2018 boys MA MIAA East/Cntrl/West
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Xaverian Brother CathCon 16 5 6 2 2 3 6 3 12 8.00 2 Lincoln-Sudbury Dual County 11 7 8 1 11 2 5 8 15 9.00 3 Longmeadow Wheel 17 5 10 12 12 6 10 10 26 2.00 4 Concord-Carlisle Dual County 18 6 18 9 8 4 21 7 32 1.00 5 Franklin, MA Hocomock 16 4 7 22 9 15 8 9 32 1.00 6 Wayland Dual County 17 3 9 29 5 11 15 6 32 0.10 7 Wellesley Bay State 14 5 11 16 16 16 1 15 32 2.00 8 Reading Middlesex 16 7 22 14 31 13 7 13 33 1.00 9 Melrose Middlesex 18 2 5 35 6 10 22 5 37 1.00 10 St John's, Shrew Cathlc 16 5 15 18 21 12 11 20 43 1.00 11 Winchester, MA Middlesex 16 4 16 28 19 17 12 16 45 1.00 12 Walpole Bay State 15 5 13 19 10 19 9 25 53 2.00 13 Cohasset SShore 17 6 4 15 18 8 26 21 55 5.00 14 Acton Boxborough Dual County 15 8 25 10 27 14 19 23 56 0.10 15 Billerica Merrimack 16 6 26 26 33 28 3 30 61 0.10 16 Newton North Bay State 15 4 21 27 7 27 14 22 63 1.00 17 Needham Bay State 13 7 23 8 14 20 25 19 64 1.00 18 Hamilton-Wenham Cape Ann 15 3 24 45 24 9 35 24 68 0.10 19 Foxborough Hocomock 15 4 17 38 22 24 32 18 74 0.10 20 Duxbury Patriot 16 4 3 6 4 7 65 4 76 13.00 21 Westwood, MA TriVal 16 5 12 23 23 22 27 32 81 0.10 22 Nipmuc Regional MidMass 16 5 41 88 43 33 13 36 82 0.10 23 Bridgewater-Rayn OldColony 16 3 20 76 17 18 51 17 86 0.10 24 North Andover Merrimack 15 4 19 37 30 29 30 29 88 0.10 25 St John's Prep, CathCon 11 10 28 4 44 30 4 55 89 0.10 26 Algonquin MidWacA 14 6 30 32 57 25 23 43 91 0.10 27 Littleton, MA MidWacB 15 5 35 60 49 26 34 33 93 0.10 28 Scituate, MA Patriot 16 7 31 34 48 35 16 42 93 0.10 29 Hingham Patriot 22 2 2 11 3 5 90 2 97 18.00 30 Austin Prep Catholic 17 3 29 113 20 32 55 11 98 0.10 31 Grafton, MA MidMass 17 6 37 78 46 34 20 45 99 0.10 32 Boston College H CathCon 20 3 1 3 1 1 102 1 104 31.00 33 Medfield TriVal 12 8 14 7 34 31 33 56 120 1.00 34 Ipswich Cape Ann 13 7 53 75 80 43 17 66 126 0.10 35 Silver Lake Patriot 14 5 38 52 35 41 49 38 128 0.10 36 Groton-Dunstable MidWacA 15 5 45 56 42 42 44 46 132 0.10 37 Falmouth HS, MA Atlantic 18 5 34 61 36 21 73 39 133 0.10 38 Hoosac Valley Berkshr 15 4 121 181 28 37 69 28 134 0.10 39 Natick Bay State 14 5 36 42 29 48 53 35 136 0.10 40 Marlborough MidWacC 15 6 47 82 54 45 43 54 142 0.10 41 Marshfield Atlantic 9 9 54 20 85 40 18 84 142 0.10 42 Hopkinton, MA TriVal 11 8 27 17 58 39 28 76 143 1.00 43 Dover-Sherborn TriVal 15 8 32 24 41 44 31 71 146 0.10 44 North Reading Cape Ann 15 7 56 90 71 50 29 67 146 0.10 45 Westfield, MA Wheel 13 7 40 47 56 23 83 50 156 0.10 46 North Attleboro Hocomock 15 5 33 72 38 47 79 41 167 0.10 47 Masconomet Cape Ann 12 8 48 43 83 57 39 77 173 0.10 48 Shrewsbury MidWacA 12 8 39 33 86 46 