boys probababilites for 15
2018 boys FL FHSAA
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Bishop Moore 19 3 2 11 2 4 1 3 8 9.00
2 Jupiter 21 2 1 7 1 6 2 1 9 27.00
3 Ponte Vedra 17 6 7 1 6 2 5 6 13 12.00
4 St Andrew's, FL 17 3 6 4 4 3 6 4 13 10.00
5 Cardinal Mooney, 20 2 5 17 5 7 10 5 22 6.00
6 Oxbridge Academy 17 3 4 5 3 1 27 2 30 20.00
7 Winter Park 18 2 12 45 8 11 11 8 30 0.10
8 St Thomas Aquina 12 7 8 3 20 8 4 20 32 5.00
9 Nease 10 7 21 2 23 9 3 26 38 0.10
10 IMG Academy 12 1 3 10 14 5 20 16 41 9.00
11 Oak Hall 16 3 11 68 15 20 12 12 44 0.10
12 Jesuit HS, Tampa 18 3 10 20 7 10 37 7 54 1.00
13 King's Academy, 16 2 18 63 11 24 26 11 61 0.10
14 Gulf Breeze 21 1 35 170 9 12 43 9 64 0.10
15 Stoneman Douglas 16 4 25 42 26 25 13 27 65 0.10
16 Newsome 16 3 29 76 24 27 16 23 66 0.10
17 American Heritag 10 5 17 8 44 15 7 46 68 1.00
18 Riverview-Saraso 12 6 24 16 49 13 9 48 70 0.10
19 Belen Jesuit 15 7 20 19 27 14 28 29 71 0.10
20 Benjamin School 11 4 9 9 12 18 45 14 77 0.10
21 H.B. Plant 15 4 13 29 10 19 49 10 78 0.10
22 Sickles 17 3 30 75 19 31 29 19 79 0.10
23 St Edward's Scho 12 6 31 24 32 38 8 41 87 0.10
24 Lake Highland Pr 9 9 38 12 48 22 15 53 90 0.10
25 Fleming Island 9 3 22 32 28 23 47 25 95 0.10
26 First Academy 12 4 27 51 30 26 38 32 96 0.10
27 Gulf Coast 13 4 36 71 31 39 30 30 99 0.10
28 Pine Crest 12 4 26 50 42 35 25 39 99 0.10
29 St John Paul II, 11 7 28 13 35 30 35 35 100 0.10
30 West Orange, FL 14 1 14 116 13 29 71 13 113 0.10
31 Canterbury Schoo 15 3 23 44 16 16 85 15 116 0.10
32 St Augustine 15 7 34 31 43 21 58 40 119 0.10
33 Cardinal Gibbons 14 4 42 94 39 47 42 38 127 0.10
34 Barron Collier 10 9 54 26 74 40 21 68 129 0.10
35 Merritt Island 15 6 40 96 65 49 14 66 129 0.10
36 Boca Raton 5 7 50 6 63 48 23 65 136 0.10
37 All Saints Acade 14 2 60 141 25 36 81 24 141 0.10
38 Lake Mary 14 3 16 36 22 17 102 22 141 0.10
39 Out-of-Door Acad 9 6 44 43 66 45 41 57 143 0.10
40 Bishop Verot 8 8 80 35 94 42 17 87 146 0.10
41 Montverde Academ 11 4 45 90 55 43 50 55 148 0.10
42 Creekside 11 6 33 25 52 33 72 52 157 0.10
43 Buchholz 10 7 57 54 81 50 24 84 158 0.10
44 Viera 14 1 19 149 17 37 111 17 165 0.10
45 Wiregrass Ranch 13 3 53 118 37 54 75 37 166 0.10
46 Hagerty 11 7 39 28 41 28 96 43 167 0.10
47 Melbourne Cent C 14 2 43 137 18 44 109 18 171 0.10
48 Steinbrenner 9 9 59 34 89 57 19 97 173 0.10
49 W.T. Dwyer 8 8 46 22 68 66 18 90 174 0.10
50 Oviedo 10 6 49 67 72 69 36 72 177 0.10
51 St Stephen's Epi 9 7 90 69 73 64 39 74 177 0.10
52 West Florida Tec 15 4 78 190 33 41 110 28 179 0.10
53 Bartram Trail 7 6 48 15 50 32 100 49 181 0.10
54 Park Vista 12 3 51 102 29 55 95 31 181 0.10
55 NSU University S 10 5 52 77 58 67 59 60 186 0.10
