boys probababilites for 11
2018 boys CT CIAC
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Somers, CT NWCIAC 18 3 12 49 12 10 2 8 20 0.10
2 Daniel Hand SCIAC 14 7 10 14 10 9 5 9 23 0.10
3 Guilford SCIAC 12 8 18 12 19 8 6 17 31 0.10
4 East Catholic CCIAC 16 4 14 44 16 12 9 12 33 0.10
5 Newtown SWCIAC 16 5 8 15 6 5 25 3 33 1.00
6 Granby Memorial NWCIAC 16 5 25 51 27 19 3 13 35 0.10
7 St Joseph, Trumb FCIAC 13 6 17 21 13 20 1 20 41 0.10
8 Darien FCIAC 22 1 1 5 1 2 40 2 44 51.00
9 Fairfield Prep, SCIAC 14 7 5 6 5 3 37 4 44 6.00
10 New Fairfield SWCIAC 22 0 2 22 2 1 42 1 44 8.00
11 Joel Barlow SWCIAC 13 8 19 20 23 13 19 16 48 0.10
12 Notre Dame, West SCIAC 12 8 22 27 30 18 4 26 48 0.10
13 Ridgefield FCIAC 16 5 3 7 3 7 35 7 49 18.00
14 Cheshire HS SCIAC 12 9 13 13 24 17 12 22 51 0.10
15 Hall-West Hartfo CCIAC 13 4 20 34 17 15 23 14 52 0.10
16 Glastonbury CCIAC 14 6 7 8 7 4 44 5 53 1.00
17 Waterford ECIAC 16 5 27 48 25 16 17 21 54 0.10
18 Trumbull FCIAC 12 6 11 18 11 23 11 23 57 0.10
19 Simsbury CCIAC 8 10 23 9 33 21 10 30 61 0.10
20 New Canaan FCIAC 16 6 4 3 4 6 59 6 71 12.00
21 Xavier, CT SCIAC 10 9 26 17 34 27 8 36 71 0.10
22 East Lyme ECIAC 13 8 34 39 37 25 15 32 72 0.10
23 Fairfield Ludlow FCIAC 11 8 21 10 22 22 30 28 80 0.10
24 Weston, CT SWCIAC 15 5 15 28 14 14 55 11 80 0.10
25 Farmington, CT CCIAC 11 7 35 42 35 29 20 33 82 0.10
26 Masuk SWCIAC 11 7 31 37 29 31 21 31 83 0.10
27 Wilton FCIAC 13 7 6 2 8 11 58 15 84 2.00
28 Conard-West Hart CCIAC 8 8 29 26 41 28 22 38 88 0.10
29 Brookfield, CT SWCIAC 10 9 42 38 39 39 14 37 90 0.10
30 New Milford SWCIAC 9 10 37 30 49 36 7 47 90 0.10
31 St Paul Catholic WCLC 18 2 24 90 9 24 56 10 90 0.10
32 Danbury FCIAC 8 9 36 23 32 43 13 46 102 0.10
33 Lewis Mills WCLC 13 7 39 64 42 32 28 42 102 0.10
34 Bacon Academy ECIAC 12 7 38 61 43 33 29 41 103 0.10
35 Ellington NWCIAC 11 8 46 59 48 40 26 39 105 0.10
36 North Haven SCIAC 9 9 33 31 45 34 24 48 106 0.10
37 Old Lyme Shore 13 6 51 70 36 37 43 34 114 0.10
38 Greenwich HS FCIAC 8 11 16 4 18 26 65 29 120 0.10
39 Shelton SCIAC 11 7 30 45 31 38 47 35 120 0.10
40 Bethel, CT SWCIAC 7 11 49 33 57 51 16 56 123 0.10
41 Staples FCIAC 11 6 9 11 15 30 66 27 123 1.00
42 Amity Regional SCIAC 6 10 40 32 56 42 31 53 126 0.10
43 Branford SCIAC 10 8 41 54 46 41 46 45 132 0.10
44 Morgan School Shore 9 9 62 69 60 48 38 57 143 0.10
45 Brien McMahon FCIAC 5 11 52 16 58 55 18 72 145 0.10
46 Berlin CCIAC 14 4 32 72 26 35 87 24 146 0.10
47 Northwest Cathol CCIAC 9 8 44 50 51 44 50 52 146 0.10
48 RHAM CCIAC 9 8 47 53 54 45 51 50 146 0.10
49 Avon, CT CCIAC 5 11 54 36 80 49 27 71 147 0.10
50 Fairfield Warde FCIAC 8 9 28 19 38 47 52 49 148 0.10
