2018 boys NC NCHSAA
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Weddington 3A 19 2 2 3 3 2 1 2 5 28.00 2 Middle Creek 4A 21 1 1 5 2 3 5 3 11 39.00 3 Lake Norman 4A 22 2 3 2 1 1 21 1 23 7.00 4 Marvin Ridge 3A 16 4 6 6 5 4 16 5 25 1.00 5 Holly Springs 4A 12 4 13 9 14 12 2 13 27 1.00 6 Green Hope 4A 15 3 11 39 11 17 6 11 34 0.10 7 New Bern 4A 14 2 19 68 15 16 12 15 43 0.10 8 Myers Park 4A 13 5 8 7 8 10 25 12 47 2.00 9 Wakefield, NC 4A 14 2 15 41 10 15 18 14 47 0.10 10 Apex 4A 13 6 9 4 12 6 34 9 49 0.10 11 Mount Tabor 4A 13 7 23 28 26 22 4 25 51 0.10 12 Hough 4A 12 6 16 14 18 23 8 21 52 0.10 13 Cuthbertson 3A 11 9 32 11 22 21 9 23 53 0.10 14 Greensboro Page 4A 14 6 25 25 20 20 14 19 53 0.10 15 Northern Guilfor 3A 13 4 26 58 24 18 17 18 53 1.00 16 East Chapel Hill 4A 19 2 14 42 9 8 39 8 55 0.10 17 Charlotte Cathol 4A 13 9 10 1 13 7 42 10 59 0.10 18 Friendship 4A 8 8 31 10 32 26 3 31 60 0.10 19 Leesville Road 4A 13 5 20 33 19 27 10 24 61 0.10 20 R.J. Reynolds 4A 11 6 18 8 16 13 32 16 61 1.00 21 NorthWest Guilfo 4A 16 4 5 16 6 5 57 4 66 6.00 22 Wilmington Hogga 4A 17 2 7 27 7 9 51 6 66 4.00 23 Northwood, NC 3A 12 5 30 59 31 24 19 26 69 0.10 24 Reagan, NC 4A 12 5 27 37 23 14 38 22 74 0.10 25 Athens Drive 4A 12 6 34 49 28 34 13 28 75 0.10 26 Cardinal Gibbons 4A 17 3 4 15 4 11 58 7 76 10.00 27 Ardrey Kell 4A 16 5 12 20 17 19 43 17 79 0.10 28 Broughton 4A 10 8 24 13 34 28 15 38 81 0.10 29 Eastern Alamance 3A 11 6 39 81 45 31 22 32 85 0.10 30 Carrboro 2A 9 8 44 40 49 36 7 50 93 0.10 31 East Forsyth 4A 7 5 28 51 41 30 29 34 93 0.10 32 J.H. Rose 4A 12 4 38 83 29 35 37 29 101 0.10 33 Fuquay-Varina 4A 8 8 41 22 38 46 24 39 109 0.10 34 Millbrook 4A 9 7 33 29 35 41 23 45 109 0.10 35 Providence HS 4A 9 8 36 18 39 39 26 46 111 0.10 36 Heritage, NC 4A 9 8 29 23 42 29 44 40 113 0.10 37 St Stephen's, NC 3A 12 6 45 73 33 42 40 33 115 0.10 38 Hillsborough Ora 3A 8 7 58 60 58 38 30 53 121 0.10 39 West Forsyth, NC 4A 10 7 57 79 46 44 36 43 123 0.10 40 Lake Norman Char 2A 12 6 21 48 30 40 47 37 124 0.10 41 Greensboro Grims 4A 5 11 55 30 73 47 11 69 127 0.10 42 SouthWest Guilfo 4A 12 6 51 87 43 45 41 42 128 0.10 43 Wilmington New H 4A 15 5 17 38 21 25 85 20 130 0.10 44 Mooresville 4A 10 6 35 57 25 32 72 30 134 0.10 45 Jack Britt 4A 6 10 46 12 61 49 28 59 136 0.10 46 Croatan 3A 8 6 50 77 50 48 48 52 148 0.10 47 Ragsdale-Jamesto 4A 8 10 70 71 62 60 33 56 149 0.10 48 West Stokes 2A 11 6 47 92 44 50 54 47 151 0.10 49 Butler 4A 7 12 56 24 70 51 27 76 154 0.10 50 Wilmington Laney 4A 11 6 22 47 40 37 80 41 158 0.10 51 Durham Jordan 4A 10 8 37 52 48 43 76 44 163 0.10 52 First Flight 2A 11 6 42 65 37 33 98 35 166 0.10 53 