56 Amer Heritage-Pl 14 3 15 39 21 34 140 21 195 0.10
57 Bartow 11 3 72 173 38 53 106 36 195 0.10
58 Lake Brantley 10 5 37 53 56 52 90 59 201 0.10
59 Naples 12 6 56 130 77 74 56 71 201 0.10
60 Pensacola Cathol 12 8 102 159 100 51 77 73 201 0.10
61 Boone 9 8 69 41 90 70 33 102 205 0.10
62 Lake Howell 11 8 82 66 104 71 31 104 206 0.10
63 Adm Farragut Aca 8 4 47 82 40 61 107 42 210 0.10
64 Windermere Prep 11 6 86 121 67 77 66 67 210 0.10
65 Jupiter Christia 4 7 108 18 83 68 40 103 211 0.10
66 Western-Davie 16 5 32 99 36 46 137 33 216 0.10
67 Columbus Catholi 9 7 55 62 107 63 67 92 222 0.10
68 Key West 13 7 93 171 86 83 62 82 227 0.10
69 South Plantation 11 3 71 168 34 62 134 34 230 0.10
70 Tampa Catholic 8 8 88 49 101 84 48 98 230 0.10
71 Calvary Christia 9 8 66 83 124 76 32 124 232 0.10
72 Ransom Everglade 6 7 65 30 114 59 63 110 232 0.10
73 Matanzas 9 4 41 106 57 58 120 56 234 0.10
74 Wellington 10 6 61 61 59 73 101 61 235 0.10
75 Gulliver Prep 8 7 70 60 108 75 68 95 238 0.10
76 Forest HS, FL 8 7 83 87 97 79 52 108 239 0.10
77 Lakeland HS, FL 8 6 79 125 99 82 65 96 243 0.10
78 Escambia 8 8 126 179 130 93 44 111 248 0.10
79 Edgewater 9 8 101 100 96 97 60 94 251 0.10
80 Bolles 6 13 85 27 159 80 22 160 262 0.10
81 Holy Trinity Epi 9 3 68 161 47 72 146 47 265 0.10
82 Lake Minneola 11 7 58 80 75 65 128 75 268 0.10
83 Calvary Christia 9 6 111 136 69 96 105 69 270 0.10
84 Menendez 7 9 118 79 133 94 46 131 271 0.10
85 Fletcher 14 5 62 103 51 60 162 50 272 0.10
86 Fort Myers 7 4 77 123 62 78 136 58 272 0.10
87 Community School 12 5 73 166 61 91 121 63 275 0.10
88 Cypress Bay 8 6 91 133 91 87 103 88 278 0.10
89 Washington, FL 8 7 123 189 117 95 84 100 279 0.10
90 Cocoa Beach 12 5 81 187 60 88 132 62 282 0.10
91 Maclay 4 9 107 38 150 86 53 143 282 0.10
92 West Boca Raton 8 10 74 52 148 98 34 150 282 0.10
93 East River 10 7 87 144 92 101 93 93 287 0.10
94 Lawton Chiles 11 4 63 135 54 56 180 51 287 0.10
95 Providence Schoo 12 6 64 174 78 90 123 77 290 0.10
96 Apopka 7 7 92 92 118 92 83 118 293 0.10
97 Seminole 7 9 97 84 143 103 55 144 302 0.10
98 Berkeley Prep 5 14 75 21 164 85 54 165 304 0.10
99 Bloomingdale 11 8 84 110 103 89 115 101 305 0.10
100 Gainesville, FL 8 7 125 153 98 99 104 109 312 0.10
101 Mitchell, FL 5 8 109 70 134 104 80 137 321 0.10
102 Cardinal Newman, 6 9 98 57 125 117 78 127 322 0.10
103 Estero 7 9 106 134 152 110 73 146 329 0.10
104 Edgewood, FL 8 8 124 162 129 125 87 130 342 0.10
105 Melbourne 1 7 146 58 137 115 92 135 342 0.10
106 Episcopal, Jacks 11 7 67 122 79 81 186 79 346 0.10
107 Palm Beach Centr 3 9 105 33 151 118 76 152 346 0.10
108 Pine School 6 3 89 143 53 100 194 54 348 0.10
109 Leon 3 11 127 59 185 105 61 184 350 0.10
110 Immokalee 10 9 115 172 140 124 88 142 354 0.10