51 St Bernard-Wheel ECIAC 14 4 48 93 28 46 77 25 148 0.10
52 Canton, CT NWCIAC 6 10 80 60 71 58 34 60 152 0.10
53 Valley Regional Shore 11 8 57 83 53 50 53 51 154 0.10
54 Fitch, Groton ECIAC 11 7 45 82 44 52 63 43 158 0.10
55 North Branford Shore 8 10 73 68 72 56 36 73 165 0.10
56 Foran SCIAC 8 9 50 57 59 53 60 59 172 0.10
57 Norwich Free Aca ECIAC 6 10 71 58 77 59 39 74 172 0.10
58 Pomperaug SWCIAC 5 11 55 41 69 61 48 66 175 0.10
59 Southington CCIAC 6 10 53 43 70 54 54 67 175 0.10
60 Norwalk FCIAC 4 12 60 24 63 69 32 76 177 0.10
61 Rocky Hill, CT CCIAC 8 9 68 84 61 70 57 58 185 0.10
62 Suffield HS NWCIAC 3 13 85 52 92 72 33 83 188 0.10
63 Tolland CCIAC 7 9 76 75 68 62 64 63 189 0.10
64 Newington CCIAC 10 7 43 78 47 63 84 44 191 0.10
65 Windsor, CT CCIAC 12 6 67 95 40 65 91 40 196 0.10
66 Bunnell-Stratfor SWCIAC 6 10 56 46 66 64 69 65 198 0.10
67 Jonathan Law SCIAC 9 8 66 67 55 67 78 54 199 0.10
68 Sheehan SCIAC 9 8 64 76 52 66 80 55 201 0.10
69 South Windsor CCIAC 4 12 63 40 82 60 62 81 203 0.10
70 Stamford FCIAC 6 10 59 35 50 68 72 69 209 0.10
71 Westhill, CT FCIAC 2 13 72 25 75 81 45 85 211 0.10
72 Rockville-Staffo CCIAC 3 13 90 63 91 80 49 87 216 0.10
73 Watertown, CT WCLC 7 11 75 81 83 74 61 82 217 0.10
74 West Haven SCIAC 8 9 70 74 62 75 82 61 218 0.10
75 Stonington ECIAC 7 10 69 62 74 57 93 70 220 0.10
76 Stratford, CT SWCIAC 6 10 58 47 67 71 81 68 220 0.10
77 Trinity Catholic FCIAC 0 15 84 29 89 88 41 95 224 0.10
78 Haddam-Killingwo Shore 6 10 77 85 76 73 75 78 226 0.10
79 Woodstock Academ ECIAC 6 10 78 88 79 77 73 77 227 0.10
80 Immaculate, Danb SWCIAC 5 11 74 56 81 76 76 79 231 0.10
81 Montville, CT ECIAC 7 10 79 89 73 79 79 75 233 0.10
82 E.O. Smith NWCIAC 4 12 89 79 85 84 67 84 235 0.10
83 Bristol Eastern CCIAC 2 11 93 73 84 82 68 86 236 0.10
84 Holy Cross, CT WCLC 5 12 88 80 87 78 70 88 236 0.10
85 Norwich-Windham Indep 6 9 83 96 64 85 94 62 241 0.10
86 Notre Dame, Fair SWCIAC 2 14 82 55 95 86 74 92 252 0.10
87 Amistad-Career M WCLC 2 8 97 98 65 96 97 64 257 0.10
88 Bristol Central CCIAC 0 16 96 71 97 92 71 97 260 0.10
89 Lyman Hall SCIAC 4 12 81 66 86 83 90 89 262 0.10
90 Hamden SCIAC 3 13 86 65 90 89 85 91 265 0.10
91 Old Saybrook Shore 4 12 87 92 88 87 88 90 265 0.10
92 Wolcott WCLC 6 10 91 97 78 91 95 80 266 0.10
93 Wilbur Cross SCIAC 3 13 92 91 93 90 89 93 272 0.10
94 Cromwell Shore 1 15 95 87 96 94 86 96 276 0.10
95 Ledyard ECIAC 0 16 99 77 98 95 83 98 276 0.10
96 Griswold ECIAC 2 13 94 94 94 93 92 94 279 0.10
97 Vinal Tech CCIAC 0 16 98 99 99 97 96 99 292 0.10
98 Litchfield Hills 1 0 61 86 20 98 98 18 0 0.10
99 Nonnewaug LC 0 1 65 1 21 99 99 19 0 0.10
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