40 87 173 0.10 49 Catholic Memoria CathCon 6 12 73 5 91 73 2 106 181 0.10 50 Hopedale MidMass 15 5 52 138 52 69 64 52 185 0.10 51 Marblehead Northeast 13 6 51 66 59 55 77 53 185 0.10 52 St Bernard's, MA Cathlc 18 2 42 166 15 60 116 14 190 0.10 53 Hull SShore 12 6 65 89 63 54 76 63 193 0.10 54 Bristol-Plymouth Mayflower 17 3 124 214 25 61 107 26 194 0.10 55 Norwell SShore 12 10 64 39 102 58 48 93 199 0.10 56 Plymouth South Atlantic 14 6 57 92 47 63 92 48 203 0.10 57 Wahconah Berkshr 15 5 104 191 55 56 91 57 204 0.10 58 Minnechaug Regio Wheel 14 6 50 62 53 36 128 47 211 0.10 59 Bishop Stang EasternAC 15 4 72 147 32 49 132 31 212 0.10 60 Central Catholic Merrimack 13 7 55 53 62 70 78 65 213 0.10 61 Lexington, MA Middlesex 8 9 62 30 92 79 46 88 213 0.10 62 Mansfield Hocomock 9 9 59 41 94 82 37 98 217 0.10 63 Rockland SShore 10 9 80 80 97 67 57 99 223 0.10 64 Bishop Feehan EasternAC 10 10 84 58 118 66 36 125 227 0.10 65 East Longmeadow Valley 18 2 67 162 13 52 163 12 227 0.10 66 South Shore RVT Mayflower 16 5 135 211 50 68 110 49 227 0.10 67 King Philip Regi Hocomock 9 10 70 36 110 74 41 115 230 0.10 68 Medway TriVal 13 8 46 55 74 65 74 92 231 0.10 69 Manchester-Essex Cape Ann 12 8 92 127 93 83 68 83 234 0.10 70 Nashoba Regional MidWacA 12 8 66 104 90 85 60 89 234 0.10 71 Sandwich Atlantic 13 7 60 98 81 62 95 78 235 0.10 72 Mount Greylock R Berkshr 15 5 81 157 60 38 138 60 236 0.10 73 Wakefield, MA Middlesex 11 8 49 49 84 81 86 75 242 0.10 74 Andover HS, MA Merrimack 13 10 43 25 77 53 130 64 247 0.10 75 Canton, MA Hocomock 11 8 63 77 88 87 71 91 249 0.10 76 South Hadley Wheel 10 10 115 129 120 78 59 112 249 0.10 77 Tri-County RVT Mayflower 14 7 142 204 75 76 94 80 250 0.10 78 Archbishop Willi Catholic 13 7 100 143 78 80 89 82 251 0.10 79 Upper Cape Cod R Mayflower 10 9 162 195 117 92 45 119 256 0.10 80 Northampton Wheel 9 10 93 94 124 86 54 117 257 0.10 81 Westford Academy Dual County 10 8 68 50 69 88 114 58 260 0.10 82 Malden Catholic CathCon 6 13 85 13 138 89 24 150 263 0.10 83 Nauset Atlantic 9 10 102 83 139 51 80 133 264 0.10 84 Bromfield School MidWacC 12 7 106 155 79 96 98 72 266 0.10 85 Woburn Memorial Middlesex 9 10 96 67 128 95 63 108 266 0.10 86 Holliston TriVal 9 10 69 40 104 91 50 126 267 0.10 87 Oliver Ames Hocomock 14 7 61 132 68 90 103 74 267 0.10 88 Weymouth Bay State 9 9 78 65 87 104 62 101 267 0.10 89 Nantucket Cape 17 3 74 173 26 72 170 27 269 0.10 90 Burlington, MA Middlesex 10 9 75 63 103 99 75 97 271 0.10 91 Oakmont Regional MidWacB 11 6 90 145 72 84 117 73 274 0.10 92 St Mary's, Lynn Catholic 11 9 114 134 111 100 70 104 274 0.10 93 Braintree Bay State 9 10 87 73 100 111 52 114 277 0.10 94 Medford Greater Bosto 16 4 109 178 