111 Alonso 5 9 114 72 122 131 99 126 356 0.10
112 Mandarin 7 8 99 139 127 114 117 125 356 0.10
113 Lake Nona 9 6 117 158 71 122 156 80 358 0.10
114 Miami Palmetto 7 9 96 114 141 116 112 136 364 0.10
115 St Petersburg Ca 5 5 129 175 84 106 175 83 364 0.10
116 Miami Country Da 5 10 110 64 166 107 98 162 367 0.10
117 Zephyrhills Chri 0 1 156 65 46 173 149 45 367 0.10
118 Seacoast Collegi 5 12 157 183 184 141 57 170 368 0.10
119 South Walton 5 11 160 182 169 137 69 163 369 0.10
120 Piper 0 7 181 47 131 143 97 132 372 0.10
121 Winter Haven 8 8 130 191 132 113 126 133 372 0.10
122 Manatee HS 2 4 137 117 76 133 165 76 374 0.10
123 Wharton 4 9 116 78 157 126 89 159 374 0.10
124 Lakewood Ranch 5 4 95 152 64 120 192 64 376 0.10
125 Windermere HS 6 6 94 148 106 111 159 107 377 0.10
126 Palm Beach Garde 6 11 104 55 163 132 79 169 380 0.10
127 Jensen Beach 2 14 147 14 194 108 74 199 381 0.10
128 Satellite 3 6 167 127 115 112 154 116 382 0.10
129 Timber Creek, FL 5 13 128 81 192 136 51 195 382 0.10
130 Cooper City 4 5 112 154 85 121 177 85 383 0.10
131 Coral Shores 8 7 133 197 111 130 139 114 383 0.10
132 Olympia, FL 5 10 135 73 147 109 130 148 387 0.10
133 North Broward Pr 4 8 120 101 146 123 118 147 388 0.10
134 Lincoln, Tallaha 5 7 119 138 123 119 150 120 389 0.10
135 Trinity Prep, FL 6 7 103 147 116 134 141 117 392 0.10
136 West Shore 4 10 149 129 170 138 86 171 395 0.10
137 Plantation 5 6 139 146 93 135 172 89 396 0.10
138 John I. Leonard 7 8 134 169 120 142 145 122 409 0.10
139 Martin County 7 8 76 37 88 102 202 105 409 0.10
140 Spanish River 1 9 143 23 153 139 119 153 411 0.10
141 Coral Springs Ch 3 8 165 89 149 129 133 151 413 0.10
142 Pensacola 3 13 184 177 204 161 64 194 419 0.10
143 St Brendan 10 6 122 206 80 149 193 78 420 0.10
144 Tampa Prep 5 9 131 132 144 146 131 149 426 0.10
145 Dr. Phillips 3 12 136 98 188 157 82 189 428 0.10
146 Vero Beach 4 9 113 40 136 127 167 134 428 0.10
147 Archbishop McCar 5 9 138 126 158 140 138 157 435 0.10
148 Freedom, Tampa 4 7 121 115 126 144 166 128 438 0.10
149 Westminster Chri 7 7 142 204 119 150 169 121 440 0.10
150 Sebastian River 6 10 100 120 156 128 160 156 444 0.10
151 Lely 3 10 161 113 174 155 114 176 445 0.10
152 Father Lopez 7 11 164 167 178 145 124 178 447 0.10
153 Eastside, FL 6 7 155 195 112 151 178 119 448 0.10
154 Santa Fe 8 7 141 202 109 156 179 113 448 0.10
155 Flagler Palm Coa 3 10 144 108 173 152 122 175 449 0.10
156 Lakeland Christi 4 6 153 196 110 147 190 112 449 0.10
157 East Ridge, FL 4 8 152 150 145 148 158 145 451 0.10
158 Rockledge 1 8 172 105 155 153 143 155 451 0.10
159 Flanagan 1 8 194 85 154 154 144 154 452 0.10
160 Lyman 2 15 185 109 210 178 70 210 458 0.10
