Region = VA 6A Reg D            
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Greg Beer             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.1373901    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 A Centreville            VA 6A Reg D   ( 3-12, 79.3)     6- 7   
 315 A Chantilly              VA 6A Reg D   (14- 6, 90.8)     5- 7   
 317 N Dominion               VA 4A Reg C   (13- 7, 91.4)     9-12   
 324 A Robinson, VA           VA 6A Reg C   (19- 3, 96.2)     4-12   
 405 A McLean, VA             VA 6A Reg D   ( 9- 8, 84.2)    11- 4   
 409 H Madison, VA            VA 6A Reg D   ( 9-10, 86.7)     8- 7   
 413 H Langley, VA            VA 6A Reg D   ( 7- 9, 84.4)     8- 7  o
 416 H Lake Braddock          VA 6A Reg C   ( 5-10, 82.7)     8- 9  o
 417 A Stonewall Jackson      VA 6A Reg D   ( 6-10, 79.2)     7- 9   
 419 A Herndon                VA 6A Reg D   ( 5- 7, 77.4)    14- 1   
 425 A Oakton                 VA 6A Reg D   (18- 4, 95.9)     5-15   
 427 H Washington-Lee         VA 6A Reg D   ( 4-11, 71.0)    18- 5   
 502 H Brentsville            VA 4A Reg B   (11- 5, 85.6)    13- 9   
 504 A South Lakes            VA 6A Reg D   (14- 2, 90.8)     6- 7   
 511 H Langley, VA            VA 6A Reg D   ( 7- 9, 84.4)     3- 6   
 518 H Stonewall Jackson      VA 6A Reg D   ( 6-10, 79.2)    14-10   
 521 A Oakton                 VA 6A Reg D   (18- 4, 95.9)     5-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Centreville             6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.79
   315 A Chantilly               5- 7      -2    -7    ++     5.67
   317 N Dominion                9-12      -3    -6    +      3.97
   324 A Robinson, VA            4-12      -8   -13    +      2.00
   405 A McLean, VA             11- 4       7    -1    +++    8.07
   409 H Madison, VA             8- 7       1     0           1.99
   413 H Langley, VA             8- 7  o    1     1          -0.31
   416 H Lake Braddock           8- 9  o   -1     2    -     -3.99
   417 A Stonewall Jackson       7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.88
   419 A Herndon                14- 1      13     5    ++     4.31
   425 A Oakton                  5-15     -10   -12           0.00
   427 H Washington-Lee         18- 5      13    14           0.00
   502 H Brentsville            13- 9       4     0    +      3.92
   504 A South Lakes             6- 7      -1    -7    +++    6.67
   511 H Langley, VA             3- 6      -3     1    --    -4.31
   518 H Stonewall Jackson      14-10       4     6    -     -2.44
   521 A Oakton                  5-15     -10   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Centreville             6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.79
   417 A Stonewall Jackson       7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.88
   511 H Langley, VA             3- 6      -3     1    --    -4.31
   416 H Lake Braddock           8- 9  o   -1     2    -     -3.99
   518 H Stonewall Jackson      14-10       4     6    -     -2.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A McLean, VA             11- 4       7    -1    +++    8.07
   504 A South Lakes             6- 7      -1    -7    +++    6.67
   315 A Chantilly               5- 7      -2    -7    ++     5.67
   419 A Herndon                14- 1      13     5    ++     4.31
   317 N Dominion                9-12      -3    -6    +      3.97
   324 A Robinson, VA            4-12      -8   -13    +      2.00
   502 H Brentsville            13- 9       4     0    +      3.92
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.40 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.62 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    47
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   110
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    60
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/