37 75 168 34 277 0.10 95 Pembroke Patriot 8 11 83 44 130 101 47 130 278 0.10 96 Waltham Dual County 9 9 76 69 112 93 93 94 280 0.10 97 Tantasqua Region MidMass 11 8 79 125 98 103 81 100 284 0.10 98 Bourne SoCoast 17 5 94 164 45 77 164 44 285 0.10 99 Bishop Fenwick Catholic 12 7 98 144 82 94 111 85 290 0.10 100 Sharon Hocomock 12 7 71 108 73 106 106 79 291 0.10 101 Belmont, MA Middlesex 9 10 86 70 123 98 84 113 295 0.10 102 Chelmsford Merrimack 15 6 44 87 64 64 173 59 296 0.10 103 North Quincy Patriot 9 10 113 93 106 118 72 111 301 0.10 104 Pentucket Cape Ann 15 6 58 120 65 59 182 62 303 0.10 105 Dracut Merrimack 10 10 77 85 132 109 67 132 308 0.10 106 Hanover, MA Patriot 4 13 119 21 162 113 38 163 314 0.10 107 Old Rochester Re SoCoast 8 9 111 141 126 112 88 122 322 0.10 108 Winthrop Northeast 14 7 122 175 76 97 149 81 327 0.10 109 Amherst-Pelham R Valley 9 10 128 146 133 102 99 135 336 0.10 110 East Bridgewater SShore 11 8 82 130 89 108 139 90 337 0.10 111 Newton South Dual County 9 8 88 95 96 116 140 86 342 0.10 112 Pope Francis Wheel 6 12 133 118 160 124 66 154 344 0.10 113 Southeastern RVT Mayflower 9 10 180 194 141 121 85 141 347 0.10 114 Barnstable OldColony 5 13 120 57 176 117 58 173 348 0.10 115 Shawsheen Valley Commonwealth 16 4 101 208 39 114 199 37 350 0.10 116 Dartmouth OldColony 11 8 89 124 70 71 213 68 352 0.10 117 Newburyport Cape Ann 7 11 103 81 149 107 120 134 361 0.10 118 Beverly Northeast 7 11 107 71 147 122 100 142 364 0.10 119 Leominster MidWacB 9 10 97 126 136 126 104 138 368 0.10 120 Shepherd Hill MidWacB 9 10 95 109 140 123 105 140 368 0.10 121 Martha's Vineyar EasternAC 8 10 125 140 144 119 108 145 372 0.10 122 Blackstone Valle Colonial 12 6 137 187 67 120 185 70 375 0.10 123 Westborough MidWacA 3 13 123 31 187 135 56 187 378 0.10 124 Weston, MA Dual County 9 9 91 111 113 133 151 95 379 0.10 125 Belchertown Suburb 13 4 157 220 40 127 216 40 383 0.10 126 Lowell Merrimack 8 10 105 97 143 130 118 144 392 0.10 127 Ashland TriVal 9 9 112 100 99 128 145 120 393 0.10 128 Malden Greater Bosto 10 9 163 186 114 139 150 107 396 0.10 129 Old Colony RVT Mayflower 8 9 183 213 125 148 121 127 396 0.10 130 Abington, MA SShore 8 9 118 122 108 134 154 109 397 0.10 131 AMSA Charter Colonial 11 8 140 184 95 141 161 96 398 0.10 132 Chicopee Compreh Valley 9 10 144 160 134 125 137 136 398 0.10 133 Northeast Metro Commonwealth 12 5 131 210 61 131 206 61 398 0.10 134 Doherty Memorial MidMass 3 15 165 79 202 155 42 202 399 0.10 135 Wilmington, MA Middlesex 8 9 108 117 107 142 156 105 403 0.10 136 Lee, MA Berkshr 10 9 175 203 119 105 179 121 405 0.10 137 Assabet Valley R Colonial 15 5 136 215 51 145 210 51 406 0.10 138 Revere, MA Northeast 10 9 