161 Durant HS, FL 3 10 150 112 172 158 127 174 459 0.10
162 Lake Wales 4 5 154 208 87 170 203 86 459 0.10
163 Riviera Prep 0 1 210 210 45 210 209 44 463 0.10
164 Riverdale 5 8 132 178 142 159 168 138 465 0.10
165 Sarasota Mil Aca 1 13 183 95 201 177 91 197 465 0.10
166 Freedom, Orlando 3 14 169 128 202 171 94 202 467 0.10
167 Celebration 2 12 182 157 193 165 113 192 470 0.10
168 Immaculata, LaSa 3 4 200 209 70 195 210 70 475 0.10
169 Coral Springs HS 3 7 173 145 128 162 189 129 480 0.10
170 Eau Gallie 1 9 197 111 167 160 155 167 482 0.10
171 International Co 0 4 206 163 82 204 197 81 482 0.10
172 Paxon 8 8 163 205 113 163 204 115 482 0.10
173 Robinson, FL 2 11 148 74 180 166 135 181 482 0.10
174 Sunlake 1 7 168 97 138 172 173 139 484 0.10
175 University HS, O 3 13 151 107 198 169 116 201 486 0.10
176 Jefferson 0 9 174 46 160 174 152 161 487 0.10
177 Carrollwood Day 2 5 176 201 95 192 205 91 488 0.10
178 Miami-Killian 5 9 158 192 161 164 170 158 492 0.10
179 Taravella 3 10 170 151 176 168 147 177 492 0.10
180 Coral Reef 1 10 175 91 177 167 157 173 497 0.10
181 Pompano Beach 1 5 186 194 105 194 200 106 500 0.10
182 Trinity Catholic 0 7 208 131 135 190 171 140 501 0.10
183 Wesley Chapel HS 0 14 171 86 209 184 108 209 501 0.10
184 Venice 2 5 162 181 102 199 208 99 506 0.10
185 West Broward 1 7 166 160 139 183 182 141 506 0.10
186 South Fork 1 13 140 56 203 176 125 207 508 0.10
187 Atlantic-Delray 3 9 145 119 162 175 176 164 515 0.10
188 Pines Charter 1 6 193 176 121 196 199 123 518 0.10
189 Ocoee 3 11 179 155 186 182 151 186 519 0.10
190 Stanton Prep 3 11 195 165 187 179 153 188 520 0.10
191 Golden Gate 2 10 189 142 179 181 161 179 521 0.10
192 Suncoast-Riviera 0 13 159 48 195 191 129 203 523 0.10
193 Winter Springs 0 11 178 88 190 187 148 190 525 0.10
194 John Carroll Cat 0 12 199 124 200 189 142 200 531 0.10
195 Evans, FL 0 10 202 93 182 186 164 183 533 0.10
196 Palmetto Ridge 0 10 187 104 183 185 163 185 533 0.10
197 Newberry 1 10 190 188 175 193 181 180 554 0.10
198 Atlantic Coast 3 11 180 193 171 180 206 172 558 0.10
199 Port Charlotte 2 11 192 180 189 200 184 187 571 0.10
200 Lake Gibson 0 11 209 186 191 198 183 191 572 0.10
201 Colonial 0 9 205 164 165 207 201 166 574 0.10
202 Palmer Trinity 2 13 204 198 207 197 174 206 577 0.10
203 Coral Glades 0 10 188 140 181 201 196 182 579 0.10
204 Northside Christ 1 9 196 199 168 209 207 168 584 0.10
205 Cypress Lake 1 12 201 184 196 205 188 193 586 0.10
206 Sandalwood 3 14 177 156 205 188 195 204 587 0.10
207 Bishop Snyder 2 13 191 203 206 203 187 205 595 0.10
208 Lee, FL 1 13 203 185 197 202 198 196 596 0.10
209 Florida Christia 0 12 207 207 199 208 191 198 597 0.10
210 Milton, FL 0 13 198 200 208 206 185 208 599 0.10
<