Cedar Ridge, NC 3A 6 6 60 75 54 55 65 48 168 0.10 54 Garner Magnet 4A 4 13 68 19 81 68 20 81 169 0.10 55 Western Guilford 3A 10 5 64 98 36 54 79 36 169 0.10 56 Northside, NC 2A 6 8 61 74 67 59 46 66 171 0.10 57 Panther Creek 4A 7 8 48 56 59 58 53 62 173 0.10 58 Sun Valley, NC 3A 7 9 52 50 60 65 50 58 173 0.10 59 Southern Alamanc 4A 7 8 63 86 66 56 56 63 175 0.10 60 Sanderson 4A 4 10 53 21 65 63 35 80 178 0.10 61 Chapel Hill 3A 5 11 54 43 77 53 61 68 182 0.10 62 Topsail 3A 9 8 40 45 53 52 78 54 184 0.10 63 W.M. Williams 3A 8 8 72 91 64 62 60 64 186 0.10 64 Patton, Morganto 3A 11 3 43 89 27 61 99 27 187 0.10 65 South Mecklenbur 4A 5 9 49 32 56 57 74 57 188 0.10 66 Havelock 3A 4 8 67 70 72 64 59 70 193 0.10 67 W.G. Enloe 4A 4 12 78 36 83 75 31 89 195 0.10 68 Davie 4A 5 9 75 80 76 72 55 73 200 0.10 69 Community School 1A 2 9 76 44 47 73 73 55 201 0.10 70 SouthEast Guilfo 4A 6 8 80 97 69 70 68 67 205 0.10 71 Corinth Holders 3A 5 6 59 67 51 67 90 51 208 0.10 72 Wake Forest 4A 6 10 62 69 80 74 62 79 215 0.10 73 Wilmington Ashle 4A 4 11 65 17 63 66 84 65 215 0.10 74 Northern Durham 4A 7 7 73 96 52 76 100 49 225 0.10 75 Pine Lake Prep 4A 5 8 71 62 55 77 89 60 226 0.10 76 Bishop McGuinnes 1A 7 7 74 95 57 71 96 61 228 0.10 77 Hickory, NC 3A 6 9 77 78 74 69 92 72 233 0.10 78 Jacksonville 3A 1 13 93 64 100 85 49 99 233 0.10 79 Riverside, Durha 4A 1 15 92 53 102 86 45 103 234 0.10 80 Asheboro 3A 7 9 82 102 75 80 81 74 235 0.10 81 Parkwood 4A 3 12 81 46 71 82 83 71 236 0.10 82 Pinecrest 4A 4 11 69 54 87 79 70 88 237 0.10 83 South Brunswick, 3A 2 14 83 35 89 84 67 87 238 0.10 84 Southeast Raleig 4A 1 14 88 34 96 92 52 101 245 0.10 85 Cary HS 4A 4 12 84 72 91 89 66 92 247 0.10 86 Porter Ridge 4A 4 11 66 31 68 78 95 75 248 0.10 87 West Brunswick 3A 2 10 87 26 82 81 86 82 249 0.10 88 R.B. Glenn 4A 2 13 99 84 99 91 63 98 252 0.10 89 Western Alamance 3A 2 11 89 90 92 90 71 91 252 0.10 90 West Carteret 3A 3 12 94 76 98 83 77 97 257 0.10 91 High Point Centr 4A 1 16 100 82 103 93 64 102 259 0.10 92 North Davidson 3A 5 10 85 100 85 88 88 84 260 0.10 93 Rolesville 4A 1 14 90 66 101 95 69 100 264 0.10 94 Independence, NC 4A 3 13 79 61 93 96 75 96 267 0.10 95 Watauga 4A 2 12 96 63 86 87 94 86 267 0.10 96 Eastern Guilford 3A 2 13 98 99 97 94 82 95 271 0.10 97 Southern Durham 3A 0 10 103 85 90 99 93 85 277 0.10 98 Atkins 1A 3 12 97 103 95 97 87 94 278 0.10 99 Voyager Academy 3A 1 9 91 93 78 100 103 77 280 0.10 100 J.F. Webb 3A 4 10 86 101 84 98 101 83 282 0.10 101 Freedom, Morgant 3A 0 8 101 88 79 103 102 78 283 0.10 102 Parkland, NC 1A 0 11 102 94 94 101 91 93 285 0.10 103 Queens Grant 4A 0 12 95 55 88 102 97 90 289 0.10