143 165 116 132 157 118 407 0.10 139 Apponequet Regio SoCoast 8 9 141 158 122 136 148 124 408 0.10 140 Lynnfield Cape Ann 4 10 134 105 150 143 119 149 411 0.10 141 Milford, MA Hocomock 6 11 132 102 152 150 109 152 411 0.10 142 Pittsfield Berkshr 7 11 189 183 131 110 174 131 415 0.10 143 Mashpee SShore 7 9 149 154 115 137 165 116 418 0.10 144 Arlington, MA Middlesex 5 12 110 68 153 151 115 153 419 0.10 145 Lowell Catholic Catholic 13 6 127 202 66 138 212 69 419 0.10 146 Essex Tech, MA Commonwealth 11 9 151 185 109 140 171 110 421 0.10 147 Agawam Valley 6 12 152 150 165 152 122 164 438 0.10 148 North Middlesex MidWacB 6 11 166 142 157 149 134 157 440 0.10 149 Plymouth North Atlantic 1 17 171 59 211 169 61 211 441 0.10 150 Dennis-Yarmouth Atlantic 6 12 155 131 168 129 144 170 443 0.10 151 Saugus Northeast 8 9 176 189 127 153 169 128 450 0.10 152 Taconic Berkshr 4 14 205 168 178 144 129 177 450 0.10 153 Peabody Northeast 9 10 99 99 145 115 190 146 451 0.10 154 Georgetown, MA Cape Ann 4 12 154 123 173 156 135 162 453 0.10 155 Tyngsborough MidWacB 2 16 169 74 215 159 82 214 455 0.10 156 Whitman-Hanson Patriot 2 16 147 46 204 164 87 204 455 0.10 157 McCann Technical Suburb 10 8 207 219 101 154 203 102 459 0.10 158 Blue Hills RVT Mayflower 6 12 199 212 166 163 133 167 463 0.10 159 St John Paul II, Cape 9 9 156 192 121 158 186 123 467 0.10 160 Lunenburg MidWacC 9 10 138 161 137 157 172 139 468 0.10 161 Northbridge MidMass 4 14 178 139 197 176 97 195 468 0.10 162 Danvers Northeast 9 10 117 133 135 146 187 137 470 0.10 163 Middleborough SShore 6 11 159 149 151 161 160 151 472 0.10 164 Monomoy Regional Cape 9 8 158 200 105 160 209 103 472 0.10 165 New Bedford Big-3 5 13 188 152 181 171 123 179 473 0.10 166 Triton Regional, Cape Ann 3 15 160 106 207 162 112 201 475 0.10 167 Bellingham, MA TriVal 6 12 148 112 154 165 146 166 477 0.10 168 Brookline Bay State 3 15 139 54 193 167 113 197 477 0.10 169 Attleboro Hocomock 5 13 146 107 175 177 127 178 482 0.10 170 Bedford, MA Dual County 5 13 145 121 179 172 152 165 489 0.10 171 Sacred Heart, Ki Mayflower 3 12 203 206 177 170 143 176 489 0.10 172 Auburn, MA MidMass 2 16 196 137 213 182 96 212 490 0.10 173 Pope John XXIII, Catholic 8 10 164 193 146 166 177 147 490 0.10 174 Methuen Merrimack 6 12 130 114 169 174 159 171 504 0.10 175 Montachusett RVT Colonial 4 14 194 169 196 188 126 194 508 0.10 176 Mystic Valley Ch Commonwealth 7 9 184 209 129 173 207 129 509 0.10 177 Wachusett Region MidWacA 5 13 116 48 180 147 181 181 509 0.10 178 Cardinal Spellma Catholic 2 15 161 115 208 184 124 209 517 0.10 179 Milton HS, MA Bay State 3 15 174 84 194 192 125 200 517 0.10 180 Stoneham Middlesex 2 16 191 86 210 180 131 207 518 