67 104 64 60 59 58 177 0.10 57 Fairfax 4 8 58 26 47 62 65 51 178 0.10 58 Clover Hill 6 9 77 95 80 63 48 72 183 0.10 59 Tuscarora, VA 6 9 61 31 63 64 52 67 183 0.10 60 Thomas Dale 10 5 62 106 43 61 86 37 184 0.10 61 Heritage, Leesbu 3 12 66 19 83 67 31 87 185 0.10 62 George Mason 9 7 43 44 32 55 93 40 188 0.10 63 Rock Ridge 4 11 70 27 86 69 30 89 188 0.10 64 Woodbridge, VA 9 7 63 94 59 59 66 63 188 0.10 65 Hylton 6 9 85 70 73 65 49 76 190 0.10 66 Lee-Davis 4 9 80 50 71 66 58 73 197 0.10 67 Liberty Christia 6 11 71 61 74 53 75 70 198 0.10 68 Potomac Falls 0 15 89 12 98 80 19 102 201 0.10 69 Glen Allen 7 8 64 93 70 73 72 62 207 0.10 70 Woodgrove 5 10 52 23 66 58 83 69 210 0.10 71 Massaponax 6 9 72 71 84 71 63 82 216 0.10 72 Falls Church 7 11 74 63 81 68 67 86 221 0.10 73 Patrick Henry, A 7 7 65 92 57 76 88 59 223 0.10 74 Potomac-Dumfries 6 9 81 83 76 70 80 75 225 0.10 75 Monacan 3 12 98 87 100 86 46 96 228 0.10 76 Charlottesville 6 8 75 90 65 75 96 64 235 0.10 77 Culpeper County 6 9 78 73 78 81 76 78 235 0.10 78 Stafford 4 13 82 59 104 77 57 101 235 0.10 79 Herndon 5 7 60 46 67 74 95 68 237 0.10 80 Handley 8 3 20 54 40 90 106 42 238 0.10 81 Highland Springs 3 4 95 110 37 92 110 36 238 0.10 82 Osbourn Park 2 11 90 34 94 83 60 97 240 0.10 83 Eastern View 4 9 92 75 88 79 79 84 242 0.10 84 Marshall 8 7 59 81 55 78 108 56 242 0.10 85 Thomas Jefferson 6 8 69 88 69 82 89 71 242 0.10 86 Freedom, Woodbri 6 9 79 101 82 84 82 81 247 0.10 87 Mount Vernon, VA 4 10 87 57 90 87 70 90 247 0.10 88 Powhatan 5 10 73 89 89 88 74 85 247 0.10 89 Stonewall Jackso 6 10 56 36 87 72 84 91 247 0.10 90 Manchester, VA 5 10 93 102 91 89 73 88 250 0.10 91 Brooke Point 0 15 99 45 110 98 51 110 259 0.10 92 William Byrd 2 12 108 100 99 96 64 99 259 0.10 93 Liberty, Bealeto 6 7 83 91 68 93 101 66 260 0.10 94 Park View 3 12 97 49 77 94 90 79 263 0.10 95 Annandale 4 11 86 62 92 85 92 92 269 0.10 96 Blacksburg 5 10 94 108 85 91 100 83 274 0.10 97 Washington-Lee 4 11 84 64 97 95 87 98 280 0.10 98 J.E.B. Stuart 4 8 88 98 79 101 107 77 285 0.10 99 Osbourn 0 13 105 68 105 102 81 106 289 0.10 100 Hermitage 0 13 106 72 106 100 85 105 290 0.10 101 Matoaca 1 7 107 109 75 109 109 74 292 0.10 102 Christiansburg 4 11 101 105 93 97 103 93 293 0.10 103 Gar-field 2 12 100 99 101 103 91 100 294 0.10 104 Hayfield 1 10 91 78 95 104 99 95 298 0.10 105 James Monroe, VA 1 13 96 69 107 99 94 107 300 0.10 106 Lloyd C. Bird 1 10 109 103 96 105 105 94 304 0.10 107 Robert E. Lee 0 12 104 85 102 107 97 103 307 0.10 108 Fluvanna County 0 15 102 80 108 106 98 108 312 0.10 109 William Fleming 0 13 110 107 103 110 104 104 318 0.10 110 Wakefield HS, VA 1 14 103 97 109 108 102 109 319 0.10