0.10 181 Fairhaven SoCoast 7 10 172 176 148 175 202 148 525 0.10 182 Tewksbury Memori Merrimack 0 18 179 64 221 203 101 221 525 0.10 183 Salem, MA Northeast 4 11 187 180 163 178 189 160 527 0.10 184 Dedham Bay State 4 12 153 91 158 187 167 174 528 0.10 185 Whittier RVT Commonwealth 7 11 185 198 156 185 192 156 533 0.10 186 St Peter-Marian Cathlc 5 11 182 163 155 190 193 155 538 0.10 187 Haverhill Merrimack 3 15 173 103 206 191 147 205 543 0.10 188 Greater Lowell R Commonwealth 2 14 202 182 201 193 155 199 547 0.10 189 Framingham Bay State 4 13 126 51 172 168 201 180 549 0.10 190 Gloucester Northeast 4 14 129 116 195 179 178 193 550 0.10 191 Watertown, MA Middlesex 2 14 177 101 192 200 158 192 550 0.10 192 Arlington Cathol Catholic 1 17 190 128 219 197 136 219 552 0.10 193 Granby Suburb 8 10 209 221 142 194 219 143 556 0.10 194 Stoughton, MA Hocomock 1 15 197 96 205 208 141 208 557 0.10 195 Springfield Cent Valley 3 13 219 217 191 201 166 191 558 0.10 196 Hudson, MA MidWacC 5 11 186 171 159 196 208 158 562 0.10 197 West Springfield Valley 5 13 192 167 186 181 195 186 562 0.10 198 Bishop Connolly Mayflower 0 16 221 196 217 206 142 216 564 0.10 199 Sturgis Charter Cape 6 12 195 199 170 189 204 172 565 0.10 200 Everett Greater Bosto 4 13 198 188 188 186 196 188 570 0.10 201 Swampscott Northeast 4 14 170 135 199 183 191 196 570 0.10 202 Boston Latin Sch Dual County 6 12 150 153 164 198 214 161 573 0.10 203 Coyle-Cassidy EasternAC 6 12 181 170 167 202 205 169 576 0.10 204 St Mary's, Westf Suburb 5 13 217 218 184 199 194 184 577 0.10 205 Cambridge Rindge Dual County 4 12 167 151 171 205 211 168 584 0.10 206 Falmouth Academy Cape 4 11 201 205 161 211 215 159 585 0.10 207 Norwood Bay State 1 17 193 110 212 216 153 217 586 0.10 208 Sizer-North Cntr MidMass 0 12 216 156 183 209 198 183 590 0.10 209 Chicopee Valley 2 16 210 159 214 195 184 213 592 0.10 210 Norton TriVal 3 15 168 119 198 204 183 206 593 0.10 211 Nashoba Valley T Colonial 1 17 215 190 220 212 162 220 594 0.10 212 Fitchburg MidWacC 1 16 212 148 216 210 175 215 600 0.10 213 Monson Suburb 4 13 220 216 174 207 222 175 604 0.10 214 Matignon Catholic 3 14 200 177 200 214 200 198 612 0.10 215 Lynn Classical-E Northeast 0 14 213 174 203 213 197 203 613 0.10 216 Taunton Hocomock 0 17 206 136 218 220 176 218 614 0.10 217 Minuteman RVT Commonwealth 1 15 214 197 209 218 188 210 616 0.10 218 Greater New Bedf SoCoast 1 19 211 179 222 219 180 222 621 0.10 219 Dighton-Rehoboth SoCoast 3 13 204 172 190 215 217 190 622 0.10 220 Cape Cod Tech Cape 3 13 208 207 189 217 218 189 624 0.10 221 Pathfinder RVT Suburb 0 12 222 222 182 222 221 182 625 0.10 222 Sturgis Charter Cape 0 12 218 201 185 221 220 185 626 0.10